Jump to content
Holidays
Local
Radar
Snow?
Blessed Weather

SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

Recommended Posts

1 minute ago, steveinsussex said:

I think I’m gonna log off

 

too much bad news

#Snexit

OMG that’s so funny . Snexit! 😎

Why are you logging off it still looks good for your area .

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
22 minutes ago, kold weather said:

More importantly its coming through quicker than the ARPEGE/AROME suggested.

By the way, I'm in the 'screw' zone on the UKMO website radar estimate. The front kicks up a gear near London, but dies to my south. I'm basically in between with very light snow throughout. Too far north for the stronger front edge, to far south for it when it gets re-energised (AROME does show that re-energising to the north near London by the way). Thats pretty typical how things usually work out for me ;) 

Where are you Kold (can’t see on my phone)?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, CanadianCoops said:

Whats your temp and humidity? I'll let you know

Currently 0.9c and 85% humidity, thanks!🙂

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

-2.6c here with bright sunshine.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
17 minutes ago, BeazleyBlizzard said:

Have had confirmation of snow in Petersfield and Horley at the moment.  Showers popping up.  Weren't as much fog as first thought,  is that a good thing or a bad thing with regards to the temps?

I promise you it’s not snowing in Horley! 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
8 minutes ago, nick sussex said:

The Euro 4 still looks good for the se more M4 southwards . Some large totals over the Souty Downs .

 

Looks decent, shows the front holding fairly steady...good update. I'm just inside the higher precip band to the south, but that's way too close for comfort and knowing my ,luck it will hug just to the south, decay as it goes over me and then strengthen to my north....meaning I'll end up in the death spot so to speak with the least snow ;) ( and that's not me  being negative, that's what several models now show).

Still ARPEGE has the best grip thus far on where the features are all developing in relation to the front.

I'm now watching for a second LP to perhaps start to form within the higher precipitation area. This will be the main kicker and will determine whether we get a sheared joke of a system or something with more clout coming in.

 

Edited by kold weather

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

We don't have an amber warning yet, but the Met homepage seems to think we do...

Are they pre-empting, or is it a mistake? 🤪

Capture2.PNG

Edited by Mark
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Can anyone explain why the met have updated the snow warnings and left East Anglia up because according to the models it's not reaching that far ?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, Nick F said:

Dry air intrusion into back of frontal zone creating quite a bit of instability with SST help, may also help cyclogenesis and bump up snowfall along front

F3F6C23C-D3E9-4FC0-A8AE-E6B9138796C0.thumb.jpeg.4f2d678b0ba519eb6487cc62054a136b.jpeg6E80D239-CBEF-4101-A390-EB5FA3AE006A.thumb.png.ab9156444c7084cfee258cede6da5d73.png

Thought it might. Sea is quite warm still.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

KW you aren't doing my anxiety any good😂

Think I'm going to just wait and see what falls out of the sky.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Mark said:

We don't have an amber warning yet, but the Met homepage seems to think we do...

Are they pre-empting, or is it a mistake? 🤪

Capture2.PNG

It covers a very small area but will lump it together with the who region 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, kold weather said:

Looks decent, shows the front holding fairly steady...good update. I'm just inside the higher precip band to the south, but that's way too close for comfort and knowing my ,luck it will hug just to the south, decay as it goes over me and then strengthen to my north....meaning I'll end up in the death spot so to speak with the least snow  

Still ARPEGE has the best grip thus far on where the features are all developing in relation to the front.

I'm now watching for a second LP to perhaps start to form within the higher precipitation area. This will be the main kicker and will determine whether we get a sheared joke of a system or something with more clout coming in.

 

Take a chill pill ! 😎 

You’re going to give yourself an ulcer before the days out ! Unfortunately I have to go out soon for a few hours so will miss your  very entertaining emotional rollercoaster posts ! 😎

Would you believe it I’m heading off to the Asian supermarket near Pau !  I love French food but you can’t beat a good curry !

  • Like 6

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Mark Liffen said:

Can anyone explain why the met have updated the snow warnings and left East Anglia up because according to the models it's not reaching that far ?

Possible shower activity off the North Sea, I believe.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Not looking good here in Clacton on sea for any snow if front gets this far ,temp2.5. dew 1c with a south east breeze bringing less cold air off north sea

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, TomSE12 said:

Morning All,

Here is a Wintry slideshow for all Surrey members to enjoy, hopefully other members too. These photos have been reproduced with the very kind permission of Ian Currie.

1)image.thumb.png.5969d7c2972887a061bad027c0a29fe8.png 2) image.thumb.png.d0ca1065c8c138cd4b80f9246e288bd1.png 3) image.thumb.png.c71fc3ce63f0619ad57fc925375fc756.png

4) image.thumb.png.7a0f85302eb1c0d7703207babb469864.png 5) image.thumb.png.1c444a025a9f190a64e0a90275c7e531.png 

6) image.thumb.png.0eddda6e701fa1f61315ab81583105b4.png 7) image.thumb.png.93eb54d0fce2a50c7377cc19a210ae30.png

8) image.thumb.png.6d4aac7451ea8934f3a3b9e49aa7acd5.png 9) image.thumb.png.98496c8658d5466473e6177dbdb2981e.png

10) image.thumb.png.d0840700124b361f7dfec6ac275aad04.png 11) image.thumb.png.dd8164a12b2fb5666f19e043a13c6064.png

12) image.thumb.png.d23feba097c2afde44ef31d750392acb.png 13) image.thumb.png.a4a231f383a4792e2f8c72fd1023dc07.png 14) image.thumb.png.a6ab1d3b5daee268c1b8e2b8e293b2c6.png

15) image.thumb.png.c81d3316680b0b9644a994742d5d99aa.png 16) image.thumb.png.f2ae8d198d455276482b805be8f4e6f6.png

17) image.thumb.png.79963eea2fcf2f7e78b93afe30a0cf63.png  18) image.thumb.png.1a987d99af76247f24a191278d9fcfb8.png

19) image.thumb.png.ed93c2f0a84d3a8278ad8c86340a83b1.png 20) image.thumb.png.c9c92f053ba3f00aab828ba88af74a9e.png

1) A25 Nutfield to Bletchingly, after Boxing Day blizzard, 1927.

2) Claremont Road, Surbiton.1906.

3) The frozen Thames, at Kingston Bridge, Feb.1895.

4) Troops clear deep snow in Lesbourne Road, Reigate,Feb.1915.

5) Residents standing next to 15 foot drifts at Tatsfield, near Biggin Hill (Surrey/Kent border) Dec.1927.

6) Two schoolboys dwarfed by 15 foot drifts at Tilburstow Hill, Godstone. Dec.1927.

7) Car stuck in drift, Farnham Road, Guildford.28th Dec.1927.

8) Council workers clear deep snow, Redhill High Street. Winter 1947.

9) 471 bus and milk van stuck in deep drifts, between Biggin Hill and Tatsfield. Winter 1947,

10) Bus jackknifed in deep snow at Longdown, Hindhead. Not sure of year?

11) Start of the deep freeze Winter.Dec.1962/63. Commonfield Road, Banstead.

12) Bulldozer cuts it's way through deep drifts, between Upper Warlingham and Chelsham. Jan.1963.

13) Gigantic icicles on a house, at Lower Kingswood. Jan. 1963.

14) Snow swept into deep piles, outside store in Horley. Jan.1963.

15) Frozen Thames at Shepperton. Jan.1963.

16) A243 at Hook. Dec.1978.

17) Outside Ian Currie's house, Rickman Hill, Cousdon. Jan.1987.

18) Ian Currie outside the school in Caterham, where he was a Geography Master.

19) A poor soul waiting for a bus, on Reigate Hill. 15th Jan.1987.

20) Finally, back to Jan.1987 and a policeman on point duty at East Clandon. 

I hope the glare on some of the pictures, hasn't spoilt your enjoyment of them.

These photos have been reproduced with the very kind permission of Ian Currie.

Ian co-wrote the Surrey County Weather Book with Mark Davison and co-wrote the Kent County Weather Book with Bob Ogley and Mark Davison.

Regards,

Tom. :hi:

Great photos Tom.

87 still “the daddy” as far as I’m concerned.

  • Like 6

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Mark said:

We don't have an amber warning yet, but the Met homepage seems to think we do...

Are they pre-empting, or is it a mistake? 🤪

Capture2.PNG

You need to look at the map or read previous posts and you’ll find it’s just New Forest in far SW corner of their London and SE region under Amber for now.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, Nick F said:

Dry air intrusion into back of frontal zone creating quite a bit of instability with SST help, may also help cyclogenesis and bump up snowfall along front

F3F6C23C-D3E9-4FC0-A8AE-E6B9138796C0.thumb.jpeg.4f2d678b0ba519eb6487cc62054a136b.jpeg6E80D239-CBEF-4101-A390-EB5FA3AE006A.thumb.png.ab9156444c7084cfee258cede6da5d73.png

Yeah the models are all quite keen on a LP forming in the area of higher precipitation. That is the key area to watch and the area I'm watching like a hawk for any LP development. The first one still getting a stronger return on the radar, and you can even see the dry slot it develops starting to get going.

Edit - actually just hints of that happening now on the backedge of the deep convection.

Nick - have a good time, you can't beat a good curry as you say, I've not had one for a while and that's put me well in the mood!!

Edited by kold weather
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, Mark said:

We don't have an amber warning yet, but the Met homepage seems to think we do...

Are they pre-empting, or is it a mistake? 🤪

Capture2.PNG

Seems just a bit of Hampshire sneaks in👍

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, Nick F said:

Dry air intrusion into back of frontal zone creating quite a bit of instability with SST help, may also help cyclogenesis and bump up snowfall along front

F3F6C23C-D3E9-4FC0-A8AE-E6B9138796C0.thumb.jpeg.4f2d678b0ba519eb6487cc62054a136b.jpeg6E80D239-CBEF-4101-A390-EB5FA3AE006A.thumb.png.ab9156444c7084cfee258cede6da5d73.png

Thought it might. Sea is quite warm still.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Nick F. When is the peak for daytime heating please, if there is such a thing,

 

Thanks

Edited by dallas

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Nick F said:

You need to look at the map or read previous posts and you’ll find it’s just New Forest in far SW corner of their London and SE region under Amber for now.

Yeah, I clicked on the London and SE link and it is indeed the New Forest that giving false hope 🙄

Nice to bring the whole of the SE into the warning for the sake of a few dozen square miles! 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Crikey Darren you really need to chill mate 😂What will be will be just watch the radar real time later - Don't need you in Hospital later when the snow is falling all around you

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Paul Sherman said:

Crikey Darren you really need to chill mate 😂What will be will be just watch the radar real time later - Don't need you in Hospital later when the snow is falling all around you

Ha your so right mate, fine I'll ease a little, don't want to be peaking too early after all, that's no good for anyone....ummmm....

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

aromehd-45-36-0.png?31-12

I'll take that - a couple of cm's of snow (i think its overdoing the totals). Really a case of radar watching now. 

Edited by Mark Bayley
  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...