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The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards


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1 minute ago, Walsall Wood Snow said:

Considering today a couple of days ago was supposed to be our best chance, then yesterday tomorrow now today it's Saturday we can't really get too excited by that. Maybe we'll catch a break yet though. Not that its bad at the moment mind, just somewhat underwhelming compared to other places.

Yes, I think my area done well IF you ignore other areas of the UK, will be worse after tomorrow though when SW Midlands, SW England, Wales and Ireland get their dump

just try to forget about elsewhere, not as if we've got none

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Anyone with a macro lens needs to go and photograph the amazing snowflakes falling right now. This is the best i can do

So, both hi res models over which whose territory this system is evolving - Hirlam and Arpege (both I would have a lot of respect for) - have very decent accumulations forecast by Friday morning from

Posted Images

Massive favour to ask anyone at home/on a desktop. Could someone take screenshots of the BBC national and midlands today forecast maps at 1.30 please? 

Also - does anyone have the time spare, to check out the HIRLAM, Arpege and GFS for the 3 hour PPN breakdowns between now and SATURDAY PM - just so we can see how they look, see when looks favourable for any PPN and to compare when it's all said and done? 

Would hugely appreciate that. 

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Just now, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

NE Midlands to miss it, bbc still gives me about 12 hours constant light snow, may have extra cm by tomorrow night

I'm hoping it follows the arrows and the Eastern edge sits just east of Coventry

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5 minutes ago, Brrrrr! said:

I'm hoping it follows the arrows and the Eastern edge sits just east of Coventry

If that happend free drinks for everyone on midlands thread :D

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What appears to be heavier spell on the radar is just light snow that doesnt really add anything. Seems to be some false heavier readings on the radar atm. Looking at the area moving in i would say that anywhere east of Northampton is definately out of the game later. Areas from there to west side of Birmingham may continue to see light spells and then south west of there may get something more significant.

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For those north and east of Birmingham, you really want to see some PPN spreading, expanding and growing east of that right arrow if you are to see anything more than 'snizzle' later this evening. 

The overnight stuff wasn't heavy at all just persistent. If we can get something even less than moderate on radar then there's the potential for a couple of CM's to be added to anything lying now. Big radar watch there this afternoon. 

IMG_6119.PNG

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2 minutes ago, PolarWarsaw said:

For those north and east of Birmingham, you really want to see some PPN spreading, expanding and growing east of that right arrow if you are to see anything more than 'snizzle' later this evening. 

The overnight stuff wasn't heavy at all just persistent. If we can get something even less than moderate on radar then there's the potential for a couple of CM's to be added to anything lying now. Big radar watch there this afternoon. 

IMG_6119.PNG

yes but it starts to move NNW, 

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2 minutes ago, PolarWarsaw said:

For those north and east of Birmingham, you really want to see some PPN spreading, expanding and growing east of that right arrow if you are to see anything more than 'snizzle' later this evening. 

The overnight stuff wasn't heavy at all just persistent. If we can get something even less than moderate on radar then there's the potential for a couple of CM's to be added to anything lying now. Big radar watch there this afternoon. 

IMG_6119.PNG

Yes keep an eye on precip developing around london for chances in our area as its expected to slide north westwards as the low pushes up so some developments to our south east would be welcome. Like you said we dont need a blizzard just continual snowfall of 0.5/1cm per hour would be good over a long period of time. Currently on about 0.1/0.2cms per hour!

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1 minute ago, fizz511 said:

The MetO app is stunningly stupid.

it shows nothing all day here until 5pm. In reality it hasn’t stopped snowing all day.

Utterly useless. ?

Yep, Same here! Hasn’t stopped all day. 

 

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1 minute ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

yes but it starts to move NNW, 

That's why we need it to build and expand eastwards first, it will still have to move NNW. The further east it starts, the better.

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I live in LE3 and work in LE4. Yesterday there were heavy snow showers and today it has just been a constant light flurry. The snow is more like graupel and less like flakes.

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