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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Canmore, AB [4296ft above sea level] & North Kent [350ft above sea level]
  • Location: Canmore, AB [4296ft above sea level] & North Kent [350ft above sea level]

    Well the met office upgrade to amber for parts of the SE is interesting

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    I'm losing the will to live.  Once again, for those at the back. The main snow risk isn't until 4pm onwards. 4pm onwards. 4pm onwards. 4pm onwards. 4pm onwards. The colde

    So the cold is almost at an end with a steady thaw expected over the coming days. As such the region will be one again. May I just say that the last week has been a real experience and I must tha

    Some people need to grow up. If you want to bicker and snipe do it via PM. Because the rest of us don’t want to know.

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Herne Bay
  • Location: Herne Bay
    11 minutes ago, yamkin said:

    ALERT: A PROBABLE CONVERGENCE OF PPN TO FLOW FROM THE BELGIUM/FRANCE BORDER DURING SUNDAY AFTERNOON COVERING THE SE........EXCITING TIMES AHEAD :yahoo::D

    Where did you hear this?

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    Posted
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
    2 minutes ago, Bob Lee said:

    Where did you hear this?

     

    HIRLAM FOR 18.03.18 AT 13.00.PNG

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    Posted
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
    11 minutes ago, Lampostwatcher said:

    bbc latest is pony graphics are appalling 

    sundays snow was over ireland lol

    I totally agree with you. One minute they are looking ok and then they go into a different planet zone.

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    Posted
  • Location: Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Prospect of heavy snowfall or a summer evening thunder storm, any extreme!
  • Location: Essex
    2 hours ago, nicktabs said:

    *Resists schoolboy humour on the shape of the warning*

    Screen Shot 2018-03-16 at 12.01.59.png

    They have done far better in the past! Someone at the MetOffice has a sense of humour... ?

    B2D04F9C-193A-493F-8D43-0204B950C8ED.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Snow events / Wind storms
  • Location: Benfleet, Essex

    Has the Met Office ever had 9 weather warnings out at once before? :shok:

    warn.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook

    Just to note someone on TWO has posted a great link to a 1km WRF model, which is very high resolution. It shows some good looking streamer action (maybe that is what the UKV is seeing as well, hence the warning?)but this eventually becomes engulfed in an area of light-moderate snow which is on-off pretty much all day Sunday. Widespread 10cms, but with a local amountof 25cms near say Croydon. VERY interesting stuff, this kind of goes along with the HIRLAM as well fwiw...

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    Posted
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
    5 minutes ago, kold weather said:

    Just to note someone on TWO has posted a great link to a 1km WRF model, which is very high resolution. It shows some good looking streamer action (maybe that is what the UKV is seeing as well, hence the warning?)but this eventually becomes engulfed in an area of light-moderate snow which is on-off pretty much all day Sunday. Widespread 10cms, but with a local amountof 25cms near say Croydon. VERY interesting stuff, this kind of goes along with the HIRLAM as well fwiw...

    Image result for snow gif

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    Posted
  • Location: Windsor
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and cold
  • Location: Windsor

    I drove to Gloucester on Wednesday and there were still the remnants of snow drifts piled along the A417 on the high ground before getting down to Gloucester!

    Edited by prolongedSnowLover
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    Posted
  • Location: Home: Chingford, London (NE). Work: London (Central)
  • Location: Home: Chingford, London (NE). Work: London (Central)
    2 minutes ago, prolongedSnowLover said:

    I drove to Gloucester on Wednesday and there were still the remnants of snow drifts piled along the A419 just on the high ground before getting down to Gloucester!

    Saw that too last weekend, went to Gloucester. Remnants of snow up in the Cotswolds - nothing down in Gloucester itself though.  

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    Posted
  • Location: Garvestone, Norfolk
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine. And storms
  • Location: Garvestone, Norfolk

    MetO forecast isn't as grim as expected, with only light snow on offer. Hope they're right :yahoo:

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    Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL

    Models never pick up the intensity particularly well like last time.....

    I think the amber was justified we shall see. 

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    Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast

    Looks like we are going to miss the more persistent snow Sun now,according to the Met.Going to hit more central S and SW England.Just like last time,if you can believe it AGAIN

    Hoping we get something from the convective showers,unlike like last time,or it’s two misses in a row :wallbash: 

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    Posted
  • Location: Bedford, 30m asl
  • Location: Bedford, 30m asl
    44 minutes ago, kold weather said:

    Just to note someone on TWO has posted a great link to a 1km WRF model, which is very high resolution. It shows some good looking streamer action (maybe that is what the UKV is seeing as well, hence the warning?)but this eventually becomes engulfed in an area of light-moderate snow which is on-off pretty much all day Sunday. Widespread 10cms, but with a local amountof 25cms near say Croydon. VERY interesting stuff, this kind of goes along with the HIRLAM as well fwiw...

    It looks awesome

    The only thing I would caution is that it looks as though it was initialised from Thursday 18z GFS, so it may be a little out of date by now

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    Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough

    You honestly would not believe that by tomorrow temperatures would be struggling to get above freezing. An absolutely gorgeous afternoon with lots of sunshine and barely a breath of wind. Up to a mild 14C here.

    Looking at the models, snow wise it be over as soon as Saturday lunchtime up here and be left with the worst possible scenario of being stuck under residual cloud from the frontal band which stalls over southern England. Too far south for showers and too far north for the persistent snow.

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    Posted
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
    8 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

    Models never pick up the intensity particularly well like last time.....

    I think the amber was justified we shall see. 

    It does look like more ppn convergence will be amplified form the french/Belgium border during Sunday afternoon covering the SE :D

    5aabe2e768d20_HIRLAMFOR18_03.18AT13_00.thumb.PNG.13edcb553706f0e91b9eaa70154fc761.PNG

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    Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
    18 minutes ago, SLEETY said:

    Looks like we are going to miss the more persistent snow Sun now,according to the Met.Going to hit more central S and SW England.Just like last time,if you can believe it AGAIN

    Hoping we get something from the convective showers,unlike like last time,or it’s two misses in a row :wallbash: 

    We should get some frontal snow as it develops overhead, most models are showing this now, of course the amounts are still very variable for our neck of the woods. The 12z 7km ICON for example giving about 4-8cms for most, through both a short streamer set-up and thena more general area of snow. 

    I remember the models didn't do that well in Dec 10 with a similar set-up and were too slow in forming the LP. Maybe worth keeping an eye on that again...

    ps, 12z GFS is picking up on the streamer now, around 12-1pm should be kick off time, note could see alot of melting to start with though.

    Edited by kold weather
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    Posted
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl

    Loving the GFS 12z, more PPN for us, also the snow coming up from France is further east. So thats bingo, full house, thank you very much indeed global forecasting sausage:D

    gfs-2-24.png

    gfs-2-30.png

    gfs-2-36.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl
    1 hour ago, Ed Stone said:

    There's a goat works down the chip shop swears he's Elvis:

    Image result for goat haircut

    Thats NOT a goat Ed, you need to go to Specsavers mate.:laugh:

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    Posted
  • Location: Hull
  • Weather Preferences: Severe storms and heavy snow
  • Location: Hull

    It’s so warm on the walk back from work. Some lovely big clouds around. Really does feel like spring. It’s hard to get my head around what’s going to happen tomorrow. It’s almost a temp drop like they get in the USA 

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    Posted
  • Location: Great Yarmouth
  • Location: Great Yarmouth
    33 minutes ago, Captain Shortwave said:

    You honestly would not believe that by tomorrow temperatures would be struggling to get above freezing. An absolutely gorgeous afternoon with lots of sunshine and barely a breath of wind. Up to a mild 14C here.

    Looking at the models, snow wise it be over as soon as Saturday lunchtime up here and be left with the worst possible scenario of being stuck under residual cloud from the frontal band which stalls over southern England. Too far south for showers and too far north for the persistent snow.

    i thought the same about the temperature although very overcast again here now and a bit chillier than earlier also seems to be quite thick fog setting in.

    And i am getting very confused about golden syrup and treacle.

    Edited by JennyJane1
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    Posted
  • Location: West/East/Sussex Surrey border
  • Location: West/East/Sussex Surrey border
    21 minutes ago, kold weather said:

    We should get some frontal snow as it develops overhead, most models are showing this now, of course the amounts are still very variable for our neck of the woods. The 12z 7km ICON for example giving about 4-8cms for most, through both a short streamer set-up and thena more general area of snow. 

    I remember the models didn't do that well in Dec 10 with a similar set-up and were too slow in forming the LP. Maybe worth keeping an eye on that again...

    ps, 12z GFS is picking up on the streamer now, around 12-1pm should be kick off time, note could see alot of melting to start with though.

    you are more central southern though? so when you say  "for our neck of the woods" ??

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    Posted
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl

    hirlam leads the way, here we go...Jackpot zone around the South London area for tomorrow.:yahoo:

    hirlam-1-22-0.png

    hirlam-1-23-0.png

    hirlam-1-24-0.png

    hirlam-1-28-0.png

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