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Posted
  • Location: warwick 74m. asl
  • Weather Preferences: WHITE GOLD
  • Location: warwick 74m. asl
    13 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

    No it's wrong, my pick is south of the region 15cms in few spots, b'ham area 12cms, north of say Cannock, just a few flurries

    Give me charts for this ^^^^^^^^^^^^

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    Ok, I have to reply to this because it's misleading the entire thread, iv studied radars and the weather all my life, the low pressure that formed along the south side of the main low is pushing east,

    Nathan "not a weatherman" Rao of the Express says "Army on Standby as heaviest SNOWFALL hits in next 24 hours" What a bellend!    

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    Posted
  • Location: Harrogate, Pannal Ash, 179m
  • Location: Harrogate, Pannal Ash, 179m
    1 minute ago, Fozfoster said:

    Well thanks 252  that’s the best it gets !!!!! 

    Downgrading last three days from heavy snow for 5 hours to a dusting if lucky. The met Office got it spot on Tuesday so why not tomorrow 

    Foz

    2F42466D-6D69-41F6-94B8-1F77F8601913.png

    METO doesn't have a clue right now. They have a yellow warning area that covers half of the UK. Their forecast contains words like "parts of England". It might snow in some parts or not. Tbh this is not a forecast. I know some LPs are difficult to track but I expect more from METO. 

    Anyway, as I see things right now its a non event especially for Leicester, even with a northern extension I expect fragmented ppn. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire

    GFS 18z brings it further south ?

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    Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
    2 minutes ago, Fozfoster said:

    Give me charts for this ^^^^^^^^^^^^

    they're everywhere, SS posted them in N England thread, the forecast been this all week, best spot of course S of M4

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    Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
    3 minutes ago, PerfectStorm said:

    GFS 18z brings it further south ?

    No surprise. GFS is always way too progressive and ends up falling inline with the other models eventually.

    Looks much more accurate now it has the snow stopping about 5 miles to my south.

    Edited by MattStoke
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    Posted
  • Location: warwick 74m. asl
  • Weather Preferences: WHITE GOLD
  • Location: warwick 74m. asl
    1 minute ago, Empire Of Snow said:

    METO doesn't have a clue right now. They have a yellow warning area that covers half of the UK. Their forecast contains words like "parts of England". It might snow in some parts or not. Tbh this is not a forecast. I know some LPs are difficult to track but I expect more from METO. 

    Anyway, as I see things right now its a non event especially for Leicester, even with a northern extension I expect fragmented ppn. 

    The low is tracking further south sorry. I would love to be wrong but the met Office have been pretty good for Warwick! Some people will see snow and good luck in that. 

    But it’s getting less and less for here 

    foz

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    Posted
  • Location: Sedgley Black country 731ft 222 metres
  • Location: Sedgley Black country 731ft 222 metres

    GFS  actually quite a snowy run for Central Midlands   Northern extent just below  Stoke at the moment

    image.thumb.png.10e3fd49eab2321ea3de8f8afbd0a03e.pngimage.thumb.png.ccc6c8cd80c25de0a0eed2524a2be7d4.pngimage.thumb.png.ce6c3632322738b93bd21907f91caf79.pngimage.thumb.png.410c919d81d6c23a14c4063f93ba4530.png  

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    Posted
  • Location: Wellesbourne, Warwickshire 47M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, cold and more snow.
  • Location: Wellesbourne, Warwickshire 47M ASL
    14 minutes ago, Fozfoster said:

    Well thanks 252  that’s the best it gets !!!!! 

    Downgrading last three days from heavy snow for 5 hours to a dusting if lucky. The met Office got it spot on Tuesday so why not tomorrow 

    Foz

    2F42466D-6D69-41F6-94B8-1F77F8601913.png

    Hey Foz ?? if something can downgrade, it will around here. I was looking at the dew point the other night on the Wellesbourne airport weather site, much higher than what everyone else in the region was reporting. We are just too low with unfavourable geography it seems. ??‍♂️

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    Posted
  • Location: Wythall, Worcestershire, 150m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Continental climate, snow winter, sunny summers
  • Location: Wythall, Worcestershire, 150m asl
    40 minutes ago, PerfectStorm said:

    Blimey, I'm not far from you at the moment, currently in Maypole. 

    Yes not far at all, was looking good for our locale a couple of days ago, but not very hopeful now. Think they’ll be another opportunity though before end of Feb, there’s still March of course also!

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    Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.

    Fully expect the Euro4 model to have it further south on the next update, to complete the full sweep. Should know about 11pm.

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    Posted
  • Location: warwick 74m. asl
  • Weather Preferences: WHITE GOLD
  • Location: warwick 74m. asl
    7 minutes ago, VeryCold said:

    Hey Foz ?? if something can downgrade, it will around here. I was looking at the dew point the other night on the Wellesbourne airport weather site, much higher than what everyone else in the region was reporting. We are just too low with unfavourable geography it seems. ??‍♂️

    Yes VC that’s why the glass is always half empty with snow for our location 

    foz

    Edited by Fozfoster
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    Posted
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
    29 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

    ignore that member, no charts whatsoever, no evidence to ever back things up

    You may have just made it more difficult for yourself when your discussions about modern winters come around next. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Frankley, Birmingham 250masl
  • Weather Preferences: the weather extremes in general but my favourites are snow & thunderstorms
  • Location: Frankley, Birmingham 250masl
    2 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

    Fully expect the Euro4 model to have it further south on the next update, to complete the full sweep. Should know about 11pm.

    But then come 0z tomorrow it will be further north again.

    we live in hope

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    Posted
  • Location: Shirley, Solihull
  • Location: Shirley, Solihull
    8 minutes ago, weirpig said:

    GFS  actually quite a snowy run for Central Midlands   Northern extent just below  Stoke at the moment

    image.thumb.png.10e3fd49eab2321ea3de8f8afbd0a03e.pngimage.thumb.png.ccc6c8cd80c25de0a0eed2524a2be7d4.pngimage.thumb.png.ce6c3632322738b93bd21907f91caf79.pngimage.thumb.png.410c919d81d6c23a14c4063f93ba4530.png  

    Whilst some are saying its gone south doesnt that still look fine?

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    Posted
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow, Thunder storms and lightning
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands

    Stoke seems to be the consensus now for the Northern boundary. All models now in half decent agreement.

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    Posted
  • Location: Sedgley Black country 731ft 222 metres
  • Location: Sedgley Black country 731ft 222 metres

    Arpege  take on things   seems to be were most models are heading  of course could still drift  slightly South or North  Best run for a while for Midlands 

    image.thumb.png.1f95e81a618612e09729b967cc714323.pngimage.thumb.png.83d2d9217893558971d3725c30d87825.png    image.thumb.png.ed8630ca8d5286e1db76399086e25367.png

    Edited by weirpig
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    Posted
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow, Thunder storms and lightning
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands

    Looks like tonight though has shown the Front isnt that powerful even further South best we can hope for is a dusting. Not many big totals even further South looks marginal and sleet at times in Somerset etc. Think calling time on this event like so many promises so much but so often falls flat. Euro 4 will be further South

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    Posted
  • Location: Frankley, Birmingham 250masl
  • Weather Preferences: the weather extremes in general but my favourites are snow & thunderstorms
  • Location: Frankley, Birmingham 250masl

    Have to say the latest charts do still seem adamant on a slight shift even more south at this rate it may just touch the Cotswolds. Think we could all do with a good 100 mile shift north in the morning 

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    Posted
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow, Thunder storms and lightning
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands
    1 minute ago, weirpig said:

    Arpege  take on things   seems to be were most models are heading  of course could still drift  slightly South or North

    image.thumb.png.1f95e81a618612e09729b967cc714323.pngimage.thumb.png.83d2d9217893558971d3725c30d87825.png  

    About 2cm you reckon of that Wierpig for west mids

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    Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
    1 minute ago, snowangel32 said:

    Looks like tonight though has shown the Front isnt that powerful even further South best we can hope for is a dusting. Not many big totals even further South looks marginal and sleet at times in Somerset etc. Think calling time on this event like so many promises so much but so often falls flat. Euro 4 will be further South

    You'll do fine. As will most of the Midlands. It's only from my town northwards that there looks to be sod all.

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