SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 01/01/2018 onwards

[snowray]

3 minutes ago, ICE COLD said:

Well I hope that's bang on I'm right under the green blob ??

Euro4 take it further north on the 18z though, EA still seems to be in the firing line. Could be some surprises tomorrow evening. 

[HammerJack]

Well let’s hope for some of the wintry stuff!!

Anyway I had to use public transport today to get to and from work. Normally I drive and listen to a mixture of talk sport and radio 5 live. At the beginning of the week there was an article around the weather and local dialogue explaining it.... Well tonight walking home from the station “My cockles are frozen, and have shrunk” I’m going to put that forward as a SE saying.... :-)

[alexisj9]

38 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

I have documented in the MOD thread this winter that the HIRLAM has been the best high res model...

In that case fingers crossed, got to admit the temp do not have to drop far even now. DP only 2.3 temp 4.8

[Pixel]

With regards to the SSW event we are led to believe is going to happen...

IF/when it does the physics are way out there in chaos theory and although it's an exciting event for us 'coldies' there's little evidence that it will directly affect our itsy ikle island on the upper (ish) near (ish) top right edge of the Atlantic on our planet. 

If it's colder above us..what happens? If it's warmer above us in the strat what happens? fxck knows! but something will - but not necessarily cold!  I wish it were simpler.

Surprises that might happen in two or three weeks time is like Christmas 

I'm holding my hopes and waiting to take the blue pill or red pill? or just enjoy what happens 

 

ps it's dark outside right now, light breeze but warmer than yesterday at this time and the buses have stopped running, must be time for bed

Edited February 9, 2018 by Pixel
additional weather information

[alexisj9]

5 minutes ago, Pixel said:

With regards to the SSW event we are led to believe is going to happen...

IF/when it does the physics are way out there in chaos theory and although it's an exciting event for us 'coldies' there's little evidence that it will directly affect our itsy ikle island on the upper (ish) near (ish) top right edge of the Atlantic on our planet. 

If it's colder above us..what happens? If it's warmer above us in the strat what happens? fxck knows! but something will - but not necessarily cold!  I wish it were simpler.

Surprises that might happen in two or three weeks time is like Christmas 

I'm holding my hopes and waiting to take the blue pill or red pill? or just enjoy what happens 

 

ps it's dark outside right now, light breeze but warmer than yesterday at this time and the buses have stopped running, must be time for bed

The ssw is starting now, there's no ifs and buts on that any more, we just have to wait and see where it leads. Expect the models to change every 5 mins for a while now. Will it be favourable or not, no one knows.

[Tom Quintavalle]

Delete

Edited February 9, 2018 by TomSE12
Photo didnt come out

[lottiekent]

Morning. Still very windy and the rain arrived overnight so rather wet outside too. Currently 4c, gusting into the mid 30mph.

NW radar says sleet moving into the west of London now, with snow not far behind. Anyone up that way confirm sleetiness?

 

[Justin123]

Radar grabs suggest wintry mix on the back edge of the front, can see the heavy snow showers building in the occluded front, let’s hope it stays at the same strength as it’s sinks away this afternoon and tonight.

My take as if now, blue line westwards is where the cold air is moving in, and obviously red line is that occluded front bringing the possible snow/sleet to our region later on. 

The fax charts seems to keep the occluded front, going as it leaves SE U.K., however I’m unsure why Met office haven’t even forecast any precipitation later on, but models and bbc do. Let a days radar watching begin.

 

ALL I CAN SAY RIGHT NOW IN BRENTSOOD ITS PIDDLING IT DOWN!

Edited February 9, 2018 by Justin123

[Dami]

It's stopped doing what it's doing. And no, i'm under the pink but weather say no. 

[Justin123]

4 minutes ago, Dami said:

It's stopped doing what it's doing. And no, i'm under the pink but weather say no. 

must start soon for you, as the radar relies on model input so you may se snowflakes in the next hour or so, who knows anymore ?

 

 

[Laurence Hill]

9 minutes ago, Justin123 said:

Radar grabs suggest wintry mix on the back edge of the front, can see the heavy snow showers building in the occluded front, let’s hope it stays at the same strength as it’s sinks away this afternoon and tonight.

My take as if now, blue line westwards is where the cold air is moving in, and obviously red line is that occluded front bringing the possible snow/sleet to our region later on. 

The fax charts seems to keep the occluded front, going as it leaves SE U.K., however I’m unsure why Met office haven’t even forecast any precipitation later on, but models and bbc do. Let a days radar watching begin.

 

ALL I CAN SAY RIGHT NOW IN BRENTSOOD ITS PIDDLING IT DOWN!

Drawing those blue and red lines with the short explanation makes it so much easier to understand what’s going on.  Thanks.

[Justin123]

7 minutes ago, Sharpedge said:

Drawing those blue and red lines with the short explanation makes it so much easier to understand what’s going on.  Thanks.

 

7 minutes ago, Sharpedge said:

Drawing those blue and red lines with the short explanation makes it so much easier to understand what’s going on.  Thanks.

No problem it helps us out, I don’t really understand it, when people go really technical so I’ll deliver the refined explanations.

Edited February 9, 2018 by Justin123

[Essexgooner]

On 01/01/2018 at 21:19, Southender said:

Off to Iceland on Thursday, coming back on Sunday....just in time perhaps...

Enjoy mate !

[Tom Quintavalle]

Kept awake, in the middle of the night, by some persistent rain and quite gusty winds.

Off to Bromley, in a bit, to get a couple of bits for my son. Looks like rain clearing now. Wonder if the ppn, over Wales at mo, and heading SE, will produce a few snowflakes, when it arrives, later on, over our region? 

Quite a few reports of snow falling, in the Welsh thread but of course, they do have more elevation, there.

Regards.

Tom.

 

[Southender]

30 minutes ago, Essexgooner said:

Enjoy mate !

Cheers mate it was unreal. Stunning.

 

[E17boy]

Good morning all you great people hope everyone is good and well. On the train now going towards Milton Keynes it's amazing tho because I have just come into the clearance of the front that is over our region at the moment can see some blue sky. 

I don't know what kind of weather it will be today in MK but I hope to see some wintry stuff fingers crossed. The good news this morning is that the metoffice extended update has not taken out the easterly element so they are still sticking to the guns and extending the cold into March with snow as well. All exciting times but as long as we tear it with caution till nearer the time. 

Anyway good buddies it's Friday  hope you all have a beautiful day and hope we see some flakes as well. 

All the best good day all

????

[Mark wheeler]

Just had a brief flurry of snow for about 5 mins as the front cleared chessington . Back edge LOL .clear skies now moving in .

Edited February 9, 2018 by Mark wheeler

[lassie23]

will it, won't it, will it won't it??

[Dami]

1 minute ago, lassie23 said:

will it, won't it, will it won't it??

it didn't. deffo rain on way to school. wind is cold

[alexisj9]

Well won't be any snow here, warmed up since we transferred into the occlusion?

[Justin123]

2 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

Well won't be any snow here, warmed up since we transferred into the occlusion?

It’s 4c from 7c

[E17boy]

1 minute ago, Justin123 said:

It’s 4c from 7c

I am in Milton Keynes now and it's really cold here that wind has really got something to it. Dry here at the moment with broken cloud but I am expecting something when that second occlusion comes over.

regards ????

[alexisj9]

5 minutes ago, Justin123 said:

It’s 4c from 7c

We start at 3.4, it's now 4.3 lol looks like the occlusions temp is 4c

Edited February 9, 2018 by alexisj9

[Coopsy]

33 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

will it, won't it, will it won't it??

It didn't. it hasn't and it wont

[KDME]

Wet, a bit of a breeze and cold in Chelmsford. We could be stuck with weather like this for rest of this month ?