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Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 13/12/2018 Onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Castlereagh hills. 160m asl.
  • Location: Castlereagh hills. 160m asl.
    4 minutes ago, booferking said:

    And for the same reason i wouldn't get to hung up if it was saying snow and blizzard conditions works both ways until the models are showing me snow at reliable time frame the rollercoaster party goes on. 

    Totally agree 

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    Took the Drone up for a wee shot of Derry this morning. Great to see some snow on the ground.

    good luck ireland ?  

    Definitely good to see Pom. I really have a feeling that we are going in to the freezer whether or not we see a pile of snow or not then I will settle for ice days and winter sunshine. Here is a few s

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Castlereagh hills. 160m asl.
  • Location: Castlereagh hills. 160m asl.
    8 minutes ago, StormyWeather28 said:

    Well we'll agree to disagree then. First part sleet snow spreading SE with frost following and cold. Cold continuing through midweek, snow especially likely in the northern half. Cold conditions likely to remain until the end of the period which is the 29th

    UK Outlook for Sunday 20 Jan 2019 to Tuesday 29 Jan 2019:

    Sunday will be cold across the UK, but for many it will be dry; brightest in the southeast. Some light rain or sleet is possible in the southwest at first; then a band of rain, sleet and snow is likely to spread across the northwest later, moving erratically southeast. Overnight frost and freezing fog patches are likely overnight into Monday. Cold weather is likely to continue through mid-week, remaining unsettled and at times windy with fronts spreading southeast across the UK bringing rain, sleet and snow. Snow is most likely over north and eastern areas and over high ground. Similar cold conditions are likely to remain in place until the end of the period, interspersed with brighter showery spells, although these could also be wintry. Overnight frosts will remain likely.

    Second part mentions it will be cold with frost and snow especially higher ground in North but increasingly to lower levels

    UK Outlook for Wednesday 30 Jan 2019 to Wednesday 13 Feb 2019:

    Cold but changeable conditions will be in place at the start of the extended outlook with spells of strong winds and rain, turning to snow at times. Overnight frosts are likely and snow, mainly over higher ground in the north, but with an increased risk to lower levels. The details of any disruptive snow remains uncertain. Milder, wetter interludes are possible, most likely in the south but with these comes an increased risk of snow and ice further north.

     

    Honestly do not get the over the top reactions. It's not like there going for a mild Atlantic dominated pattern and it's pretty much the same as yesterday just different wording. Cold and snow is used throughout. The outlook accuracy is always poor imo, changes alot because accuracy out to 30 days is poor. 

     

    I guess people are just fed up with the blandness 

    It states rain , sleet and snow ? so you missed that bit out so we could easily get rain too 

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    20 minutes ago, Neiller22 said:

    It states rain , sleet and snow ? so you missed that bit out so we could easily get rain too 

    It does. But snow especially for the north. You missed that part out when you said it's terrible and over. The outlook is for all of the the UK so they're including the south in it. And increasingly snow to lower levels. So for Northern Irelands position its hardly bad is it

    Edited by StormyWeather28
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    Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
    23 hours ago, Neiller22 said:

    Always day 10. Never close. Keeps going soon be spring. Surely luck will change soon 

    At day 9, tonight's GFS has done away with the polar North Westerly blast from Day 10 yesterday and replaced it with a cold but boring high pressure....

     

     

     

    image.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Nutts Corner
  • Location: Nutts Corner

    Still some possibilities to get a bit of snow within the next 7 days

    D7C4927D-C625-4E8F-8382-2A2D4CA40927.thumb.png.790081c88e3e1f4a0e2d45450ed8e252.png

    C200B49A-A8C0-4AF9-9F03-00CA66C5AA4E.thumb.png.b60b331dc0c66e3013a2f9fe1c566562.png

    The GFS has been slated quite a bit in the MOD thread but has any model done well? MetO don’t even have a clue at the minute

    IMO the gfs has modelled nearer term prospects quite well

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    Posted
  • Location: Castlereagh hills. 160m asl.
  • Location: Castlereagh hills. 160m asl.
    42 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

    At day 9, tonight's GFS has done away with the polar North Westerly blast from Day 10 yesterday and replaced it with a cold but boring high pressure....

     

     

     

    image.png

    It’s unreal.  

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    Posted
  • Location: Castlereagh hills. 160m asl.
  • Location: Castlereagh hills. 160m asl.
    37 minutes ago, Weegaz said:

    Still some possibilities to get a bit of snow within the next 7 days

    D7C4927D-C625-4E8F-8382-2A2D4CA40927.thumb.png.790081c88e3e1f4a0e2d45450ed8e252.png

    C200B49A-A8C0-4AF9-9F03-00CA66C5AA4E.thumb.png.b60b331dc0c66e3013a2f9fe1c566562.png

    The GFS has been slated quite a bit in the MOD thread but has any model done well? MetO don’t even have a clue at the minute

    IMO the gfs has modelled nearer term prospects quite well

    Totally agree with this statement. GFS has been better than other models as it’s constantly shown up dross while the others have been showing great charts then the nearer it gets its back to day ten again. I don’t understand why it’s getting slated as it’s vern nearer the mark. 

    Edited by Neiller22
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    Posted
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire

    Yes, they did. We have rules on no politics discussion so any posts on such matters will go without warning.

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    Posted
  • Location: Castlereagh hills. 160m asl.
  • Location: Castlereagh hills. 160m asl.
    Just now, reef said:

    Yes, they did. We have rules on no politics discussion so any posts on such matters will go without warning.

    Thank god for that 

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    Posted
  • Location: Santry, Dublin, Ireland. 50 metres ASL.
  • Location: Santry, Dublin, Ireland. 50 metres ASL.
    13 minutes ago, reef said:

    Yes, they did. We have rules on no politics discussion so any posts on such matters will go without warning.

    I wasn't aware of that reef, apologies.

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    Posted
  • Location: Near Ballintoy (North Antrim) 110m asl
  • Location: Near Ballintoy (North Antrim) 110m asl

    I suppose there’s been enough heated debate in here today without us talking about Brexit! Lol

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    Posted
  • Location: Near Ballintoy (North Antrim) 110m asl
  • Location: Near Ballintoy (North Antrim) 110m asl

    So are we more positive about cold next week again?

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    Posted
  • Location: Nutts Corner
  • Location: Nutts Corner
    4 minutes ago, bobbarley said:

    So are we more positive about cold next week again?

    Tues onwards looking potential good, be an interesting 18z Bob, will also be interesting to see what the updated euro4 has to say about Thursday of this week, some could see winter showers

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    Posted
  • Location: North Wexford Eire
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme Weather to match Seasons....
  • Location: North Wexford Eire
    5 minutes ago, bobbarley said:

    So are we more positive about cold next week again?

    Was never not positive, and if it changes in the morning I would still be positive. You can't look at single ops in isolation, look at 4 or more side by side identify what's different in the early time frame that takes them down the different paths and make a call referencing the back ground signals that have always remained positive. IMO that prevents these hourly knee jerk reactions. The dismissive comments regarding impacts of SSWs on the weather patterns are just plain wrong. No one has ever said it 100% means cold and snow, but what it does do is break up the traditional normal patterns and then it's just luck if we end up doing well. Anyway anything coming from the East is good for me generally (IMBY sorry). 

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    Posted
  • Location: Derry, NW Ireland, 20 to 30m ASL
  • Location: Derry, NW Ireland, 20 to 30m ASL

    I don't think there should be any negativity at all. Its at least returning to something chilly and well, normal, for this time of year. 

     

    That'll shock the daffodils back into the ground. Lupins too. Go away, its too early!!

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