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The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards


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17 minutes ago, kar999 said:

The Beast from the East finally roared here in South Staffs with huge drifts in places... Out track was cleared twice by the kind farmer at 11 last night and again at 7 this morning otherwise I would have been snowed in

The first one is a car in the distance well and truly stuck on the road out of the village...

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Westbeech Road? 

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Anyone with a macro lens needs to go and photograph the amazing snowflakes falling right now. This is the best i can do

So, both hi res models over which whose territory this system is evolving - Hirlam and Arpege (both I would have a lot of respect for) - have very decent accumulations forecast by Friday morning from

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Bbc now saying 1 hr of heavy then just light snow rest of the day till 6pm

 

Can i ask which of the forecaster websites seem to be the best.  Tho you guys all seem more clued up ! 

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2 minutes ago, mr benn said:

Bbc now saying 1 hr of heavy then just light snow rest of the day till 6pm

 

Can i ask which of the forecaster websites seem to be the best.  Tho you guys all seem more clued up ! 

I wouldn't rely on any of the websites, they just use raw model output and don't have any professional forecaster input, so they are sketchy at best especially in terms of precipitation. Watching the Met Office video forecasts on YouTube are probably your best bet. They tend to issue one in the morning, and another in the afternoon. If you're familiar with model watching you can see raw weather model output on Meteociel.fr and weatheronline.co.uk > expert charts area. 

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1 minute ago, mr benn said:

Bbc now saying 1 hr of heavy then just light snow rest of the day till 6pm

 

Can i ask which of the forecaster websites seem to be the best.  Tho you guys all seem more clued up ! 

None of them, BBC had my area down for 6 hours of heavy snow showers, and not a flake has fallen, don't waste your time they're completely useless.

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Just now, DIS1970 said:

None of them, BBC had my area down for 6 hours of heavy snow showers, and not a flake has fallen, don't waste your time they're completely useless.

Need to pin this and place top of the thread. Spot on 

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6 minutes ago, richbiss said:

Westbeech Road? 

Yep... Always a nightmare as it rarely gets gritted. I had to leave the village via Patshull and Burnhill Green

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1 minute ago, Natalie Till said:

Met office removed all weather warnings now

Just refresh the Met Office website, still country wide warnings for me ?

edit:

Oh lol. Maybe you refreshed just between removing old ones and issuing new ones ;)

Edited by kmanmx
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Plenty of drifting snow here in Evesham some parts of the ground laid bare other parts have snow drifts seems strange to see powdery snow at this time of year and even in any winter month it's very uncommon :cold:

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26 minutes ago, stripeyfox said:

Is that your Springer? Mine loves the snow!
 

A few cms here in Aldridge but with a decent amount of drifting especially just up the road from me on Longwood Lane and Beacon Road. Hopefully more later. 

My springer loves the snow too !

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Just to give some peeps an idea of how much of a joke the met office weather app and beep online forecast is.

Searched my post code on both sites both have my area for light snow from 2pm till 12am then i searched a diffrent post code 1 mile up the road and it shows heavy snow for 4hrs then light snow till midnight..absolutely clueless tools in my opinion 

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Temp above freezing now, was forecast to stay below all day, but with occasional flashes of sun, it's unlikely to go below again until later this afternoon/evening, when i hope it is actually snowing.

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46 minutes ago, Glacier Point said:

Hirlam, Arpege and GFS 06z in good agreement on this: 5-10cms widely. More with elevation.

Just a quick question.

i am due to pick up family from East Midlands Airport at 7.30pm, Do you think this system will cause problems this far North.

 

i have a 4x4 so can travel, but may leave earlier to avoid poor conditions, if its bad, family can always book into airport hotel, haha.

anyone help out with sensible predictions, I,m coming down from Peak District so need to prepare carefully.

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1 minute ago, Glacier Point said:

You should be OK with a 4x4, and the intensity will be such that gritters / ploughs will be able to cope on major roads.

cheers , I might miss out M1, and go straight though City Centre and then ring road.

enjoy your snow. :)

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4 minutes ago, marksp said:

Just a quick question.

i am due to pick up family from East Midlands Airport at 7.30pm, Do you think this system will cause problems this far North.

 

i have a 4x4 so can travel, but may leave earlier to avoid poor conditions, if its bad, family can always book into airport hotel, haha.

anyone help out with sensible predictions, I,m coming down from Peak District so need to prepare carefully.

4x4 will be fine. I'm driving to derby in a few hours  in a smart car. Might cancel I'll see in the next hour or so

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