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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

Blessed Weather

By Blessed Weather
in Regional

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turkishfella Enthusiast

turkishfella

Posted
  • Location: Brighton
  • Weather Preferences: Snow Storm That Lasts 3 Days
  • Location: Brighton
Posted
1 hour ago, lawrenk said:

Looking forward to tonight turkishfella? 

You’re not far off the Amber warning area so maybe in luck?

maybe, let's see. I will share if anything good happens

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tight isobar Maestro

tight isobar

Posted
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: blizzard conditions. ice days
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
Posted
Just now, username home said:

There’s a comma between east and London...

Thats why i edited my post...

I didnt click..so it was blurry...

 

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Coopsy Accomplished

Coopsy

Posted
  • Location: Canmore, AB 4296ft|North Kent 350ft|Killearn 330ft
  • Location: Canmore, AB 4296ft|North Kent 350ft|Killearn 330ft
Posted
1 minute ago, Reefseeker said:

Me too, supposed to have finished preparing next week's lecture by lunch time... ummmm.... does radar-watching count?!

Stop distracting me - I've got 8 mins and one slide left.....in summary.......don't get addicted to the weather. The end. That'll do. 

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Stroudley Enthusiast

Stroudley

Posted
  • Location: Lancing, West Sussex
  • Location: Lancing, West Sussex
Posted

Temp has dropped to 3.6c but is now holding steady. DP is exactly 0! Wind picking up from the East, but still some blue sky visible amongst the cloud cover.

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DAVE_ALLEN Enthusiast

DAVE_ALLEN

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Location: Godalming
Posted (edited)

Looking at the latest radar, I think the low forming off the coast of South Devon is holding up the advance of the snow towards Exeter and Bristol way.  The precip

is advancing up the channel at a far greater rate off knots.  It could be that the low pulls the precip off shore a little to come ashore again further along the Dorset coastline. This could well cause the front to pep up significantly as it comes inland this evening with a SE undercut.  @kold weather could well see a lot of snow and with a potential second sweet spot on the in Mid Surrey across to the Surrey E Sussex border.  These are developing things to watch in real time. I would expect the Met O Amber alerts to be issued later for somewhere from Mid Hants to E Sussex in a line.  Suffolk and Kent may well do slightly better than they are expecting if what I think is happening now turns out to be correct.  

This could also explain why we are seeing snow on the beach in N Devon as winds begin to get pulled in from more of an ENE direction.

 

Spot.png

 

Edited by DAVE_ALLEN
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tight isobar Maestro

tight isobar

Posted
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: blizzard conditions. ice days
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
Posted
2 minutes ago, Snowflake Queen said:

Don’t know why it says that as I’m under Uxbridge really ...

Its just give or take 2/3 miles.

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kold weather Maestro

kold weather

Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
Posted (edited)
8 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

After a high of a lofty 2.8c we are on the way down @2.3c now

Expecting to be at zero by 430/5pm

Bit higher temperatures here, but importantly the dew points on the way down again which is good sign. 3C on the dot here.

Dave - I do hope so! The front is certainly pushing up at a faster clip than the models expected. EVen 12z ICON is quite some way off for example with the timing (its about 2hrs ahead!) which would give two hours of further penetration before the system shears to the east. Should mean a little more northward progress of the heaviest band of snow.

LP is moving due east at the moment.

Edited by kold weather
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dallas Enthusiast

dallas

Posted
  • Location: Greenhithe, N/W Kent (home) City Of London (work)
  • Location: Greenhithe, N/W Kent (home) City Of London (work)
Posted

Seems to have peaked at 4c and dew points down from 1 to-1, city of London

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Big Dave Enthusiast

Big Dave

Posted
  • Location: Ashford Kent
  • Weather Preferences: 1. Clear skies 2. Cold 3. Snow 4. Hot
  • Location: Ashford Kent
Posted (edited)

I was surprised to see that Meteox radar has the band of snow coming in but quickly turning back to rain across most of the south.  01:00 friday

image.png.d4f1a325765cb42ce3ad15a42b26aefb.png

 

Edited by Big Dave
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SMU Maestro

SMU

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, kold weather said:

Bit higher temperatures here, but importantly the dew points on the way down again which is good sign. 3C on the dot here.

Dave - I do hope so! The front is certainly pushing up at a faster clip than the models expected. EVen 12z ICON is quite some way off for example with the timing (its about 2hrs ahead!) which would give two hours of further penetration before the system shears to the east. Should mean a little more northward progress of the heaviest band of snow.

LP is moving due east at the moment.

Also more good news

midnight tonight ICON 12v PPN v 06z

F43C51D2-8E55-4032-B675-AB3512011636.thumb.png.5f4d40732a925ec1260fe191efa2911c.pngD90ADC66-3A38-4CA8-8940-87033648827B.thumb.png.b41f6bd7f71a895632aaad3701dda423.png

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Met4Cast Maestro

Met4Cast

Posted
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent
Posted
2 minutes ago, Big Dave said:

I was surprised to see that Meteox radar has the band of snow coming in but quickly turning back to rain across most of the south.  

image.png.d4f1a325765cb42ce3ad15a42b26aefb.png

 

Low res and way, wayyy too far North..

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Kentspur Accomplished

Kentspur

Posted
  • Location: Live in NW Kent by the Thames & work in SE London
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy November to March and Sunny and warm April to October
  • Location: Live in NW Kent by the Thames & work in SE London
Posted (edited)

I've been sent a surprise pic of settling snow coming down hard and fast in coastal Cornwall!! By my friend who's at Penryn campus of Exeter University! Having told her to expect rain and sleet unlike all of us she hates snow I tell you what it bodes we for all of us if Atlantic Cornwall can achieve early afternoon day time settling snow! Add to this the NW snow radar shows rain over her area!

Edited by Kentspur
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Big Dave Enthusiast

Big Dave

Posted
  • Location: Ashford Kent
  • Weather Preferences: 1. Clear skies 2. Cold 3. Snow 4. Hot
  • Location: Ashford Kent
Posted
3 minutes ago, James Gold said:

What time is that sorry?

sorry, 1am friday

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Yarmy Maestro

Yarmy

Posted
  • Location: Near King's Lynn 13.68m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hoar Frost, Snow, Misty Autumn mornings
  • Location: Near King's Lynn 13.68m ASL
Posted (edited)
10 minutes ago, James Gold said:

What time is that sorry?

Never o'clock. Don't know what it is based on, but there is zero chance of the front getting that far north. 

Edit: Well not zero, but highly unlikely given all the high res output.

 

Edited by Yarmy
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DAVE_ALLEN Enthusiast

DAVE_ALLEN

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Location: Godalming
Posted
13 minutes ago, kold weather said:

Interestingly the front is moving faster than expected, even on the UKMO update at 14z on the radar (Is it a version of UKV, does anyone know?).

If this is the case, then that obviously is a good thing for those a little further north in this region for the heavier stuff.

Its certainly advancing up the channel faster than it is over Somerset and Wiltshire. Could cause the channel precip to intensify at it comes ashore with a cold SE undercut. I would expect that new low forming off Devon to position itself close to the IOW by 7-8 pm

 

UNADJUSTEDNONRAW_thumb_1edcc.thumb.jpg.fce2c451f8736ae88e62511d99869277.jpg

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kold weather Maestro

kold weather

Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
Posted
3 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Also more good news

midnight tonight ICON 12v PPN v 06z

F43C51D2-8E55-4032-B675-AB3512011636.thumb.png.5f4d40732a925ec1260fe191efa2911c.pngD90ADC66-3A38-4CA8-8940-87033648827B.thumb.png.b41f6bd7f71a895632aaad3701dda423.png

Its even 30 minutes ahead of the UK met office radar update at 14z, and given that its clearly got more umphh behind it than the models were expecting at this stage in proceedings. Good signs for sure...

Temperature holding 2.9c here as cloud cover increases.

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