The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards

[markw2680]

4 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Not a great run for this region GFS 18Z, for early next week, still FI yet though, lots of changes I'm sure, on this run, we're practically snow free, (early next week)

Lol u no as well as I do that then charts are ? they chop and change more than I fart, put it this way I think the whole of the uk is at risk of snow starting this weekend providing of course there are no downgrades....damn I hate that word

[MattStoke]

Sleety rain at the moment.

Plenty of wintry potential next week and for high ground this week.

Edit: it's snowing!

Edited January 31, 2018 by MattStoke

[andy_leics22]

Holy moly! The charts for next week look VERY cold. Might be quite dry for us Midlanders but there's no doubt it'll put us in the freezer if it comes off. -10 850's nationwide.

Edited January 31, 2018 by andy_leics22

[MattStoke]

Could well be some snow for the Milands next week. Far too far off for any detail of course.

[Walsall Wood Snow]

Heavy sleet here at the moment.

[MattStoke]

A dry, fresh morning. Perfect for talking the long route to work.

[BlueHedgehog074]

⬆️ Amazing pic!

Met Office talking about the possibility for snow on Saturday, albeit mostly over the hills. But I’m hoping it’ll be cold enough to fall to lower levels too - just like what happened a few Saturday’s ago!

[Staffordshire]

45 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

A dry, fresh morning. Perfect for talking the long route to work.

Great pic matt!

[weirpig]

Cold  showing in the models for next week   Fingers crossed.  Saturday at the moment i cant see nothing but cold rain.  perhaps just on the wrong side of marginal  however we shall see.  Tuesday at the moment (subject to change) looks our best bet.  However im a little wary as i believe the GFS is understating the block and i am concerned the front might not make it this far East.  Then again it might stall over us!.  Plenty to keep an eye on over the next week or so.

[weirpig]

Acually Looking at the GFS Ensembles.  It shows quite a few  showing the front struggling to cross the country due to the strength of the block  Around 6 or 7 have the front stalling close to or over the Midlands    some have it not reaching the Eastern parts of Wales  and some have it like the Op.   still very much up in the air.

[MattStoke]

GFS is normally too progressive and the ECM not progressive enough, in my opinion.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

5 hours ago, MattStoke said:

A dry, fresh morning. Perfect for talking the long route to work.

Had exactly same view Matt, luckily it produced no rain

[I remember Atlantic 252]

35 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

GFS is normally too progressive and the ECM not progressive enough, in my opinion.

Weirpig which front? Sat or Tues? yes GFS is very progressive with Saturdays front, FAX has it west of us

[MattStoke]

1 minute ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Weirpig which front? Sat or Tues? yes GFS is very progressive with Saturdays front, FAX has it west of us

Tuesday's. Saturday's looks to marginal to me.

Updated text forecast from the Met Office sounds wonderful!

Edited February 1, 2018 by MattStoke

[weirpig]

2 hours ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Weirpig which front? Sat or Tues? yes GFS is very progressive with Saturdays front, FAX has it west of us

Afternoon.  The front on Tueasday  im unsure if it will even get this far East   Saturday for me i think it could be a washout.    Mind you pleanty in the next week or so to keep our interest  Edit  just as i say that  its a snow fest on Saturday from the ICON.    well sort of

Edited February 1, 2018 by weirpig

[MattStoke]

GFS 12z is snow tastic next week.

[weirpig]

14 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

GFS 12z is snow tastic next week.

Yep The 12z  Stalls it not far from us  on Tuesday then another bout  upcoming Friday.    of course could change  but brilliant to look at

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Tuesday on GFS 12Z hmm trend west, just about okay for us, but no further West

[weirpig]

The ecm looks like keeping the band of snow Tuesday at bay keeping it more to the west. Gfs over us.  Either way it's cold. As ever more runs needed  Sunday night really before even any attempts at a prediction 

[weirpig]

Saturday a few hi res models are showing snow now for some areas of the Midlands.  Latest Hiram

[kar999]

11 hours ago, MattStoke said:

A dry, fresh morning. Perfect for talking the long route to work.

Looks like you got it onto Midlands Today Weather Watchers.

Well done!  

[MattStoke]

22 minutes ago, kar999 said:

Looks like you got it onto Midlands Today Weather Watchers.

Well done!  

Yeah. I can't see where though? My second photo ever to get Editors Pick!

[Dancerwithwings]

Matt,  I'm sure that brill photo was on BBC NEWS 24 weather this afternoon around 4pm-5pm,  not sure the name of the person (username) that was sent in with photo ??? Anyway 

[MattStoke]

9 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

Matt,  I'm sure that brill photo was on BBC NEWS 24 weather this afternoon around 4pm-5pm,  not sure the name of the person (username) that was sent in with photo ??? Anyway 

Hmm. Can't find anywhere. A shame they don't let you know where it's been used.

[markw2680]

I think there will be quite a bit of snow next week in the form of showers, if they pop up and move west we don’t have the welsh mountains in the way so reckon they will push quite far west, just a thought