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Midlands Regional Discussion

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21 minutes ago, Gord said:

Don't be surprised to see a flurry or two over the next couple of hours. A little stream of light showers has set up between Birmingham and London and occasionally, when this has happened in the past, it sometimes continues to build to the northwest and join with the stream of showers over North Wales. Seen it before. Not every time, sometimes they just fizzle out to nothing again. It won't be much and I expect hardly many will see it but thought it was worth noting.

Interesting 

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5 minutes ago, shaky said:

Gfs😍😍😍!!further north at 42 hours!!

About 100 miles further North.

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Just now, snowangel32 said:

Matt where's Matt lookkkkk

SmartSelect_20190130-154614_Firefox.thumb.jpg.1a865de9ac30f167834638edf3358f25.jpg

Think I'm right on the edge of the darker blue? Always hard to pinpoint my exact location on these maps. More than most models give me anyway.

39-574UK.gif

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GFS looks good for south Midlands - north midlands look to get a couple of cms from it, but looks light on its northern edge

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2 minutes ago, Ninman said:

GFS looks good for south Midlands - north midlands look to get a couple of cms from it, but looks light on its northern edge

Gfs looks good for all the mids. But trying to guess totals when the models don't agree yet is really pointless. But good to see it go further North and Icon pretty much the same as it was with light snow further North. Good start so far to the 12z

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The latest GFS run looks very tasty for those in the Midlands. I think Birmingham, Leicestershire, Northamptonshire and Coventry/Wawrickshire will probably be in the sweet spot. 

It seems to pivot over the Midlands before slowly dying out! Could see 5-10cm, widespread! Wish I was there now 😔

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Just now, andy_leics22 said:

The latest GFS run looks very tasty for those in the Midlands. I think Birmingham, Leicestershire, Northamptonshire and Coventry/Wawrickshire will probably be in the sweet spot. 

It seems to pivot over the Midlands before slowly dying out! Could see 5-10cm, widespread! Wish I was there now 😔

I'll whip out the Ouija board and bring you here in spirit. 👌

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Hoping for some agreement that this feature tracks a tad further north to really lock in expectations. I am not too far from MattStoke. I am out in Alton (Staffordshire). Hoping we get something from this feature. Yesterday was a nightmare, rain/sleet in Hanley then driving through the winter wonderland of Werrington and Cellarhead and home to nothing! Really fancy a snow day!.

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Latest METO update now has this area for light snow from 6am until 9am this is a massive downgrade and appears at odds to other models based on the above posts? Can anyone provide guidance/info. Thanks

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2 minutes ago, andy_leics22 said:

The latest GFS run looks very tasty for those in the Midlands. I think Birmingham, Leicestershire, Northamptonshire and Coventry/Wawrickshire will probably be in the sweet spot. 

It seems to pivot over the Midlands before slowly dying out! Could see 5-10cm, widespread! Wish I was there now 😔

Hi Andy great  to hear from you again. I hope your right as METO has a completely different view 😞 

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Hirlam has gone much further south. Northern limit around Brum.

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Just now, #windysnow# said:

Hi Andy great  to hear from you again. I hope your right as METO has a completely different view 😞 

Thanks mate 🙂 I may be living about 2000 miles away at the moment but I'm still excited for you guys if you get some snow 😄

 It's rare to see the GFS wrong at t24-t30. I know the METO is a respected model but I've seen that backtrack towards the GFS at such a short timeframe, a fair few times. Let's see what happens, personally i'm going by what the GFS is saying at the moment.

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7 minutes ago, andy_leics22 said:

The latest GFS run looks very tasty for those in the Midlands. I think Birmingham, Leicestershire, Northamptonshire and Coventry/Wawrickshire will probably be in the sweet spot. 

It seems to pivot over the Midlands before slowly dying out! Could see 5-10cm, widespread! Wish I was there now 😔

I hope you're right mate!

 

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Yep Hiralm not good. I dont like putting our chance of snow purely on gfs lol.

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The centre of the cross is my location, so based on latest models, how do we fair in this part of the midlands????

 

 

 

Edited by #windysnow#
need to insert image :)

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The met office regional web site forecast are a joke 

It shows for coventry a period of 4hrs of light snow from midnight thursday into friday and thats it were as bbc app shows snowfall from 6pm thursday to friday 11am

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5 minutes ago, shezale said:

The met office regional web site forecast are a joke 

It shows for coventry a period of 4hrs of light snow from midnight thursday into friday and thats it were as bbc app shows snowfall from 6pm thursday to friday 11am

If Hiralm is right we will get none maybe far South mids. Gfs is right were in sweet spot. So much uncertainty

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Just now, snowangel32 said:

If Hiralm is right we will get none maybe far South mids. Gfs is right were in sweet spot. So much uncertainty

Yeah i just seen the hiralm if that was right we would be left totally dry..i fear the hiralm will be right as it performs better than the gfs..

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Just seen BBC weather forecast and shown Thursday night and thought it look quite good for Midlands... well better than it did earlier. 

Edited by i love snow
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1 minute ago, i love snow said:

Just seen BBC weather forecast and shown Thursday night and thought it look quite good for Midlands... well better than it did earlier. 

Maybe there are going with the gfs and met office are going with the hiralm

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7 minutes ago, shezale said:

The met office regional web site forecast are a joke 

It shows for coventry a period of 4hrs of light snow from midnight thursday into friday and thats it were as bbc app shows snowfall from 6pm thursday to friday 11am

Take no notice of met and BBC symbols as there fully automated and have no human input. So will always chop and change. If it snows it snows if it don't it don't. But we all need to remember no model is necessarily 100% right. The snow could be north or south of predicted path. Radar will be best to use when the system is in view. 

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3 minutes ago, i love snow said:

Just seen BBC weather forecast and shown Thursday night and thought it look quite good for Midlands... well better than it did earlier. 

Means they have to be punting for the gfs being right.

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Snow shower on target for Black country in next 30 mins on radar

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6 minutes ago, snowangel32 said:

Snow shower on target for Black country in next 30 mins on radar

Where are you seeing that?

 

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