SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

[kold weather]

As expected, low pressure has been confirmed now at the surface as well with wind flow showing a nice shift. It seems to be a little further north than the models expected this morning which is also a good thing.

Anyway front still moving northwards and showing no signs at the moment of weakening and shearing off to the east to any great degree. The longer we can keep that low going to our west the better as that will keep feeding the frontal system northwards.

[dallas]

13 minutes ago, DAVID SNOW said:

By yourself?

Ha Ha nice one. Lol

Edited January 31, 2019 by dallas

[Coopsy]

11 minutes ago, Daniel Smith said:

BANK 12z HIRLAM and ICON

yes please!

[Neilsouth]

Just now, kold weather said:

As expected, low pressure has been confirmed now at the surface as well with wind flow showing a nice shift. It seems to be a little further north than the models expected this morning which is also a good thing.

Anyway front still moving northwards and showing no signs at the moment of weakening and shearing off to the east to any great degree. The longer we can keep that low going to our west the better as that will keep feeding the frontal system northwards.

But we don't want it going too far north or more people in the south will get rain earlier

[yamkin]

Croydon Council gritting teams will be out again at 17:00 hrs covering primary, secondary & pedestrian routes 

Edited January 31, 2019 by yamkin

[Mark Bayley]

HIRLAM is especially good for those of us in NW London (within M25), 3-5cm of snow. 

https://www.wxcharts.com/?panel=default&model=hirlam,hirlam,hirlam,hirlam&region=uk&chart=winteroverview,winteroverview,wind10mkph,snowdepth&run=12&step=048&plottype=10&lat=52.389&lon=3.744&skewtstep=0 

Edited January 31, 2019 by Mark Bayley

[snowray]

Fantastic HIRLAM 12z just coming out, heavier PPN rates for all of us including areas north of London. Sorry cant post any pics right now.

[throwoff]

5 minutes ago, Badgers01 said:

Any updates from the Met yet ? Sounds like they are still going with below ...

Seems too low for me that

[Hammer]

15 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

it reminds me of the premature celebrations in the mod thread when everyone thought the easterly was nailed on a couple of weeks back

Clearly joking but not surprised it got a reaction. Some in here seem to take everything so so seriously.

Edited January 31, 2019 by Hammer
Spelling

[Chris101]

Looking at radar and sat imagery it is clear to me why this front has caused so many headaches, the shear on it makes it look like it could start rotating at numerous positions along it, therefore moving the pivot to a different position.

[frozencanals]

Hi All,

Just seen a gritter go past my office at Blackfriars bridge here in London

Cheers

 

FC

[kold weather]

1 minute ago, Neilsouth said:

But we don't want it going too far north or more people in the south will get rain earlier

I don't think that will be an issue this time to be honest, and frankly I'd rather it gets further north then it not getting far enough north to give the heavier stuff. Better to have had snow, than never have snow at all!

[saint]

Wind definitely starting to pick up here. 

[Weathizard]

Makes a change for us in the south to benefit from a snow event to be honest! Welcomed change from watching everyone up north or in the midlands buried whilst we have rain 

Edited January 31, 2019 by Weathizard

[Keefo]

Just dropped below freezing. Now -0.1C

[throwoff]

I've put the fan on to get the temp down

[Nath]

I dont mean to be a debbie downer, but the most I am expecting is a semi cover on things like cars, some areas of grass, tops of walls etc of under 1cm, which will melt and disappear by tomorrow lunchtime lol

[Kent Blizzard]

It's been such a long day of chart and radar watching I'm shattered, might just go to bed early and miss it all anyway 

[Mikel Nimbus]

2 minutes ago, Mark Bayley said:

HIRLAM is especially good for those of us in NW Londn, 3-5cm of snow. 

Hope you're right but to me Hirlam looks to stall the front a bit too far south for us. GFS 12z showing a greater northward progression but ppn fizzles out very quickly so we'd be lucky to see a couple of cm.

 

[Audaxian]

Got another hour of work here in Uxbridge before hitting the road to head back down to Uckfield. MetOffice is suggesting the snow might beat me home...

[Mark Bayley]

Note the low goes east, helping to push the front a little further north (and enhancing the precipitation rates)

 

[Kent Blizzard]

1 minute ago, throwoff said:

I've put the fan on to get the temp down

I've opened the fridge freezer doors 

[steveinsussex]

Can anyone with access to the models describe Sunday’s potential? Is it for down here or elsewhere in the country?

[Nqp15hhu]

2 minutes ago, Weathizard said:

Makes a change for us in the south to benefit from a snow event to be honest! Welcomed change from watching everyone up north or in the midlands buried whilst we have rain 

We haven’t had any lying snow up here all winter. 

[kold weather]

2 minutes ago, Chris101 said:

Looking at radar and sat imagery it is clear to me why this front has caused so many headaches, the shear on it makes it look like it could start rotating at numerous positions along it, therefore moving the pivot to a different position.

Best advice is zone into the front edge of the front, then find an object relative to it, and watch its relative forward motion to that thing.

So I'm using the Isle of Wight and watching the front edge. That is helping me to see it is still moving near due N towards the south coast. Just a hint of slowdown in the last 15 minutes.