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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 03/03/2018 Onwards


BlueHedgehog074

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Posted
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy winters, warm springs, hot summers, warm then stormy autumn
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl

15 miles north of me, Amesbury.

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Posted
  • Location: Emsworth, Hampshire
  • Location: Emsworth, Hampshire

Cloud heights also starting to increase now. Clearly backed up by the radar intensifying south of the IOW

image.thumb.png.37528131acb55276797541d50f4a12ac.png

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Posted
  • Location: Emsworth, Hampshire
  • Location: Emsworth, Hampshire
Just now, RAIN RAIN RAIN said:

Can anyone answer this, how has this easterly delivered snow less than 24 hours after arrived whereas the last easterly didn't deliver anything meaningful for 3 days?

Lack of moisture and forcing (via a front or trough). Storm Emma was the spark that was needed

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Posted
  • Location: Cheltenham, Gloucs.
  • Location: Cheltenham, Gloucs.
1 minute ago, RAIN RAIN RAIN said:

Can anyone answer this, how has this easterly delivered snow less than 24 hours after arrived whereas the last easterly didn't deliver anything meaningful for 3 days?

Because the low delivering the moisture and warmth this time, arrived sooner. The beast got the cold flow in for quite a time before storm Emma embraced him.

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
8 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Doing my head in waiting for the heavier snow, it's dragging it's heels lol. At this rate it'll arrive 6am.

Hop across the channel, its over here, nice size snowflakes,  certainly bigger than with  beast 1 the other week. 

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1 minute ago, Dean E said:

Lack of moisture and forcing (via a front or trough). Storm Emma was the spark that was needed

 

1 minute ago, EllyTech said:

Because the low delivering the moisture and warmth this time, arrived sooner. The beast got the cold flow in for quite a time before storm Emma embraced him.

OK that makes sense, but this time round wasn't there a cap on convection at quite a low level? 

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Posted
  • Location: Newbury Berkshire
  • Location: Newbury Berkshire
1 minute ago, RAIN RAIN RAIN said:

Can anyone answer this, how has this easterly delivered snow less than 24 hours after arrived whereas the last easterly didn't deliver anything meaningful for 3 days?

No - I looked at the radar this morning from East Anglia northwards and was very surprised. I'd be very interested for some of the experienced members to pick the bones out of the last few weeks.

I'm trying to bank my analysis of these last few weeks for when easterlies of this potency arrive again*. For me the scenario remains the same, get the cold air in place and watch with fascination at what unfolds afterwards, Very hard for any model to accurately predict what will happen.

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Posted
  • Location: Cheltenham, Gloucs.
  • Location: Cheltenham, Gloucs.
5 minutes ago, RAIN RAIN RAIN said:

 

OK that makes sense, but this time round wasn't there a cap on convection at quite a low level? 

Not studied the skew-T .. but I find those difficult anyway. A moderate cap wouldn't change things, would it?

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

Radar really getting going now. Alarms set, I’m turning in, I’m beat :lazy:

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Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
Just now, karlos1983 said:

Radar really getting going now. Alarms set, I’m turning in, I’m beat :lazy:

You can't be leaving us now it's just getting going? :sorry:

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Posted
  • Location: Cheltenham, Gloucs.
  • Location: Cheltenham, Gloucs.
Just now, karlos1983 said:

Radar really getting going now. Alarms set, I’m turning in, I’m beat :lazy:

Nigh Karlos. Sleep well.

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Just now, EllyTech said:

Nigh Karlos. Sleep well.

Not likely lol but I’ll try cheers 

have fun, I’ll check in at 2:30am when my first alarm goes ?

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Posted
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, nr Bristol, SGlos
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, nr Bristol, SGlos
Just now, karlos1983 said:

Radar really getting going now. Alarms set, I’m turning in, I’m beat :lazy:

I think i'm about to receive the 'thud' from above, which translates to "Isnt it about time you put the bottle away and made your way to the sack?"

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Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol

Here in Keynsham, we've been stuck on the edge of the heavier snow all day, a covering of dandruff here whereas areas slightly south and west have been blanketed, not again.

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Posted
  • Location: Horndean, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms followed by snow (preferably on the same day!)
  • Location: Horndean, Hampshire

Hi everyone, snowing moderately here which is starting to lay. Really enjoyed the humorous posts tonight too, it's cheered me up as I have shingles for the second time so far this year and you've all helped to make me feel better along with the snow ?

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Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
Just now, karlos1983 said:

Not likely lol but I’ll try cheers 

have fun, I’ll check in at 2:30am when my first alarm goes ?

Likely I'll still be here then. :rofl:

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Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

Not likely lol but I’ll try cheers 

have fun, I’ll check in at 2:30am when my first alarm goes ?

I don't have that option, I've been warned by the missus no alarms so I have no choice.

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Posted
  • Location: Emsworth, Hampshire
  • Location: Emsworth, Hampshire
8 minutes ago, RAIN RAIN RAIN said:

 

OK that makes sense, but this time round wasn't there a cap on convection at quite a low level? 

There is a cap at the mid layers, preventing instability over the UK. You can tell as there is no lightning activity in the showers over Northern areas which happens with North Sea convection in cold spells.

The cap for us is preventing any heavy precipitation levels in the band

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Just now, Bristle boy said:

I think i'm about to receive the 'thud' from above, which translates to "Isnt it about time you put the bottle away and made your way to the sack?"

I’ve had the “tuts” when I keep getting out of bed to look out the window ? I’m so owned ?‍♂️

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