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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 1st June onwards

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Sun back out, dark clouds gone. Think this'll be a miss.

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1 minute ago, Lauren said:

Sun back out, dark clouds gone. Think this'll be a miss.

The sun being back out is a good thing, it'll get the surfacing heating going again. Frontal forcing is very slowly working Eastwards, the risk will only increase in the coming hours especially with the storm coming out of France 

Edited by Daniel Smith

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Just now, Lauren said:

Sun back out, dark clouds gone. Think this'll be a miss.

Paris MCS or Bust for us Lauren Unfortunately

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Still sferics 20 miles to  my west. 

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Just now, TJS1998Tom said:

This looks interesting, thoughts on this anyone?

image.thumb.png.d523a0cb21357ae735edb89de210e5be.png

Its deffo a Boundary of some sorts, could be a SW Moving Outflow Boundary from the earlier storms in Norfolk

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3 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

MCS Looking good for Kent and Essex Later Nick ? Thoughts 

Temps still around 30-32c in these areas that have had zero precip

The weather models have been generally jaffa cakes poor at simulating these storms this afternoon, so not really paying much attention to them rather use radar animation, looks like that cluster over Normandy more likely to move up across Sussex, W Kent, E London and Essex as an MCS later, MCV over far north of France - north of Paris looks like it could move up over E Kent too. Certainly ain't over yet for the SE.

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26 minutes ago, Sun & Tanned said:

Just wondering if anyone can help. I live near Aylesbury and wondered if we may have any storms later tonight around here? I have a child you needs to be calmed down.

Thank you so much for any help 

 

Hi S and T,

Have sent you a "sticky note"

Regards,

Tom.

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9 minutes ago, SNOW_JOKE said:

Probably no chance of storms for us in the Midlands/NW now along with no chance of seeing the Lunar Eclipse due to the cloud initiated by the trough, not the best of days for missing out. The cell south of York is the closest active one for all of today so-far.

 But what about the stuff just to my West/Southwest? I expect this could grow into a conveyor-belt of cells and develop further east as the evening goes on.  

Edited by Chris.R

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2 minutes ago, Liima said:

Just for you @Paul Sherman

43CAAEA7-A18A-41B4-B1BE-CD189A7A1C0E.jpeg

Hmmm

Was expecting a Surface Based Storm If I am honest. Looks very elevated

Thanks for the picture though buddy

Edited by Paul Sherman

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4 minutes ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

Wind just turned very gusty from the E/NE, possible inflow, can hear more or less constant booming! 

View from the back of my house, booming thunder, rain came and went

15327103698577741122898613199469.jpg

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7 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Paris MCS or Bust for us Lauren Unfortunately

That'll be a bust then 😭

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Sky turning very dark again here on London/Kent border. Had an elevated thunderstorm about an hour ago and have had rumbles/booms since from the west. Could see a new anvil just to my south a short while ago now going very dark and breezy!

EDIT - New rumble from this fresh cell - and another. Seems much more punchy than the last one. Oh! And another.

Edited by Harry

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1 minute ago, Chris.R said:

 But what about the stuff just to my West/Southwest? I expect this could grow into A conveyor-belt of cells and develop further east as the evening goes on.  

There's the possibility of that, local METAR does show thunderstorms for MAN and LPL into tonight and parts of tomorrow, I don't have access to the higher res models however so just going along with nowcasting unless anything pops up in the Stoke-on-Trent/Wolverhampton are with association to outflowing from the storms over in the East.

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Should I be interested in the hook that has formed on the west of the storm heading out into the north sea from Norfolk/S.Lincs?

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11 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Paris MCS or Bust for us Lauren Unfortunately

Same here?  It seems from radar as though the edge of the storms has been consistently 15 or so miles to my west.

Edited by chrisbell-nottheweatherman

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