Jump to content
Cold?
Local
Radar
Snow?

South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards


Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW BABY
  • Location: Yate, Bristol

    Fairly depressing seeing those hefty showers pass to the north of us. They were forecast for our region yesterday morning... but the weather do what it do.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Spotted a post you think may be an issue? Please help the team by reporting it.
    • Replies 7.9k
    • Created
    • Last Reply

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Popular Posts

    Sod the snow, Tom Baker is trying to steal your car. 

    I want to see this in the morning.  

    Good afternoon all ,with the passing of my beautifull wife last Autumn things have been rather busy at home but now starting to quieten down ,so today i,v been for a great walk up local woods .with th

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Winterbourne, South Glos
  • Location: Winterbourne, South Glos

    Interesting that this PPN is pepping up out of nowhere on the radar the last half hour or so.

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Downton, Wiltshire
  • Location: Downton, Wiltshire

    Currently 0.7C, with a minimum of -4.4C overnight.

    Slim pickings today*, but we're still on for Thursday.

    Best chance for the region before then, looks to be for knocker tomorrow.

    image.thumb.png.fdc721944db2390e61c95a3dd5aba20c.png

    Oh the irony..

     

    Edit - maybe except oop north.

    Edited by jtay
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Camborne
  • Location: Camborne
    57 minutes ago, EllyTech said:

    Morning Knocker (perhaps I should look at your short range posts before commenting) I have a question. Looking at Vis Sat, what is the explanation for the apparent circulation of cloud over the UK? Is it just the expected isobar layout or is there a low forming over us right now? - such as, a Polar low in situ? :pardon:

    Morning Elly well it is apparent but the cloud to the north of is associated with the little wave (low) that has tracked south west from southern Norway and brought more consolidated snow showers to many places whist on route south west of Ireland. Forget about this Polar Low twaddle (not meaning you :)) as the professional met people who apparently started this should have known better

    • Like 1
    • Thanks 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Poole
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Hot Sun (but not at the same time!) 57m asl
  • Location: Poole
    22 minutes ago, katemart said:

    I've been at work less than an hour and I've already got the radar up in a tab behind a spreadsheet! :D

    I have the radar and this forum and keep tabbing between that, spreadsheets and emails. admittedly I'm spending more time on here than anything else.

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, Bristol
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, Bristol

    Standing at Lawrence Hill train station (central east Bristol) waiting for train up to Btl Parkway, SG and itvis snowing here.

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
    10 minutes ago, kumquat said:

    Interesting that this PPN is pepping up out of nowhere on the radar the last half hour or so.

    Just looking at that, looking NE towards oxford area and the SE where the ppn has a eastward push to it in the last hour or so, could we be looking at a convergence?? Very slim but you never know

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Trowbridge, Wilts
  • Weather Preferences: hot summers; frigid winters; golden fall; bright spring
  • Location: Trowbridge, Wilts

    Hi note from fergie an hour ago, plenty of interest Thursday into Friday but lots of complexity: 

    W COUNTRY 2/2 Later Thurs into Thurs night/Fri, low pressure from S continues to look threatening in models. Risk of more widespread snow spreading N; moderate-heavy in places, perhaps locally blizzards. Added risk of freezing rain following for some. Detail v complex/uncertain.
    • Thanks 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Poole Dorset
  • Location: Poole Dorset
    22 minutes ago, Rapodo said:

    I'm liking the look of the predicted wind direction in met office app for Thursday n Friday for my location. Poole. Got a good chance at the moment. 

    If the streamers in the channel maintain their propensity then I would say tomorrow we could do well as the present wind direction is NE.  However tomorrow the winds are expected to be from ESE to SE.  In general I would love to see a further SE track for Thursdays low to keep us here in with a better shout although the BBC are going for snow from SW at present to affect our region with no marginality on the coast here. Thatll do me for now.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Bournemouth - Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: Storms & Snow
  • Location: Bournemouth - Dorset
    38 minutes ago, Rapodo said:

    If only we can get this system to push east and south a bit more everyone will be in the game then. Not looking forward to a rain to snow event or snow to rain. Everyone's needs to get outside and blow as hard we can lol 

    I have a feeling you may well be surprised.  In my experience, these low pressure systems are very hard to predict in terms of where they track, intensity, but based on past experience I would not be surprised if this ends up tracking further east and south meaning more of the SW are affected and remaining on the right side of the snow/rain possibilities.  No technical data to back up my theory only life experience.  I think how the low pressure interacts with the intense cold air is unpredictable and this could well be a now cast situation with met warnings popping up a short notice.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,

    Some screen shots showing the showers building ( I hope I got them in the right order)

    A7146254-5DBE-4CFA-8AFB-99F9CA981263.jpeg

    432721CD-14C7-4F11-ACDB-424A7188C442.jpeg

    E26A2B70-7D23-4F37-BD1E-5BA56EAF7A59.jpeg

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland

    just having my first snow flurry of the cold spell!

    • Like 7
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire

    I wonder if those showers further east might make it a bit further towards us today with the change in direction since yesterday. 

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
    5 minutes ago, Mike the Fish said:

    I have a feeling you may well be surprised.  In my experience, these low pressure systems are very hard to predict in terms of where they track, intensity, but based on past experience I would not be surprised if this ends up tracking further east and south meaning more of the SW are affected and remaining on the right side of the snow/rain possibilities.  No technical data to back up my theory only life experience.  I think how the low pressure interacts with the intense cold air is unpredictable and this could well be a now cast situation with met warnings popping up a short notice.

    Well the models this morning look more promising for coastal areas with the less cold air being delayed further. And from what MWB posted not long ago there’s nothing conclusive about what happens thereafter. 

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny summers. cold snowy winters
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl

    @karlos1983 very true chap i haven't scanned the MAD thread for a couple of days now we seem to be building up a better knowledge base in here now!

    So much to play for. The old adage is so true get the cold air in and see what happens and things are happening for the better!!!

    • Like 4
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,

    From the mad thread Credit to Man with beard

    ECM cluster report: No clusters after just T96 - Not because they are broken, but because they do not have a clue!!!!

    I looked at individual ensemble members for D8/D9 on weather.us. Totally random!! In fact, the number of runs with minus 8C uppers or below probably outweigh the milder runs! 

    The only pattern is low pressure very close to the UK, with a marked difference in coldness depending on whether the low is centred a few hundred miles west / east / south / north.

    Little point, therefore, looking beyond the model mess of the end of this week IMO.

    interesting!

    • Like 4
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Southampton, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, hot, hot! Or cold, cold, cold!
  • Location: Southampton, UK
    12 minutes ago, jtay said:

    Although the HIRLAM fancies a bit again today...

    tempresult_trn0.gif

    From what I can see on raintoday.com the ppn is tracking westward along the coast quicker than this. Hopefully that means we have more chance of showers today.

    So wonderful this ppn popping up from the sea - usually with a low from the south-west if it arrives that means if blows through more quickly and is followed by the inevitable w*rm-up.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset

    How annoying, beefy showery going by just to the east of here. 

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,

    Radar at 20 min intervals! Showers growing 

    0C2B1AAE-6C31-4180-9326-894B56772CDA.jpeg

    41F7989D-D623-45DE-A842-A97E86612A65.jpeg

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Southampton, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, hot, hot! Or cold, cold, cold!
  • Location: Southampton, UK

    Showers maintaining intensity on the front edge and heading straight for Portsmouth and Southampton! COME TO MAMA!

    (*Must remember how misleading the radar can be...*)

    Edited by katemart
    • Like 4
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Guest
    This topic is now closed to further replies.
    ×
    ×
    • Create New...