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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018


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3 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Just to add I think its a good thing we have no PPN over us at the moment

I want that front as slow as possible to allow for the surface temps to drop early eve...

I think you’re probably in a good spot Steve .... 

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Best of luck to the SE gang tonight ?

Evening All, I hope other Members have no objection but just wanted to post up a Wintry Slideshow, for our Kentish Members. But I hope all Members will enjoy these very Wintry photos, from around

Best of luck yo you guys and girls in the South. Don't give up hope if it starts as rain. It rained here for about 2 hours now it's heavy snow. You should be good for a few cms also as it's very heavy

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2 minutes ago, Kent Blizzard said:

Indeed Steve, I was hoping after 9pm like the initial meto thoughts but it looks earlier now, can see it being one hell of a mess.....Buckmore Park tonight?

Ha no karting tonight

Just window watching!

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Just now, bluearmy said:

I think you’re probably in a good spot Steve .... 

Ive havent looked at the 06s been busy

Whats my target max for 150M -8cm?

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13 minutes ago, Kent Blizzard said:

I'm going to look really odd walking about later with a canoe and paddle in one hand and a sledge in the other....I just like to be prepared for everything

 

 

I give you the sledge boat.

boat.jpg

Edited by Chris101
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Not expecting much at all personally here, I am near enough at 100m but will probably be a wintry mix, snow in the heavier stuff but probably sleety stuff in the lighter. Pure snow line thus far over the west seems to be about 150m. We will have a slight advantage given the time of day the frontal system is arriving at. Going to probably come down to luck of the draw with regards to where the heaviest returns along the front will be and thus accumulating snowfall.

Edited by kold weather
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Southerly fetch ahead of the front moving in from the west edging temps up to 4-6C

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However, it's the cold air undercut of the front from the W/NW that brings the potential for rain to turn to snow, we need this undercut to come in pretty quickly to have chance of much in the way of back-edge snow other than a few flakes before the precipitation clears.

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The GFS chart below overlays dew point with precipitation, the 0C line critical for snow to fall does dissect precip band halfway through, so still think there is chance for some back edge snow, but would hope for it be heavy to settle on wet ground after the preceding rain. 

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Gonna be touch and go for accumulations away from higher ground, but we'll have to wait and see.

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Worth also noting most will see rain for the start, as there is some precipitation in front of the cold front which will likely edge into the west of our area from 4pm onwards. Snow will be on the cold front trailing that little area of precipitation.

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Here in Reigate in the Surrey Hills the temperature has risen steadily after an overnight low of -3.4c and it's currently 5.4c with the dewpoint at 2.3c.  Those readings, clearly not conducive to snow, come from a very reliable pro-standard weather station at Reigate Grammar at c.95m asl, slightly lower than where I am at 110m.  I'm not expecting anything other than a bit of sleetiness, although right at the top of the North Downs at 230m it might be a different story, at least for a while.  

 

Thursday has, to use some popular NW terminology, potentially more potential......

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2 hours ago, DonnaThw said:

No need to rub salt in to our desperate Rye wounds ? I have this horrible feeling that nasa will take a photo of the uk in the morning like 2010 and everyone will be covered apart from a tiny splodge in the SE called Rye 

I LOVE Rye. I feel for all southeasterners

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