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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 1st June onwards


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Hail from the storm in York. Wouldn't want that falling on your head!

It was worth all the effort ?

Explosive convection to my west in Norwich. I can see it growing, its immense! Not seen anything like it before except on Storm Chasers on the TV

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The humidity seems to have increased here, looking at lots of "active" radar, one has rain directly overhead, but nothing fell, expanded rapidly as much south of reading as north of it but flew overhead, maybe will deliver something once it goes further north.

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1 minute ago, Robert Lewis said:

The humidity seems to have increased here, looking at lots of "active" radar, one has rain directly overhead, but nothing fell, expanded rapidly as much south of reading as north of it but flew overhead, maybe will deliver something once it goes further north.

Elevated perhaps?

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4 minutes ago, TJS1998Tom said:

Elevated perhaps?

I can only presume so

Seems like the ingredients were in the mix but no ignition, i imagine it's all moved somewhere east of Oxford now.

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Brentwood. But all the cells are short-period jobs. They go up, drop a bit of rain and collapse. Is this it? Or will it build more generally?

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4 minutes ago, StormLoser said:

Brentwood. But all the cells are short-period jobs. They go up, drop a bit of rain and collapse. Is this it? Or will it build more generally?

I would suggest to keep an eye on the rader to the west of London as an area of thunderstorms or thundery rain is likely to develop and push north northeast in roughly this area probably between 3 and 4 it’s not a certainty but that’s what I can see happening. ?2C221AB8-5836-4D8A-BD12-817F38F2777C.thumb.jpeg.6f23c955e8e0d99d73b0bccc95ca8062.jpeg

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1 minute ago, jordan smith said:

I would suggest to keep an eye on the rader to the west of London as an area of thunderstorms or thundery rain is likely to develop and push north northeast in roughly this area probably between 3 and 4 it’s not a certainty but that’s what I can see happening. ?2C221AB8-5836-4D8A-BD12-817F38F2777C.thumb.jpeg.6f23c955e8e0d99d73b0bccc95ca8062.jpeg

You could not move that easterly line a few miles further east, could you?  ?

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2 minutes ago, jordan smith said:

I would suggest to keep an eye on the rader to the west of London as an area of thunderstorms or thundery rain is likely to develop and push north northeast in roughly this area probably between 3 and 4 it’s not a certainty but that’s what I can see happening. ?2C221AB8-5836-4D8A-BD12-817F38F2777C.thumb.jpeg.6f23c955e8e0d99d73b0bccc95ca8062.jpeg

So basically, you've looked at the Met Office future radar and then made it your own prediction?

I seem to remember you putting up warning maps before, shortly after convectiveweather issue one, and it looks suspiciously copied. ?

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2 minutes ago, StormLoser said:

You could not move that easterly line a few miles further east, could you?  ?

Yeah sure haha it’s just a risk and perhaps it will be further to the east closer to you just showing the most likely area currently ?

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1 minute ago, Mapantz said:

So basically, you've looked at the Met Office future radar and then made it your own prediction?

I seem to remember you putting up warning maps before, shortly after convectiveweather issue one, and it looks suspiciously copied. ?

You’ve come to that conclusion based on a couple coincidences what I wrote there was my own prediction I didn’t send it for an argument so please don’t start something out of nothing without knowing. Lots of weather sites write similar predictions but does that mean they are copying each other no?

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Annoying just got woken up by lightning app with rogue strike - however there are Turkey towers almost overhead. Not sure where that dot on radar is Anaprop as looks a little randonly spread for a genuine return. 

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The shower just off shore from Cherbourg looks like a genuine radar return. I might be 20miles too far west if the line of initiation is IOW to Cherbourg.

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4 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

South of isle of white anyone.

Yup, steering motion just east of north, quite a robust cell as well, with another firing over the Cherbourg Penn......subtle forcing in play as the predicted shortwave starts to destabalize the mid-levels....pretty well modelled so far by the hi-res suite

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1 minute ago, Alderc said:

Annoying just got woken up by lightning app with rogue strike - however there are Turkey towers almost overhead. Not sure where that dot on radar is Anaprop as looks a little randonly spread for a genuine return. 

I just took this, which is in the direction of what's on the radar.

20180727_015821.thumb.jpg.69f9120b3bd3350cba733e37d05028a1.jpg

I have my PTZ cam pointing at it and I haven't seen any flashes.

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