Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 1st June onwards

[TJS1998Tom]

16 minutes ago, sparky1972 said:

i really thought we were in with a squeek of a chance of a storm, clouds had real potential but alas, not looking likely now though

It looks like it could but nothing seems to come out. I know a chance for a storm was in the cards later tonight. 

[Summer Sun]

Day 2 Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Tue 17 Jul 2018 - 05:59 UTC Wed 18 Jul 2018

ISSUED 19:43 UTC Mon 16 Jul 2018

ISSUED BY: Dan

Upper trough axis will swing eastwards across the British Isles on Tuesday, clearing to the North Sea by evening. The associated cool mid-levels atop diurnally-heated land will help generate a few hundred J/kg CAPE. A few scattered showers are likely, with deep enough convection in E / NE England and E Scotland for a few sporadic lightning strikes. Main inhibiting factor is a slightly warmer nose at 700mb, which may limit the depth of convective cloud perhaps.

http://www.convectiveweather.co.uk/forecast.php?date=2018-07-17

[Allseasons-Si]

Lincolnshire's come alive.

[Mokidugway]

1 minute ago, Allseasons-si said:

Lincolnshire's come alive.

Nothing new there then ,lol

[TJS1998Tom]

1 minute ago, Allseasons-si said:

Lincolnshire's come alive.

Hoping some cells pop up further South, bit too far North for us. Would be good to have a home grown storm

[Cambridgeshire Weather]

2 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

Lincolnshire's come alive.

Yess come further south lincolnshire please!

[Allseasons-Si]

2 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:

Nothing new there then ,lol

Yep!,just about to edit my post above but you bet me to it

well,storms to the west,north and now east

wheres pit,ah!!!,powering his storm shield

[sparky1972]

14 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

Lincolnshire's come alive.

not in south Lincs, lol

[Summer Sun]

Thunder and Lightning around the Darlo area

[Allseasons-Si]

Radars are down,last return 9:15pm,same on other sites too.

[Cambridgeshire Weather]

17 minutes ago, sparky1972 said:

not in south Lincs, lol

I can see a storm brewing in south lincs facing East 73 degrees

[TJS1998Tom]

29 minutes ago, Neglectedchicken said:

Yess come further south lincolnshire please!

Hoping the BBC weather is right that storms will develop in the South Lincs around 11 or 12 ish lol, though we know what BBC are like sometimes

[Cambridgeshire Weather]

Just now, TJS1998Tom said:

Hoping the BBC weather is right that storms will develop in the South Lincs around 11 or 12 ish lol, though we know what BBC are like sometimes

I think this is very possible can you see that massive cumulonimbus to the east 

Edited July 16, 2018 by Neglectedchicken

[TJS1998Tom]

4 minutes ago, Neglectedchicken said:

I think this is very possible can you see that massive cumulonimbus to the east 

Too dark to see anything here, you got a picture of it to share?

[Tony M]

A couple of photos from the thunderstorms that passed by the western edge of the North Yorkshire Moors around the Thirsk area last night

 

 

Edited July 17, 2018 by Tony M
Changed image size

[PurpleButterfly]

Weather warning issued for Friday! 

[TJS1998Tom]

1 hour ago, PurpleButterfly said:

Weather warning issued for Friday! 

Hopefully it nudges a little further North

[matt111]

Nothing expected here today but decent looking sky not long ago. Looking at the radar there was a brief light shower where that cloud was at the time. 

[ChezWeather]

Some pretty insane CAPE values showing towards the end of next week.

All way out in FI at the moment but the plume potential is there for the taking

I've now gone 2 whole years without an overhead thunderstorm and almost a whole year without even a rumble of thunder!

[Lauren]

I get how clouds work but....

For several days now we've had heavy looking rain clouds hanging over us, the type you'd normally see that would be chucking it down. So what's stopping them raining now?

[alexisj9]

5 minutes ago, Lauren said:

I get how clouds work but....

For several days now we've had heavy looking rain clouds hanging over us, the type you'd normally see that would be chucking it down. So what's stopping them raining now?

I'm not sure however my guess would be, evaporation. The air under clouds does seem wetter than otherwise, you can feel moisture landing on your skin, but there is no evidence on the ground.

[Mike Poole]

7 hours ago, PurpleButterfly said:

Weather warning issued for Friday! 

Is anyone else a bit perplexed by this, there is virtually no CAPE anywhere in that region on 12z GFS, here's the chart with the most:

am I missing something?

[matt111]

1 hour ago, Lauren said:

I get how clouds work but....

For several days now we've had heavy looking rain clouds hanging over us, the type you'd normally see that would be chucking it down. So what's stopping them raining now?

Very similar to here as in the picture I posted above. For the last couple of days around early afternoon it’s looked dark to the north of here but nothing at all showing on the radar. 

[Another Kent clipper]

@Mike Poole

I don't get it either.  A national rag have latched onto the mo thunderstorm warning too:

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/990773/UK-weather-forecast-rain-today-Friday-long-range-forecast-Met-Office-heatwave-July/amp

Leave the oxygen masks at home because I won't be holding my breath.  Probably just another kent clipper at best

 

[Mokidugway]

Some good potential   late next week with heat from the continent fighting the drossy Atlantic, could be fun and games for some