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Far north and northeast of England - regional chat

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7 minutes ago, NickR said:

Where's that for, doc? I keep losing the link to where you can enter any coords and get the ens.

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs.php

I normally just click on map near us, but you can enter them on above link if you know co-ords.

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Nice ECM. I reckon we could still do with a further shift north if we want to avoid the major fun being further south.

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I know these should be taken with a pinch of salt, but the latest ECM looks like an upgrade in accumulations. Between 8 and 10 inches ten days from now. It's certainly nail biting times, especially with the MOD bias 😂

S80221-19101734.jpg

S80221-19121288.jpg

S80221-19123971.jpg

S80221-19150337.jpg

Edited by geordiekev
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Jesus!! Yes please!

Am I right in thinking that doesn't include convective snow either?

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Excellent ECM and GEM this evening GFS ok as well, UKMO is the one that concerns me hopefully it will back track tomorrow the rest are cannon fodder they only come out when it's showing what people want to see, onto the GFS 18z at 9.30, emotional rollercoaster :D

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JMA starting to push the colder air a bit further north mid next week poor southerners might have to put up with rain whilst the north gets pasted

J120-21.thumb.GIF.158752e8e4c2361b22db7cd30cb29dc4.GIFJ168-21.thumb.GIF.3702ad55e1696aaa8fe3c46a6aff67eb.GIF

J120-7.thumb.GIF.b08d4f5d03fbd6cb23209d903c6d0218.GIFJ192-7.thumb.GIF.19ff5a46e3f74ed640193cb6e8963e12.GIF

 

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Actually I do rate that model :rofl:

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7 minutes ago, NickR said:

Jesus!! Yes please!

Am I right in thinking that doesn't include convective snow either?

I would expect more accumulations to show nearer to the coast if it included convective activity but a Geordiesnow said they do factor them in on the coast but are unable to factor in the length of track inland. Certainly sonething I will be checking on to see if they fair better in easterlies.

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North Sea eager to get going tonight even under high pressure.:laugh:

hiradarzoomv42_pl.thumb.png.9a3b3ad855d7c64eb4116ce3b1a9da09.png9-21UK.thumb.GIF.402f35b2e40cb683a590e35850a80bb7.GIF

 

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Yep a bit sleety here a few mins ago when outside looking for the bloody rabbits to put them away 😂

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I don't like the 18z much.

EDIT: It gets epic though!

Edited by NickR

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I also think that it is very different towards the start. Frankly, if it gets that wrong, the whole run is for the bin. I guess it's not worth getting hung up on longer term details.

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3 minutes ago, NickR said:

I don't like the 18z much.

Really? This run is perfect for us, low pressure, cold uppers, snow and more snow.

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It's looking great for us I think . I hope that shortwave does hang around copious amounts of snow and the southerners would hate that :rofl:

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2 minutes ago, Stozzy said:

It's looking great for us I think . I hope that shortwave does hang around copious amounts of snow and the southerners would hate that :rofl:

You're right the Southerners would hate that Mr Murr has already binned the run. :D

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6 minutes ago, doctor32 said:

Really? This run is perfect for us, low pressure, cold uppers, snow and more snow.

See my edit. Great though it is, it doesn't look right to me.

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4 minutes ago, Stozzy said:

It's looking great for us I think . I hope that shortwave does hang around copious amounts of snow and the southerners would hate that :rofl:

Wouldn't that just be the icing on the freezing cold, snow-covered cake.

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Great 18z for us. If a Polar/Siberian Low develops in that unstable Easterly/North Easterly flow we could get north of 8inches in one fall, easily. Add that to the convective snowfall amounts and we're looking at potentially very significant totals. 

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On the downside, I could do with doc's 250 quid as I'm on strike for 14 days from tomorrow!

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right thats it!! looking at the models I've decided I need to find my jumper for when I take the wife out for a pint over the toon next week!!!!:)

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16 minutes ago, gazzac69 said:

right thats it!! looking at the models I've decided I need to find my jumper for when I take the wife out for a pint over the toon next week!!!!:)

Now, let's not be hasty! Seems a bit of an extreme step at this stage. Maybe a thin undervest?

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A better start this morning so far from ukmo and gfs which has lying snow pretty much right through to 9 March. It's getting so close I can smell it 😉

S80222-04562937.jpg

Edited by geordiekev

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On Friday am I'm making a long trip up to Stanhope N. Pennines to look at a house. Just me and the dog. Will I make it up there and make it back same night?

Nervous about the drive as it is, let alone deep snow. Hopefully it will start on Saturday. But if earlier, I'll have to cancel.

Edited by Iceni

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38 minutes ago, Iceni said:

On Friday am I'm making a long trip up to Stanhope N. Pennines to look at a house. Just me and the dog. Will I make it up there and make it back same night?

Nervous about the drive as it is, let alone deep snow. Hopefully it will start on Saturday. But if earlier, I'll have to cancel.

You will be fine, snow showers not expected till sunday evening and any disruptive snow will be mid next week anyways

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