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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
    1 minute ago, Mapantz said:

    That's all I need! No Emmerdale.

    20190131_195632.thumb.jpg.072f6853ff857e0847ca03dbca2c6e70.jpg

    Ours has just done the same. 

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    Nice little walk with the hound.

    Beautiful looking up towards Peek Tor on Dartmoor this morning ❄❄❄

    Guys good luck today -As they say one mans loss is another mans gain - well for once in the UK the south & SW are going to gobble up the Norths snow ? Someone in North Devon / Somerset / Wilt

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    Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme!
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
    24 minutes ago, SilverWolf said:

    Interesting if you dip into the Midlands thread - they’re still expecting snow to reach the South Midlands and dump a few inches. A few are convinced this is still a developing situation and could all intensify and move north! Damn I’ll have to keep watching the radar now, and open the vino I was saving for when the snow was supposed to start. 

    Who knows Wolf .... I’m undecided.

    Will keep an eye on the radar.

    Part of me says deffo a covering, whereas the rest of me say not a lot lol hahah 

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    Posted
  • Location: Poole
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Hot Sun (but not at the same time!) 57m asl
  • Location: Poole

    I'm hoping and praying the meto have got this right. A big upgrade for here tonight. 

    Screenshot_20190131-195849_Met Office.jpg

    Edited by divadee
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    Posted
  • Location: Cyprus and North east Swindon. 104 ASL
  • Location: Cyprus and North east Swindon. 104 ASL

    Look at the intensity picking up towards the M4 corridor - some heavy stuff in that.

    546B4F06-9103-4C87-84ED-0480783D7F27.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Downton, Wiltshire
  • Location: Downton, Wiltshire
    2 minutes ago, CheesepuffScott said:

    Still no snow here ? 

    I'm being very patient ?

    We might need to give it an hour, or so.

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    Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,

    absolutely chucking it down 

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    Posted
  • Location: W. Sussex, E. Hants & Portsmouth
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, snow and ice. The usual.
  • Location: W. Sussex, E. Hants & Portsmouth

    Nothing at all here, just a handful of flakes earlier. At least there's booze though ??

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
    5 minutes ago, SteveB said:

    Yep, still dying out before getting here. 

    Check the radar, oh look, now brighter echo's have suddenly appeared just to the north of us ***must not swear!!! ***

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    Posted
  • Location: Somerset.
  • Location: Somerset.

    Think this should have been a red warning for here, getting absolutely buried and met showing heavy snow for several more hours.

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    1 hour ago, Singularity said:

    Looks like the upper front left the surface occlusion behind as expected based on FAX charts. Not something that shows up well in models that at best have hourly averages.

    The surface front continues to advance slowly but surely north. Annoying to have the break in ground temp lowering via bombardment with flakes to initiate settling, but the surface front should bring much heavier rates than the upper, as there's less distance of travel in which they can evaporate in the undercutting cold, dry air.

    I agree with you 100% as usual James ? 

    Some on here are looking at misleading information and making erroneous comments - I understand the excitement/disappointment etc.  The snow area has actually been expanding (not contracting). Most models did NOT forecast the the breakaway LP forming on the upper occlusion ahead of the main LP which now may be spawning another break away feature or is becoming even more east/west and pivoting/elongating. This is a highly complex set up and is continuously evolving.  

    rad1.thumb.PNG.4f368500c25016f31b9fbda0b6176c85.PNG

    lastsnowradar_uk.gif

    On the current NetWx I should be under rain but here in Exmouth, I'm less than a mile inland and at a modest 65m and it has been snowing for several hours now, often quite heavily.  It has now settled on all surfaces - about 1 cm on the road and pavements and well over 2 cm on the cars and grass. It looks set to continue on and off for much of the next 12 hours.

    anim_vvz8.gif

    Live Pressure (UK chart is GMT and NW France chart is GMT + 1 hour):

    pression2_uk.png    pression2_no.png

    Watch that LP as it should move eastwards or north eastwards. It sucks down the cold air from the north and maintains the precipitation. I believe that another small centre may form (or is already forming) off Land's End - the main centre is still over 200 miles to the west of Land's End.  The surface occlusion is likely to pulse north and south several times along these mini features.  The upper occlusion is roughly along the line of heaviest snow (red/deep pink on the radar) east to west from mid Surrey westwards to north east Devon.  The clearance in the west has stalled as part of the snow area returns south westwards.  It is uncertain how much northward impetus there will be from the current occlusion, the breakaway feature, any new feature developing or even the main LP but a fair amount of lighter snow has already pushed into the south west Midlands and south east Wales. 

    The winds are increasingly backing towards the east north east and the few remaining less cold areas like the IOW will see their temps falling quite soon and join in the fun quite soon (IMO).

    rad2.thumb.PNG.f37baca09faa43620880a73cf984814d.PNG

    David ? 

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy winters, warm springs, hot summers, warm then stormy autumn
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl
    2 minutes ago, jtay said:

    We might need to give it an hour, or so.

    Yeah, I haven't lost all faith. And MO has some heavy snow symbols for the early hours too 

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    Posted
  • Location: Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, Very Warm, Warm! Sunshine & TS
  • Location: Bournemouth
    3 minutes ago, divadee said:

    I'm hoping and praying the meto have got this right. A big upgrade for here tonight. 

    Screenshot_20190131-195849_Met Office.jpg

    Highly unlikey, there's maybe another 30mins left of snow to come unless the radar is completely screwed.

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    Posted
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Most(see in interests section.)
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
    16 minutes ago, TomW said:

    Very Nice!

    Big flakes too Fromey 

    settling nicely . Nice surprise a complete turn around from earlier dissapointment. 

     

     

    BE06CF4B-6021-439E-AAD8-5791E977D383.jpeg

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    Posted
  • Location: Poole
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Hot Sun (but not at the same time!) 57m asl
  • Location: Poole
    1 minute ago, Alderc said:

    Highly unlikey, there's maybe another 30mins left of snow to come unless the radar is completely screwed.

    I have hope the radar is wrong. ?

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    Posted
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny or cold and snowy. Nothing inbetween.
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater

    Co Of inches on the ground here now 

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    Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
    2 minutes ago, Bring Back1962-63 said:

    I agree with you 100% as usual James ? 

    Some on here are looking at misleading information and making erroneous comments - I understand the excitement/disappointment etc.  The snow area has actually been expanding (not contracting). Most models did NOT forecast the the breakaway LP forming on the upper occlusion ahead of the main LP which now may be spawning another break away feature or is becoming even more east/west and pivoting/elongating. This is a highly complex set up and is continuously evolving.  .....................

     

    snipped to save space.......Thanks David for your informative post.....gives me renewed faith for the next 12 hours :oldsmile:

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    Posted
  • Location: Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Dry mild or snow winter. Hot and humid summer.
  • Location: Bournemouth

    @Bring Back1962-63 to be fair and credit to @knocker he suggested the breakaway low.? I’m learning all the time. Thank you for your input and knocker’s ??

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