The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards

[markw2680]

7 hours ago, MattStoke said:

Winds look to be WNW on Sunday, which normally means showers head north of Stoke and those that try to move towards here get killed by the Welsh mountains. Yet the Met Office and BBC both show frequent snow showers here. Hmm. We'll see.

Agreed the direction is critical in these set ups, we will see though u never no. Maybe we could take the tops off the mountains lol. What gets me though is why everyone is looking so far into the future on the models when next week is looking potentially very good

[Polar Maritime]

Moderate snow here with a full covering.

Heavy snow now with around 3cm 

Edited February 10, 2018 by Polar Maritime

[BarometerCat]

Light rain here, cold out about 2c. Apps showing snow/sleet for Sunday, Tuesday & Wednesday IMBY. Slightly more interesting week ahead.

 

[Terminal Moraine]

Moderate snow here after a spell of light snow and ice pellets from 0745 to 0845.  1cm lying at 0900.

[shaky]

3 hours ago, MattStoke said:

The Euro4 model looks good for here though, and for much of the Midlands.

Tasty same as 18z run although ever so slightly further south for us in leicester!!some areas could get a walloping of snow!!

[The Wolf]

Why is the BBC app showing no snow tomorrow? Just says dry day with sunny intervals.

[markw2680]

31 minutes ago, The Wolf said:

Why is the BBC app showing no snow tomorrow? Just says dry day with sunny intervals.

Because they are crap those apps they change more than the models which is saying something 

[The Wolf]

14 minutes ago, markw2680 said:

Because they are crap those apps they change more than the models which is saying something 

 

Shows how dreadful they are when they have a yellow warning out for our area and then state tomorrow will be dry with sunny intervals! Met office forecast looks more promising.

[Polar Maritime]

Snow here has steadily turned to rain with a thaw.

Temp 2.5c

Wind chill -0.8c

[WalsallWeather123]

Met Office Video forecast doesn't look great for Sunday. Heavy rain. For some reason the video forecast never correlates with the App forecast

[Polar Maritime]

Looks like snow over the parts of the Midlands tomorrow as colder air digs in from the N/W.

[MattStoke]

MO warning updated. Still not sure about the shower risk given the wind direction but the MO and BBC seem to think showers will be widespread and frequent.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

2 hours ago, The Wolf said:

Why is the BBC app showing no snow tomorrow? Just says dry day with sunny intervals.

maybe because it will be correct, those Welsh mountains in the way

[sawan]

What a miserable weather, rained earlier at  1C. This year should be officially called as the year of sleet. 

[WalsallWeather123]

Just watched BBC forecast. Tomorrow looks a repeat of yesterday morning. Hit and miss snow showers across the region

[MattStoke]

Disgusting day, and people wonder why I prefer cold and snow over this rancid filth.

[markw2680]

8 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Disgusting day, and people wonder why I prefer cold and snow over this rancid filth.

Dull damp crap day, u never no it might be white when we wake up tomorrow 

[MattStoke]

GFS going with the rain to snow event on Tuesday that the BBC have been talking about.

[Dancerwithwings]

The Westerly is the new Easterly You don't see many westerly so cold and so far South

Snow showers tomorrow but it'll be a case of radar watching methinks

Yes!!!  Matt been looking at that myself

DEFO ONE TO KEEP AN EYE ON

[WalsallWeather123]

ARPEGE going for majority rain on Tuesday's front. Not turning to snow as GFS shows. GFS overplays snow significantly. I wouldn't get hopes up as I think snow lover will be disappointed once again tomorrow and Tuesday

[MattStoke]

BBC have been talking up the snow risk from that system though. So worth watching.

Snow most likely to settle above 150 m tomorrow. My area is 146 m asl and I'm just under 3 m tall. Anyone got a step ladder?

[Dancerwithwings]

1 hour ago, MattStoke said:

BBC have been talking up the snow risk from that system though. So worth watching.

Snow most likely to settle above 150 m tomorrow. My area is 146 m asl and I'm just under 3 m tall. Anyone got a step ladder?

Agreed, I remember the last snowy spell we had, a few days before It was mentioned in very similar terms and that ended as far South as London.

But as always Caution!!! still marginal at this stage and still a couple of days away yet......Will be watching the hi res models with interests 

This is the LATEST 12z NMM 0.05  that goes out as far as 72h

[BlueHedgehog074]

Tuesday morning’s front, if cold enough, I feel would have a real possibility to produce some torrential sleet and snow for places, especially considering how vigorous the system could be.

I suspect tomorrow, it’ll probably stay mostly dry here with the West-North-Westerly wind likely to drag most of the snow showers to the North! Although enough instability to the flow could ensure a few get further South/South-East in the region at times. Depends how well they survive the Welsh Mountains I guess!

[MattStoke]

Met Office and BBC showing snow showers right across the Midlands tomorrow. Heavy and persistent here. They must think it will be unstable enough for showers to survive the Welsh mountains.

BBC said snow widely on Tuesday. Settling to low levels.

Then showed snow on Wednesday but turning to rain through the day.

Cold NW winds continuing after that.

 

[BlueHedgehog074]

54 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Met Office and BBC showing snow showers right across the Midlands tomorrow. Heavy and persistent here. They must think it will be unstable enough for showers to survive the Welsh mountains.

BBC said snow widely on Tuesday. Settling to low levels.

Then showed snow on Wednesday but turning to rain through the day.

Cold NW winds continuing after that.

 

That’s encouraging! Could certainly put a lot of snow shields in here under threat!