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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 03/03/2018 Onwards


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1 minute ago, AWD said:

Developing situation so don't take any forecast to literally for now.

All I'm saying is Hampshire & Dorset are at greatest risk of further snowfall tonight but some bordering northern counties like Wiltshire &  Somerset could get involved too if it continues to develop on it's northern edge as the radar currently suggests.

Gfs and hirlam look good for most of region south of m4 :D

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And it's 'eyes down' for the full house......Tonight's bingo card!  

BINGO!    Full House.....  ;-)   Oh my goodness, my giddy aunt What is this, spring with a new slant? I said I didn't want you, go away snow But I'm here again, eyes all aglow

To help pass the time, lets play a game....Netweather South West Thread Bingo.....no prizes for the winner apart from the accolade of being a bit of a smarty pants

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12z Hirlam suggests another couple of cm's is possible widely across southern counties if it's forecast projection of tonight's PPN comes to fruition;

snowdepth_018.thumb.jpg.54e40af21d1425a665d295cb8b51dbc5.jpg

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Very little thawing here,must have been close to freezing all day,looked at neighbours gutters and saw some small icicles,on my journey home I saw two icicles that were 3ft long,very 60s/70s,so on to tonight,lots of snow reports now in SE thread but have no idea if that has implications later for us,the only thing I can say about tomorrow is that gardening work opportunities will be limited lol

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Chucking it down here again on the edge of paignton/torbay. Just got back from a walk where it was very windy and the precip turned sleety for a while. Now back to proper snow ! 

Edit: measured 13cm on table out in the back garden before lunch. Must be more now. 

Edited by <torbay>
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Theres some decent cloud heights coming out of nw France!! Let’s hope we get the ppn to match it ? I see the gfs and some other models are keen on round 2 so let’s see hope it pans out

BCD178B7-038B-4759-B802-7246DA6DA603.png

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HIRLM cumulative snow until midnight, a little surprised how far north this goes, interesting:

hirlamuk-45-12-0.png?18-16

And yes, Devon is still getting it!

But actually, you can start to see the spread north in the south east on the radar now:

lastsnowradar_uk.gif

Edited by Mike Poole
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1 minute ago, That ECM said:

After sledging and building snowmen I had a cunning plan and watched saints, got a good 90 mins of kip??

You missed a good game then.

HIRLAM anim.

tempresult_qja0.gif 

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1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

@Mapantz how do the PD watcha call em charts look like? Still good or not updated. 

TIA

PVA = Positive Vorticity Advection.

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Temperature really fallen away again here -2.6c after a max of -1.5c

Snow is drifting quite widely now in the keen wind. I may have to have a nap for an hour or so before this evenings round 2 :lazy:

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ARGEPE 12Z not dissimilar to HIRLAM, as usual just a touch more conservative with ppn totals. When the ARGEPE has shown snow for my area, it usually has happened.

I'm also waiting to see if the hotspot on some models hits the Lizard later tonight!

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3 minutes ago, Nights King said:

Temperature really fallen away again here -2.6c after a max of -1.5c

Snow is drifting quite widely now in the keen wind. I may have to have a nap for an hour or so before this evenings round 2 :lazy:

Its a snoozy afternoon. See you later. 

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1 minute ago, tomjwlx said:

so can someone explain how the snow is thawing even though the temp has been below 0C all day?

I have puddles of water in the road here. The tarmac warmth is no match for the snow. It only settled on roads here because of the sheer precip rate last night.

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