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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards

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Lots of snow forecast for me now on Thursday afternoon. Currently 3.3°C and cloudy.

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Cold rain Down here in Cornwall but that was to be expected. The fun and games start later 😊. Good luck guys, I think there’ll be some surprises today. 

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Good morning, temperature is 0.7°C  with overcast skies. There’s some ppn to my west but seems it’s fizzling out

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10 minutes ago, Leon1 said:

Lots of snow forecast for me now on Thursday afternoon. Currently 3.3°C and cloudy.

MO is showing sleet for 3-6pm Thurs but hopefully that evolves. All snow and sleet are wiped off the forecast for today

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2 minutes ago, Argyle1980 said:

Cold rain Down here in Cornwall but that was to be expected. The fun and games start later 😊. Good luck guys, I think there’ll be some surprises today. 

It’s confusing as on breakfast news carol said something milder (8c) comes in on Thursday then 2ninutes later spotlight weather said Thursday is the day to watch with snow down to all levels possible. 

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Today's snow has all but vanished. Showing rain and sleet clearing by 6pm. 

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High ground on the Thursday will see snow in Cornwall tho the folk of Devon will be in luck I reckon for seeing some of the white stuff. 

Still never easy to call.

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Never believe in those apps! It’s all about Radar & lamp post watching from here on in.

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Going to be an annoying day for most of us in the region. I suspect elsewhere we will see snow and probably a few places doing well, but it just looks on the wrong side of marginal for the SW. That said, we may get more chance of at least falling snow as the cold front moves through, and that's much later today (esp for those further east).

At the moment Thursday look much more interesting...

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After a high yesterday of 7.5c, was 2.4c at midnight and got to a low of 0.9c at 4am.
Now 3.8c, very light SSE wind, 1002.1 hPa.
A slight frost here and brightening up clear skies.

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It will probably be  just rain/sleet today across the SW but it looks like tonight there will be some decent snow showers around on the NW flow. Even us in Weymouth/West Dorset tend to pick up the odd shower in that setup.

Edited by hoops

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1 hour ago, Lloyds32 said:

Yes especially in warm Weston. Travel 5 miles inland and it will be different.

Yep, had some sleet earlier. 01.8C currently.

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ARPEGE for Thursday 

I work out upto 15cm of snow for some

hourly charts.

996CAF34-FA7B-4508-8016-9AB400F97D8E.png

C8750629-E5E1-458A-91C2-756A50F04B9E.png

65B6E516-3530-4DA3-9636-B0B0C4895507.thumb.png.6d59870b416d023c0cb409d4cd0e1b83.png

51EF9144-E22B-4890-8E7D-BD200BB1C426.png

2A38405F-38F0-40EE-B0A0-A60188D85BB6.png

F3944EA4-90E7-4C28-B2C3-81113F8CB7CA.png

56A9BBEA-2140-41EE-88CF-41B06C5D9AC3.png

 

Edited by chris55

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Thursday is too far out... Remember Tuesday was the Thursday just a few days ago..  And same a week or so before that. 

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3 minutes ago, MP-R said:

Yep, had some sleet earlier. 01.8C currently.

Its 3.0C up on Lulsgate, you must be at a even higher location in North Somerset?

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Just now, Nights King said:

Thursday is too far out... Remember Tuesday was the Thursday just a few days ago..  And same a week or so before that. 

I'm not sure Tuesday looked as good at this distance out (<70 hours). By this stage, if I remember it rightly, we were down to the thin band shooting west to east, with already questions about rain/sleet/snow. Of course there is still mush time for Thurs to 'go wrong' for us (too far north - very possible, too far south, possible, but less likely). This is also the main system edging in rather than todays scenario.

As ever time will tell...

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1 minute ago, Lloyds32 said:

Its 3.0C up on Lulsgate, you must be at a even higher location in North Somerset?

Very close to Lulsgate. 02.4C now.

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Just now, MP-R said:

Very close to Lulsgate. 02.4C now.

Where is your location? Must be the coldest place in North Somerset at your spot.

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1 minute ago, Zephyr said:

 

Think we all new that this week was certainly just normal winter weather, rain for practically all unless you live at elevation.

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2 minutes ago, Lloyds32 said:

Where is your location? Must be the coldest place in North Somerset at your spot.

I doubt it. Blagdon is still 2C. I’m in Cleeve. It can be a little frost hollow of its own sometimes but not massively so.

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Looks like a washout for the Isle of Wight. The precipitation comes in way to early today and wont get the NW flow til later in the day. Agh 

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4 minutes ago, Lloyds32 said:

Where is your location? Must be the coldest place in North Somerset at your spot.

im at 1.6c with a dew point -0.6c 

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