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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 01/01/2018 onwards


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If everyone on here could be friendly and (ideally) find a sense of humour, that would just be hunky dorey.

So just to clarify CK1981 because I have not seen you say this 2,350 times in the last 136 pages of this thread you think there will be something interesting around Mid Month ??? Dont want to go to be

Have nade my first mini snow man. First in 5 years.

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Don’t forget it’s not supposed to really start snowing and settling until after 8 going by the met office .... there’s still time 

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3 minutes ago, shotski said:

Absolutely speechless ? 

when was the last time we saw a mean like that at t-360 ??? 2010 ?? 

A73B6D6C-830F-4493-9907-C5806D375910.png

Sorry to pee on your french fries, but that isn't the mean for 360!  It's the control run, this is the 360 mean

gensnh-21-1-360.png

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2 minutes ago, Snowflake Queen said:

Snow is over hyped in mad thread  ! It’s like you get the huge ramp waiting for the boom .... and like a limp lettuce your let down .... it’s cold but least it will be sunny so the bbc says ;) 

They will always over ramp in the MOD thread. I’m no expert, but understand the charts and patterns. That’s why I don’t get carried away until we reach the reliable timeframe.

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1 minute ago, Snowflake Queen said:

You speechless ? Nooooooo way lol .... and 2010 snow event  here we come ? 

?? it’s definitely coming this time. Ignore this limpid cold spell ?

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Just now, shotski said:

?? it’s definitely coming this time. Ignore this limpid cold spell ?

Your off soon anyway ! So I hope you leave some snow behind .... may even visit my old haunt of the duny downs if we get a fair bit ... not holding my breath thou 

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3 minutes ago, Ice Day said:

Sorry to pee on your french fries, but that isn't the mean for 360!  It's the control run, this is the 360 mean

gensnh-21-1-360.png

Oh bugger, I thought it was too good to be true ? definitely need to go to spec savers. Can we pretend it’s the GEFS ???

Edited by shotski
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1 minute ago, shotski said:

?? it’s definitely coming this time. Ignore this limpid cold spell ?

Yes! We will see very cold easterly winds from mid month. Glosea is on board and Glosea was the first model to predict this cold spell. That’s enough for me 

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The shower train is of similar intensity of 2009- Once it transitions to snow it could ge exciting-

I was a bit frustrated at 430 when the temp was 3.6c however now we’re down @1.8c - be happier when it gets sub 1c

Shower train looking good

61DDAA85-8C88-404A-A2CB-FC066A253A46.thumb.png.c30a9ca3dd8abfc13ddfc98bcf444eb5.png

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2 minutes ago, tomp456 said:

If we by some miracle get any settling snow here I’ll buy everyone who wants one a beer ? 

You’re welcome 

Your on.. Give me an hour or so I'll pipe up our wishes to the control room :-) 

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3 minutes ago, CK1981 said:

They will always over ramp in the MOD thread. I’m no expert, but understand the charts and patterns. That’s why I don’t get carried away until we reach the reliable timeframe.

Like your thinking CK 

and much better way of not getting caught up in the hype 

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1 minute ago, Steve Murr said:

The shower train is of similar intensity of 2009- Once it transitions to snow it could ge exciting-

I was a bit frustrated at 430 when the temp was 3.6c however now we’re down @1.8c - be happier when it gets sub 1c

Shower train looking good

61DDAA85-8C88-404A-A2CB-FC066A253A46.thumb.png.c30a9ca3dd8abfc13ddfc98bcf444eb5.png

Lucky you, my blinking thermometer now reads 2.4 swear it was 2.1 half an hour ago, I guess that’s being 50asl for you. 

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I’m a bit obsessed with the Mod thread. Talk about chasing the pot of gold. They all discuss models which are 10 days away (and therefore statistically no better than a coin toss) and because they suggest snow suddenly it’s due to become a snow event like one never seen before. Then it moves a bit closer to D Day and as the models leasen the impact (which they do every EVERY time) and the board falls into chaos. 

What exactly are they all hoping for? Just seems to the forum equivalent of purgatory!  Makes for great reading :0)

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2 minutes ago, shotski said:

Oh bugger, I thought it was too good to be true ? definitely need to go to spec savers. Can we pretend it’s the GEFS ???

No problem, it's still nice to look at and is not too dissimilar from the GFS run at the same time....!

Control gensnh-0-1-384.png GFS gfsnh-0-384.png?12

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11 minutes ago, Snowflake Queen said:

Like your thinking CK 

and much better way of not getting caught up in the hype 

I’ve had a balanced approach throughout. Watching the trends showed this spell was going to be a normal winter cold spell. I was bashed for saying it, but look where we are now. I always think a balanced and more measured approach is better.

That doesn’t mean we won’t see surprises over the next few days, but overall quite expected for a cold spell

Edited by CK1981
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