SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

[kold weather]

5 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Latest from Dan - And bear in mind he is getting far more info than what we see and it is fresh off the bat not like the recorded Met and BBC efforts from hours ago

This Map looks on the money to me

 

Yeah Paul that looks about right to me for places north of the Thames, looks like the main action is decent south of that region, and even that area looks slightly iffy if some of the 12z suite were correct.

Just got to hope that some of the more aggressive models are correct...quite honestly anything could happen with it.

[coram]

In the far west of our region(north-east Hampshire) we've just had a graupel or hail shower. Enough for a very light covering or is it just a dusting?

[snowrye]

Beautiful winters day,lovely driving about all over place,and amazed at how varied the snowfall was,I ended up with around 2cm here,but down the hill only a cm or so,and as I got down to sea level,and nearer the coast in Rye,very little.Took these on bexhill seafront earlier,sunset was mesmerizing,and some beautiful cloud structure,which I noticed about an hour before,as I drove back from ashford,busy day in my taxi.My daughter then text from hastings and noticed some lightning off the french coast,I checked blitzortung,and sure enough,lightning detected,well thats my day explained,hoping its all still good for tomorrow for us here

[Cheese Rice]

So basically we are lucky if London sees a covering. 

A mess. 

[Paul Sherman]

8 minutes ago, kold weather said:

Yeah Paul that looks about right to me for places north of the Thames, looks like the main action is decent south of that region, and even that area looks slightly iffy if some of the 12z suite were correct.

Just got to hope that some of the more aggressive models are correct...quite honestly anything could happen with it.

Yh sorry Darren that's only for East Anglia would be good to see a Map for areas South and West of the Thames agree

[Lampostwatcher]

2 minutes ago, Cheese Rice said:

So basically we are lucky if London sees a covering. 

A mess. 

3-6 cms according to the bbc weather mate greater london

[mulzy]

14 minutes ago, Sharpedge said:

For a moment I thought you were talking about Thursday/Fridays event!

We should have snow accumulation if it actually snows! Everything is trending south - we need that trend to stop!!

[Mark]

Currently in Fulham and long standing cars already have frost on them. Car says 3c, which is definitely a lie. 

Going to be bitter tonight, even in London, and any fog could make for a very wintery scene in the morning. Will be back in SE12 in an hour or so, but have to go into central London tomorrow. Will be radar watching all day for the potential return commute hell! 

[Lampostwatcher]

a lot of imby posts in here atm lol 

south of the m4

not much for north of m4

radar watching me thinks

[kold weather]

4 minutes ago, Lampostwatcher said:

a lot of imby posts in here atm lol 

south of the m4

not much for north of m4

radar watching me thinks

Unfortunately a lot of the models are saying that. No point in dressing it up, the models re getting pretty poor for those north of the M4/Thames.

As you say it is time for radar watching anyway soon, but the 12z suite were very much a mixed bag and there is as up potential, as there for a total bust for everyone.

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

That just about sums up our luck in East Berkshire

[Downpour]

24 minutes ago, Nqp15hhu said:

He gave a dig at me about my degree when I asked him about the event that he mentioned.

Why not have a crack at a forecast? You are a meteorologist so why not draw a snow forecast map? That’s a genuine request - might be a better use of your time than bickering with other members! 

[bluearmy]

Just now, prolongedSnowLover said:

That just about sums up our luck in East Berkshire

I guarantee it won’t be like that ........ not for the whole period that snow is possible !

[Lampostwatcher]

2 minutes ago, prolongedSnowLover said:

That just about sums up our luck in East Berkshire

snowing over my house and im north of m4

[snowbob]

33 minutes ago, Nqp15hhu said:

Anybody know about this supposed event for Saturday, that Paul negated to provide clarification on? Is it going to affect Northern East Anglia, or is it just affecting Essex? 

Thought you were a student in meteorology 

 

[kold weather]

2 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

I guarantee it won’t be like that ........ not for the whole period that snow is possible !

The funniest model I've seen was ICON's 06z run, where the front literally jumped over a part of Surrey as the back end faded away and sheared off to the east and the front end strengthened once past that area...

Meaning there was a literal hole with 0cms due to the way the front responds. Unlikely, but not totally impossible.

[Ben Lewis]

12 minutes ago, Lampostwatcher said:

a lot of imby posts in here atm lol 

south of the m4

not much for north of m4

radar watching me thinks

Living in Bedfordshire I’d love heavy Snow here come tomorrow night but models say otherwise despite TV forecasts 

As things stand - Surrey & Berkshire look best place in our region (south of M4) 

London northwards is a case of nowcast. 

It is what it is... nothing to do with imby 

[Lampostwatcher]

lucky for me south of the m4 is only a 3 miles away or so

if the bbc are wrong I might cone down and tea leaf some of yours

dan saff

Edited January 30, 2019 by Lampostwatcher

[Radiating Dendrite]

4 minutes ago, snowbob said:

Thought you were a student in meteorology 

 

So did I - surely you can have a good stab at your own forecast?

[kold weather]

2 minutes ago, Lampostwatcher said:

lucky for me south of the m4 is only a 3 miles away or so

if the bbc are wrong I might cone down and tea leaf some you

dan saff

Ah well your going to be 3 miles away from the heavy snow, you know how that M4 line is, totally unpassable for weather systems!  

[Cheese Rice]

21 minutes ago, Mark said:

Currently in Fulham and long standing cars already have frost on them. Car says 3c, which is definitely a lie. 

Going to be bitter tonight, even in London, and any fog could make for a very wintery scene in the morning. Will be back in SE12 in an hour or so, but have to go into central London tomorrow. Will be radar watching all day for the potential return commute hell! 

Well the official weather stations at Heathrow and City Airport are 2 & 3.c so Fulham is probably around 3.c as well. We should hopefully get down to -2.c tonight 

[AmershamMike]

Just upgraded on met office site after downgrades through day! About 3 miles above M40 - bring it on!

[Cheese Rice]

I'm not particularly optimistic that we'll see a covering in central tbh, my concern is the band is going to be light and patchy by time it gets here and light snow never settles in this part of London. Hopefully we see a heavier burst of snow to begin with and anything after that should find it easer to lay. 

Edited January 30, 2019 by Cheese Rice

[jright35]

Classic!

[SMU]

Just landed at home

Most of the Garden snow still intact - lost about 1cm 

Anything in the shade lost next to nothing-

Temp -1.8c & dropping steadily !