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Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 13/12/2018 Onwards

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4 minutes ago, booferking said:

And for the same reason i wouldn't get to hung up if it was saying snow and blizzard conditions works both ways until the models are showing me snow at reliable time frame the rollercoaster party goes on. 

Totally agree 

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8 minutes ago, StormyWeather28 said:

Well we'll agree to disagree then. First part sleet snow spreading SE with frost following and cold. Cold continuing through midweek, snow especially likely in the northern half. Cold conditions likely to remain until the end of the period which is the 29th

UK Outlook for Sunday 20 Jan 2019 to Tuesday 29 Jan 2019:

Sunday will be cold across the UK, but for many it will be dry; brightest in the southeast. Some light rain or sleet is possible in the southwest at first; then a band of rain, sleet and snow is likely to spread across the northwest later, moving erratically southeast. Overnight frost and freezing fog patches are likely overnight into Monday. Cold weather is likely to continue through mid-week, remaining unsettled and at times windy with fronts spreading southeast across the UK bringing rain, sleet and snow. Snow is most likely over north and eastern areas and over high ground. Similar cold conditions are likely to remain in place until the end of the period, interspersed with brighter showery spells, although these could also be wintry. Overnight frosts will remain likely.

Second part mentions it will be cold with frost and snow especially higher ground in North but increasingly to lower levels

UK Outlook for Wednesday 30 Jan 2019 to Wednesday 13 Feb 2019:

Cold but changeable conditions will be in place at the start of the extended outlook with spells of strong winds and rain, turning to snow at times. Overnight frosts are likely and snow, mainly over higher ground in the north, but with an increased risk to lower levels. The details of any disruptive snow remains uncertain. Milder, wetter interludes are possible, most likely in the south but with these comes an increased risk of snow and ice further north.

 

Honestly do not get the over the top reactions. It's not like there going for a mild Atlantic dominated pattern and it's pretty much the same as yesterday just different wording. Cold and snow is used throughout. The outlook accuracy is always poor imo, changes alot because accuracy out to 30 days is poor. 

 

I guess people are just fed up with the blandness 

It states rain , sleet and snow 😉 so you missed that bit out so we could easily get rain too 

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20 minutes ago, Neiller22 said:

It states rain , sleet and snow 😉 so you missed that bit out so we could easily get rain too 

It does. But snow especially for the north. You missed that part out when you said it's terrible and over. The outlook is for all of the the UK so they're including the south in it. And increasingly snow to lower levels. So for Northern Irelands position its hardly bad is it

Edited by StormyWeather28

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We will see. Rain sleet or snow it is. That’s for sure. 

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23 hours ago, Neiller22 said:

Always day 10. Never close. Keeps going soon be spring. Surely luck will change soon 

At day 9, tonight's GFS has done away with the polar North Westerly blast from Day 10 yesterday and replaced it with a cold but boring high pressure....

 

 

 

image.png

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Still some possibilities to get a bit of snow within the next 7 days

D7C4927D-C625-4E8F-8382-2A2D4CA40927.thumb.png.790081c88e3e1f4a0e2d45450ed8e252.png

C200B49A-A8C0-4AF9-9F03-00CA66C5AA4E.thumb.png.b60b331dc0c66e3013a2f9fe1c566562.png

The GFS has been slated quite a bit in the MOD thread but has any model done well? MetO don’t even have a clue at the minute

IMO the gfs has modelled nearer term prospects quite well

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42 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

At day 9, tonight's GFS has done away with the polar North Westerly blast from Day 10 yesterday and replaced it with a cold but boring high pressure....

 

 

 

image.png

It’s unreal.  

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37 minutes ago, Weegaz said:

Still some possibilities to get a bit of snow within the next 7 days

D7C4927D-C625-4E8F-8382-2A2D4CA40927.thumb.png.790081c88e3e1f4a0e2d45450ed8e252.png

C200B49A-A8C0-4AF9-9F03-00CA66C5AA4E.thumb.png.b60b331dc0c66e3013a2f9fe1c566562.png

The GFS has been slated quite a bit in the MOD thread but has any model done well? MetO don’t even have a clue at the minute

IMO the gfs has modelled nearer term prospects quite well

Totally agree with this statement. GFS has been better than other models as it’s constantly shown up dross while the others have been showing great charts then the nearer it gets its back to day ten again. I don’t understand why it’s getting slated as it’s vern nearer the mark. 

Edited by Neiller22

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ECM mean supporters the op and i support a 2nd referendum brexit is suicide for the economy.

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Yes, they did. We have rules on no politics discussion so any posts on such matters will go without warning.

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Just now, reef said:

Yes, they did. We have rules on no politics discussion so any posts on such matters will go without warning.

Thank god for that 

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13 minutes ago, reef said:

Yes, they did. We have rules on no politics discussion so any posts on such matters will go without warning.

I wasn't aware of that reef, apologies.

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28 minutes ago, reef said:

Yes, they did. We have rules on no politics discussion so any posts on such matters will go without warning.

But I made a funny about a snowperson being covered in dog poo post ☹

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I suppose there’s been enough heated debate in here today without us talking about Brexit! Lol

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So are we more positive about cold next week again?

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4 minutes ago, bobbarley said:

So are we more positive about cold next week again?

Tues onwards looking potential good, be an interesting 18z Bob, will also be interesting to see what the updated euro4 has to say about Thursday of this week, some could see winter showers

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5 minutes ago, bobbarley said:

So are we more positive about cold next week again?

Was never not positive, and if it changes in the morning I would still be positive. You can't look at single ops in isolation, look at 4 or more side by side identify what's different in the early time frame that takes them down the different paths and make a call referencing the back ground signals that have always remained positive. IMO that prevents these hourly knee jerk reactions. The dismissive comments regarding impacts of SSWs on the weather patterns are just plain wrong. No one has ever said it 100% means cold and snow, but what it does do is break up the traditional normal patterns and then it's just luck if we end up doing well. Anyway anything coming from the East is good for me generally (IMBY sorry). 

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I don't think there should be any negativity at all. Its at least returning to something chilly and well, normal, for this time of year. 

 

That'll shock the daffodils back into the ground. Lupins too. Go away, its too early!!

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