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Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards


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This will get lost amid the avalanche of posts....scuse the pun. LADIES AND GENTLEMEN FOR ONLY THE SECOND TIME IN 7 AND A BIT YEARS I HAVE A MEASURABLE SNOWFALL!  Only a cm mind but a landmar

Let's just start with the money shot - both the ECM and the GFS agree that, as of Wednesday 12pm, the upper air temperatures will be sitting at -14/-15C over most of Scotland, the wind will be pretty

We had a bit of a struggle to get to the hospital this morning, the bus was 20 mins late and the taxi got fed up waiting and had gone. But we got there and hubby had the op, it's not cancer it's just

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8 minutes ago, JoeShmoe said:

looking at the radar as it is now (could change of course) no one in the central belt is getting 30cm any time soon ... you are if you are in one of those bands which i suspect is what was thought could effect here .. in effect here we had one decent shower at 11pm last night and thats been it .. 

all time to change however, we are only 2 hours into a 48 hour warning to be fair !

Patience, plenty time to go. Looking at the general picture ahead, there's a more organised area moving in this afternoon but it does seem to be blind siding Edinburgh and passing to the south and heading up in a WNW towards to southern portion of the central belt. I'm more optimistic now of a fair bit more snow as today goes on and into tomorrow. I believe there's a another trough in the flow for later on this evening aswell which appears quite narrow in nature, but where it targets could get an absolute doing with how long the trough is. 

Be interesting with the Hawsey predictions getting whipped out later on for comparison 

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17 minutes ago, 101_North said:

So no doubt I'll be labelled grumpy again but this isn't panning out how I imagined LOL

Same here. In relative terms I rate this as a B-minus locally. Can't say I rate an easterly that manages to set up steady constant streamer activity 40-50-60 miles west of us and mostly manages to circumnavigate Edinburgh. Utter gash.

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12 minutes ago, Blitzen said:

I'm afraid I will be joining @101-North this morning and sharing his grumpiness!

.....

I would say we have about 4" level snow here.

4 inches! No.....you absolutely cannot share my grumpiness :D

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3 minutes ago, 101_North said:

4 inches! No.....you absolutely cannot share my grumpiness :D

I will. Relative to conditions elsewhere, relative to the hype, relative to the forecast, and relative to 2010 or even 2013, locally this is an underperformer. We only need the sun to come out most of the day now to attack what we have to complete my morning grumpiness.:closedeyes:

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1 minute ago, Paul Martin said:

I will. Relative to conditions elsewhere, relative to the hype, relative to the forecast, and relative to 2010 or even 2013, locally this is an underperformer. We only need the sun to come out most of the day now to attack what we have to complete my morning grumpiness.:closedeyes:

It's only 2 hours into the Amber warning which lasts until tomorrow night!! 

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1 minute ago, Ross B said:

It's only 2 hours into the Amber warning which lasts until tomorrow night!! 

I think it is in reference to the models which show most of the bad snow shifting south of Edinburgh.

Edited by jamieson87
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3 minutes ago, lorenzo said:

The North Sea is absolutely loaded with Snow, and the flow is exceptional continuing to deliver convection west of the UK!

image.thumb.png.3d34dc385e2937e652e3a08653012c47.png

5 minutes ago, Ross B said:

It's only 2 hours into the Amber warning which lasts until tomorrow night!! 

If I went on my roof (not a day for doing that !) then I could see the north sea. Proximity to it not exactly proving to be a bonanza in Leith I have to say. It's perverse really.

Edited by Paul Martin
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-3 here, biting cold wind, never got my lightning cross on the radar gutted, wanted a screen grab, never mind ? not as much snaw as I would have hoped for waking up but still brilliant ?

20180228_082909_1.thumb.gif.25775d1f4a70ba2067c18a6ff390ad76.gif yellow snaw warning on my patio ?

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14 minutes ago, Paul Martin said:

I will. Relative to conditions elsewhere, relative to the hype, relative to the forecast, and relative to 2010 or even 2013, locally this is an underperformer. We only need the sun to come out most of the day now to attack what we have to complete my morning grumpiness.:closedeyes:

Paul 

You're not alone... just been out to take measurements, and a grand total of 2.5 cm / 1 inch!  We've actually had more than this  during this winter already, believe it or not! 

The one redeeming factor in my eyes is the type of snow.. it's lovely and really starting to blow around a lot. 'If' and its a big IF we get a decent fall later it will be absolute chaos... so, the jury is still out, but certainly in the 'letdown' category so far!

Certainly not begrudging those with better snow ;) but when Broughty Ferry has more... well... :) 

Tim

Edited by TinyTim
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Braved the cold and measured between 4 & 6 cm in the back garden, depending on the exact spot. Should be more on the way in if the radar is right, but kind of hit or miss at them moment.

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Morning guys!

About an inch so far just outside Strathyre. Nothing major yet,  but the amber warning has only just started hasn't it...

Current radar isn't looking brilliant for here at the moment,  heavy stuff seems to be to the north and south,  doh :)

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Not bad here , probably around a couple of inches. Very blowy snow though. Showers seem to be passing to the north of us at times, think we’re missing the worst of it for now. Kids are off (they are mighty happy) and getting ready to go outside ! Great stuff !! 

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I had hoped that the Tay/Forth basin would have been a bit like a funnel and we would have had a good dolloping flowing over the top of us, but it seems to be the opposite just now with a still slightly northern element to the wind.

All a little anticlimactic for now for snow at least.  The cold is living up to the hype.

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Just now, TinyTim said:

Paul 

You're not alone... just been out to take measurements, and a grand total of 2.5 cm / 1 inch!  We've actually had more than before this winter already, believe it or not! 

The one redeeming factor in my eyes is the type of snow.. it's lovely and really starting to blow around a lot. 'If' and its a big IF we get a decent fall later it will be absolute chaos... so, the jury is still out, but certainly in the 'letdown' category so far!

Certainly not begrudging those with better snow ;) but when Broughty Ferry has more... well... :) 

Tim

Aye. I don't grudge it to anyone here either. Frustration on my part, and part of that is my inability to understand why there's a (relatively) effective snow shield here so close to the north sea action, whilst areas far west of here get hammered. I understand some of why that happens but the basic recipe of uppers, dew-points, convection, flow appears to be in place here so I'm not getting my head around whats going on. And hey someone's got to be the grump on here right ! :pardon:

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