Model output discussion - into 2018

[I remember Atlantic 252]

3 minutes ago, Fozfoster said:

Yeah easterlies only bring snow for us midlanders if it’s a breakdown scenario 

I used to get loads off N Sea off convective E'lys, best direction for here

[Banbury]

3 minutes ago, Fozfoster said:

Yeah easterlies only bring snow for us midlanders if it’s a breakdown scenario 

Erm 1991 gave copious amounts of snow from an Easterly 

[Banbury]

17 minutes ago, abbie123 said:

BBC long range on BBC said  significant snow fall as weather fronts try and come in from west looking good...

??? When did they say that? 

[Purga]

5 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

How do you know that information? 

Direct quote from a UKMET man Daniel

take it for red...

[carinthian]

4 hours ago, carinthian said:

Good grief, lots of doom and gloom on the other thread about the GFS run about sinking Scandinavian high and a crap mild January to take hold. Its not even formed yet and charts post 240t hardly verify anyway. One thing for sure plenty of rain about this coming week and even snow on the hills up north even before any sort of Easterly arrives. ECM will lift your spirits tonight !

 C

Thought ECM would lift your spirits and its delivered. Off now to the local bar and see in the NY with the resorts fireworks display. Will send some photos in the morning. Happy New Year to all NETWEATHER members and may your wishes come true.

 C

[Sweatyman]

Just now, Banbury said:

Erm 1991 gave copious amounts of snow from an Easterly 

Remember that event. Milk float abandoned outside my house. Everybody helped themselves!!

[Badgers01]

6 minutes ago, Fozfoster said:

Yeah easterlies only bring snow for us midlanders if it’s a breakdown scenario 

Warwickshire was absolutely buried in snow in 87 and 91 on easterlies !!

[Banbury]

Just now, Sweatyman said:

Remember that event. Milk float abandoned outside my house. Everybody helped themselves!!

Lol 

 

It was a belter , Banbury was shut off for several hours 

[booferking]

Here comes 18z eyes down look to the East. 

[ACCOUNT DELETED]

2 minutes ago, Banbury said:

??? When did they say that? 

I just heard that too on their week ahead forecast.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

5 minutes ago, Banbury said:

Erm 1991 gave copious amounts of snow from an Easterly 

'95' '96' 97 too

[SMU]

Have I entered the nostalgia thread?

[Scandinavian High.]

7 minutes ago, Banbury said:

??? When did they say that? 

BBC website 21.00 this evening .

[chris55]

MOGREPS has a marked influence on BBC/met forecasts. I would love to see it lol. 

Sounds pretty solid on the cold making it to the U.K going by reports in the thread.

For us mear mortals we shall just have to wait and see. 

 

[mountain shadow]

5 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Have I entered the nostalgia thread?

If you can't have a bit of nostalgia on Hogmanay then when can you! ?

[bluearmy]

When is an easterly not an easterly ???

 Mogreps may well show vast majority easterly flow by Sunday  but what does that actually mean re sypnotics etc and sustainability ? 

[78/79]

18 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Have I entered the nostalgia thread?

A  18 year old boy with his life in front of him , to an old Buzzard of 58 , in the flick of a computer touch pad , oh well

[markw2680]

36 minutes ago, Fozfoster said:

Yeah easterlies only bring snow for us midlanders if it’s a breakdown scenario 

I seem to remember feb 91 was easterlies and we had loads of the stuff

[The Eagle]

Some notable changes in the Atlantic pressure profile on the 18z at 120 hrs - most notably a more amplified Atlantic ridge. 

[Polar Maritime]

A deep Low further South on tonight GFS Thursday.

[SMU]

Forget the 18z & move on it’s clearly broken.

HAPPY NEW YEAR EVERYONE

[Ice Day]

4 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Forget the 18z & move on it’s clearly broken.

HAPPY NEW YEAR EVERYONE

Yep, it's gone totally 'jugs up' by 144.  Totally outlandish and worth binning already (fingers crossed). Happy New Year fellow weather geeks, here's to a snowy 2018.

[Cheshire Freeze]

Holy smokes, the GFS looks awful; there isn't even any pressure rise to the N of us at 144 hrs

The issue is, it's entirely feasible...could be a few sore heads in the morning facing a model (ECM) volt face.

Edited December 31, 2017 by CreweCold

[Daniel*]

Even less amplified on 18z no ‘blocking’ to N/NE evaporated. At least it clears that low better.

Happy New Year all, may it be a better year for us coldies & everything in general. 

[bluearmy]

Of all the evenings for the 18z to be sober ............ HNY

Edited December 31, 2017 by bluearmy