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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

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Thought this place would be more busy radar grab absolute PEACH brewing in channel! There should be an amber covering at least some of SE England including London.

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5 minutes ago, Hurricane Debby said:

Good evening Lightning Lover ! What's your predictions for down here ?

900CM OF SNOW AND A SNOW BOM-- Sorry, I left my daily Express mode on...

I hope we get around 2-3cm, if not more. It *may* turn to rain during the early hours, but we'll see.

 

Edited by LightningLover

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1 minute ago, Paul Sherman said:

A few 20cm figures South of the M4 around the Swindon area, and also some 20cm obviously in Wales, Cotswolds, Salisbury Plain etc

For real? AWESOME

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1 minute ago, Snow Queen one said:

Looking at the radar I don't see that front fizzling out before it gets to london

dont take the radar as gospel though

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1 minute ago, Jemma Croton said:

For real? AWESOME

Yep Swindon was the Jackpot zone, but it also has widely 5cm across a lot of Kent, Surrey, Sussex,Hampshire London areas as well

We shall see

Edited by Paul Sherman

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2 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

A few 20cm figures South of the M4 around the Swindon area, and also some 20cm obviously in Wales, Cotswolds, Salisbury Plain etc

The Berkshire downs and into Wiltshire always do quite well out of these situations. Some great sledging hills round there too!

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2 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

the post you replied to mentioned thundersnow near the coasts ……..that's why i asked - you seemed to be excited at  the prospect of seeing it!

Yes - I get excited if somewhere like London will get thundersnow tomorrow because if it's nighttime you will be able to see the cumulonimbus potentially holding the thundersnow from my bedroom window. Last year (March 2018) I saw the little flickers of lightning in the cloud when the storm was Margate!

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Just now, Jemma Croton said:

For real? AWESOME

but not in your garden Jemma …….next door, yes, but you will have to make do with a cm 😁

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Small bit of caution that the PPN is really dying off fast at the moment and I’m not far from the coast. Hoping some stronger bands come through. 

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4 minutes ago, Tony Cassidy said:

So even though the radar returns looks like it should be snowain’t in Sussex, there doesn’t appear to be much at all? That’s disappointing, here in Crawley it’s dry with no snow falling.

Snowing in hildenboro and thats startling in its self.. Tonbrige is to the south east as furnace creek is to death valley 🙂

Edited by TN9

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Just now, zmstorm said:

Yes - I get excited if somewhere like London will get thundersnow tomorrow because if it's nighttime you will be able to see the cumulonimbus potentially holding the thundersnow from my bedroom window. Last year (March 2018) I saw the little flickers of lightning in the cloud when the storm was Margate!

the point is that i wouldn't get excited - there wont be any

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12 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

There is a growing band of them that preach the Mild, Not for me too say but maybe they are nudged in that direction for Joe Publics sake, gone are the days of proper forecasts and forecasters who told it how it was in the 80's and 90's

Sad Times

Bring back John Kettley - massive cold ramper

Edited by Stu_London

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51 minutes ago, WhiteFox said:

I was lucky enough to catch one storm that dumped 27 inches. There are some pics in my profile. Hard to believe it was 13 years ago!

Awesome photos, thanks for sharing

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On the radar it definitely looks like the pivot has started, but I may be imagining it....

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Meto precip charts showing Kent as the favoured location later 

Is this whole mass of precip going to pivot and start moving N/NW?

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1 minute ago, bluearmy said:

the point is that i wouldn't get excited - there wont be any

We'll just have to wait and see tomorrow.

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1 minute ago, bluearmy said:

but not in your garden Jemma …….next door, yes, but you will have to make do with a cm 😁

Hahaha. Wouldn’t be surprised 

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That radar looks to be ahead of schedule at the moment...

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Nothing here yet just north of Petworth. Whatever the radar may be saying it isn't reaching the ground yet, but wind is getting up.

 

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main ppn band seems to be moving in a due northerly direction now

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Just saw this on TWO

 

" Amber may be modified shortly, removing W Country but extending east to SE areas. The small wave low now running along the Cherbourg Pennisula coast will enhance ppn and push it into Sussex/Kent from 9pm. Larger totals likely here than previously modelled.
You can see this process happening in the radar loop. "

It's looking a lot less likely for further west, those expecting 10-20cm or so more especially

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Temp 1.0, dp -2. Currently dry, but can see cloud base lowering. Can also see planes stacked for approach to Heathrow (often pass over here when wind is of an easterly orientation), so suggests cloudbase is still that bit higher to the north.

 

Three Mile Cross.

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Light snow in burgess hill

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Snow flakes are falling here in Burgess Hill, West Sussex

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Back in Reigate now.  Dry but the wind has picked up. Radar suggests there should be precipitation but so far there isn't.

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