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DiagonalRedLine

South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards

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.. just to add .. the ICON has fallen to 4th place in forecast verification. It's now behind Norway's YR model. Quite a way behind the WRF, and miles behind the AROME.

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1 minute ago, Nick Croker said:

I like the look of the SNOW finger pointing my way out of South London.

Capture.PNG

That'll create a million 'yellow-snow' jokes, you watch.

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29 minutes ago, Bristle boy said:

Snow showers just to my North (Thornbury area i reck) snow showers to the South (Bristol)......just a few flakes here. Missing out in SG today.

Latest for tomorrow? It is getting as confusing in here as in mad thread!

Is it a downgrade OR as you were? Cheers

Yep was a brief heavy snow shower and it started to settle very fast. Sun back out and thawing slowly.

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7 minutes ago, Bristle boy said:

It's arrived in SG. Looks like it might get fairly heavy

Fizzling out here now but gave us another dusting.

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Just now, Mapantz said:

.. just to add .. the ICON has fallen to 4th place in forecast verification. It's now behind Norway's YR model. Quite a way behind the WRF, and miles behind the AROME.

Yay! You're okay! Thought you'd fallen in a snow hole.

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2 minutes ago, Nick Croker said:

I like the look of the SNOW finger pointing my way out of South London.

Capture.PNG


1,000,000 yellow snow jokes.

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1 minute ago, Mapantz said:

.. just to add .. the ICON has fallen to 4th place in forecast verification. It's now behind Norway's YR model. Quite a way behind the WRF, and miles behind the AROME.

4th Place? Do you mean within the verification stats of the high res models, excluding GFS, ECM etc. A little confused?

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1 minute ago, Mapantz said:

.. just to add .. the ICON has fallen to 4th place in forecast verification. It's now behind Norway's YR model. Quite a way behind the WRF, and miles behind the AROME.

with posts like that, if you were female, I'd marry ya :laugh:

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3 minutes ago, Nick Croker said:

I like the look of the SNOW finger pointing my way out of South London.

Capture.PNG

Should give quite a covering for those who catch that shower train!

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mick take sort of period....videos last night of snow from mates 3 miles away,snowing in all the old haunts in Kent where I lived,purchased compost for my gardening....frozen solid.......so Godshill....Redlynch......Downton have any of you seen snow on the ground,its still bone dry here ,as for tomorrow looks like flip a coin lol

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3 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

4th Place? Do you mean within the verification stats of the high res models, excluding GFS, ECM etc. A little confused?

Mainly Hi res, but GFS included. No ECM. (EWN = blended WRF model)

5a96cc8a49eff_2018-02-28(7).thumb.png.1cc1d186a8cbe6e2ece448ca3bb27d00.png

Edited by Mapantz

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Just now, Mapantz said:

Mainly Hi res, but GFS included. No ECM.

5a96cc8a49eff_2018-02-28(7).thumb.png.1cc1d186a8cbe6e2ece448ca3bb27d00.png

Ah that helps, cheers!

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GFS looking good early doors, you know what they say, get the snow in  first, and err

gfs-2-30.png?12

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1 minute ago, jy said:

mick take sort of period....videos last night of snow from mates 3 miles away,snowing in all the old haunts in Kent where I lived,purchased compost for my gardening....frozen solid.......so Godshill....Redlynch......Downton have any of you seen snow on the ground,its still bone dry here ,as for tomorrow looks like flip a coin lol

Tomorrow's our time jy :laugh:

We had the slightest dusting yesterday. Our butcher lives Alderbury way and he said that they had more laying than Downton.

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4 minutes ago, jy said:

mick take sort of period....videos last night of snow from mates 3 miles away,snowing in all the old haunts in Kent where I lived,purchased compost for my gardening....frozen solid.......so Godshill....Redlynch......Downton have any of you seen snow on the ground,its still bone dry here ,as for tomorrow looks like flip a coin lol

Been bone dry here in Redlynch!

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1 hour ago, Mr Bartlettazores said:

Haha indeed! I’m not too bothered as live in Winchester and there has been a few cms of snow there yesterday but it does seem that a snowshield has set up everywhere else in South Hampshire! The snow literally starts and finishes as you enter / leave Winchester off the M3! :yahoo:

I call it the pizza slice zone. Also happens with thunderstorms. I think it might be the Solent microclimate, which to be fair did deliver 1 inch of snow on coast which was not forecast, about A Month ago.

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2 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Modele GFS - Carte prévisions


That doesn't look right but I'll take it. You'd expect much higher amounts in South Wales and SE Ireland.

Edit: My bad. Thought it was total snowfall accumulated.

Edited by MidnightSnow

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2 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Modele GFS - Carte prévisions

14cm for me!😍

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2 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:


That doesn't look right but I'll take it. You'd expect much higher amounts in South Wales and SE Ireland.

Have to agree, but yeah GFS 12z looking a little better.

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Looking ominous here in Jersey from midnight onwards 😮

ED301C6D-0781-4D9E-BF36-F9A23805D3F3.png

Edited by Fitzwis

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