South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards

[fromey]

Well the ECM has thrown a WTF moment! And according to the ECM it starts in just 5 days time!

we will see!

plenty of time for more toy throwing and dummy spitting 

[festivalking]

I can't keep up. Just shows no one has a clue I doubt no one will have a clue even when it' all over. Flipping hilarious though!

[fromey]

1 minute ago, festivalking said:

I can't keep up. Just shows no one has a clue I doubt no one will have a clue even when it' all over. Flipping hilarious though!

Fair play to the Metoffice they have been calling it for sometime now even though the models didn’t show it.

lets see how this pans out 

[matt111]

Well the Met Office have been unusually bullish about cold coming so they must have more confidence in it than most on here. 

[khodds]

I need to lie down. This is just crazy!! 

At least my optimism earlier paid off ?

[Dorsetbred]

9 minutes ago, khodds said:

I need to lie down. This is just crazy!! 

At least my optimism earlier paid off ?

Can I suggest you take a friend with you, just to ease the pain??

 

[khodds]

4 minutes ago, Dorsetbred said:

Can I suggest you take a friend with you, just to ease the pain??

 

Pass it pronto! ?

[karlos1983]

30 minutes ago, khodds said:

Pass it pronto! ?

How did it go today then khodds ??

[khodds]

2 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

How did it go today then khodds ??

I’m waiting for a phone call tonight ! Then I’ll know more... will update you all later!

 

still hate that emoji ? 

[festivalking]

51 minutes ago, Dorsetbred said:

Can I suggest you take a friend with you, just to ease the pain??

 

Make mine a double

[kent]

I was reading a report from the Met Office this morning which said quote.

UK weather latest. Britain braces for arctic temperatures as sudden stratospheric warming ushers in big freeze.   The phenomenon which causes the stratosphere to heat up very quickly greatly increase the risk of wintry weather the Met Office said and could usher in arctic temperatures from Tuesday onward.

But they are still waiting to see how the atmosphere will respond as in previous years it has led to a disruption of the jet stream.

Could be the reason why the models cant get to grips on what the hell is happening up there lol.

[karlos1983]

Ooooh GFS creeps onboard with ECM and ICON 

[khodds]

Where’s the bubbly?! Model agreement alert ? 

[festivalking]

ICON!!! If this comes off ICONIC more like

[khodds]

Quiet in here tonight.. has everyone fainted?!

[karlos1983]

Just now, khodds said:

Quiet in here tonight.. has everyone fainted?!

It’s that stuck inbetween stage of do we want one last chase of winter or shall we just start looking forward to spring!! If this goes tits up again I’m done with winter 2017/18 

for at least 10 more days!!! ?‍♂️

[Frosty hollows]

I can't see anything on the forecasts that offers anything other than what we've been having the last couple of weeks. Maybe a bit drier but same temps, if not slightly milder by night. And probably greyer and duller.

[khodds]

39 minutes ago, Frosty hollows said:

I can't see anything on the forecasts that offers anything other than what we've been having the last couple of weeks. Maybe a bit drier but same temps, if not slightly milder by night. And probably greyer and duller.

You may be right, and please don’t take offence to this.... I truly hope you are wrong. 

 

Edited February 15, 2018 by khodds

[DanDorsetUK]

 

Not often you see charts like this oh if only!

[jethro]

Fergie being quite positive tonight, seems like it's going to get cold before we get spring. Delphiniums are going to be disappointed, they're happily bursting into life, best wrap them up.

 

Ian Fergusson‏Verified account @fergieweather 4h4 hours ago

Makes a change to see ECMWF model output actually sitting in largest cluster of options going ahead through next week onwards. Sure looks likely to turn cold from the E later nxt week, but (not least given recent model volatility) we're not quite yet at a point for certainty...

12:15 pm - 15 Feb 2018

 

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17 replies . 13 retweets 46 likes

 

Ian Fergusson‏Verified account @fergieweather 1h1 hour ago

W COUNTRY We continue to keep across potential for colder conditions developing from an E'ly quarter later nxt week & onwards. Much uncertainty remains, albeit latest signals suggest such a set-up could linger on well into 1st half March. I'll keep you posted as clarity improves.

2:57 pm - 15 Feb 2018

[jethro]

26 minutes ago, Rapodo said:

 

Not often you see charts like this oh if only!

Now that would make my sons day, it's his birthday on the 2nd, fab pressie to get :-)

[bigdog1]

14 minutes ago, jethro said:

Now that would make my sons day, it's his birthday on the 2nd, fab pressie to get :-)

I work for the local highways and our weather provider has warned us that it going to go into a very cold spell towards the end of next week?

[jethro]

Just now, bigdog1 said:

I work for the local highways and our weather provider has warned us that it going to go into a very cold spell towards the end of next week?

Thanks for that. Seems I am going to have to organise moving some enormous pots at work, been waiting and holding off as it involves hiring machinery, extra labour and huge upheaval in the house to fit them in. I wouldn't be popular if I spent all that money and caused so much chaos for nothing but a couple of frosts.

My lad will be over the moon if he gets a white birthday.

[Frosty hollows]

50 minutes ago, khodds said:

You may be right, and please don’t take offence to this.... I truly hope you are wrong. 

 

I truly hope I'm wrong too!

[Zephyr]

I sense a few might be doing this, this morning with the 00z runs  ECM soon.

 

Edited February 16, 2018 by Zephyr