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Paul

Model output discussion - here comes the beast!

Paul

Please only post model discussion in this thread 

For more general chat and banter, or moans and ramps loosely around the models, please head to the banter thread:
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/86721-model-moans-ramps-and-banter/

For general weather chat including about the snow/cold chances around the country, please go to the regional threads:
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/forum/142-regional-discussions/

We also have a special post SSW cold spell discussion open here:
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/89358-ssw-related-cold-spell-will-it-wont-it/

Thank you!

Message added by Paul

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2 minutes ago, SN0WM4N said:

Snow maker?

 

3 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:

ECM at 168 looks good

ECM0-168.GIF?20-0

ECM1-168.GIF?20-0

-8 uppers ???

Will that be cold enough for snow ?

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ECM 192 to freeze over the snow from the day before 😁 Now that's cold 

IMG_1681.PNG

Edited by ICE COLD

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Everything looks a bit messier this evening than it did this morning post Monday. However, messy could equal snowier. 

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Don't think we can really be bothered about the slightly warmer uppers with a low like that ready to traverse the country.

No chart available for the selected hour. Many charts start at 3 hours ahead, so if you have 0 hours selected try stepping forward or selecting a later hour.

Straight back to proper cold anyway

No chart available for the selected hour. Many charts start at 3 hours ahead, so if you have 0 hours selected try stepping forward or selecting a later hour.

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So a spell of heavy snow moving east to west followed by a thaw! NOT!!!!

ECU1-168.GIF.thumb.png.40eb70ee3f0422d045dd23859899eed0.pngECU0-192.GIF.thumb.png.515df9e1bfc4364022bc1321fa1dba19.png

 

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1 minute ago, craigore said:

 

-8 uppers ???

Will that be cold enough for snow ?

Uppers of -5 is good enough for snow.

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Day 8...

ECMOPEU12_192_1.thumb.png.b5d92d89864d5267425fd398155bc652.pngECMOPEU12_192_2.thumb.png.c9f6059785982df3ab36a0d96ba3f05f.png

ECH1-192.GIF.thumb.png.c207c164bac438c4718b4c861af59d80.pngECH0-192.GIF.thumb.png.a73225a91c6cd7097088660ebaf675fd.png

That will do nicely.

 

Edited by s4lancia

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1 minute ago, craigore said:

 

-8 uppers ???

Will that be cold enough for snow ?

Don't worry -15 on192ecm:cold:

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1 minute ago, pandit-scholar said:

Uppers of -5 is good enough for snow.

Can be substantially higher then that with a continental airmass :), yup its a snow maker alright.

Edited by Quicksilver1989

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I'm pretty sure that would be snow at 168 from that low . Can any body confirm this ? 

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Got to say, i rather the cleaner versions of the GFS and UKMO runs as that makes more sure we got enough cold embedded in before any shortwaves and kinks in the flow starts to become embedded and make the gs alot more complicated. 

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Just now, ICE COLD said:

I'm pretty sure that would be snow at 168 from that low . Can any body confirm this ? 

Easily

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Just now, Quicksilver1989 said:

Can be substantially higher then that with a continental airmass :)

One thing for sure it would be a snow low. Phenomenal ECM again just like the 00Z broadly.

477DF510-B6DC-4E87-A40A-CC5DEBCEBF09.thumb.gif.189228f49a7704c9b3ead42547a89d41.gif

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4 minutes ago, craigore said:

 

-8 uppers ???

Will that be cold enough for snow ?

Dewpoints will be super low. No worries.

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Just now, ICE COLD said:

I'm pretty sure that would be snow at 168 from that low . Can any body confirm this ? 

All snow down to sea level right on the coast. Dew points well below freezing. Temps of zero also.

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Great runs, but how many times have we said this week "here comes the cold at 192 on the ECM". It seems determined to big the limelight!

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2 minutes ago, ICE COLD said:

I'm pretty sure that would be snow at 168 from that low . Can any body confirm this ? 

Snow snow snow will know!:)

Edited by snowice

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What’s all this cleaner business about ?? If this is dirty I’d take it everyday of the week 

F2BD1AA1-2AD9-4F80-AF43-53C508C04D40.png

21E0EEBC-914A-4098-A1B5-25EFB6347CC8.png

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