South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 09/12/2017 onwards

[matt111]

Happy New Year fellow snow starved (and the few lucky ones in here), here's hoping the our starvation finally comes to an end this year. 

[knocker]

Moderate rain, a breeze from the SSW and temp 7C

[knocker]

Rain now ceased. Interesting sky Cs ans Ac

[Dorsetbred]

A good damp start this morning, starting off the rainfall for 2018, meanwhile the MAD thread is in meltdown with analysis of every possible flinch every output makes. 

[lettice]

Happy New Year!
A year of rain totalling 633.5mm after that 10.9mm yesterday.
49 + 50.2 + 36.2 + 8.2 + 53 + 46.6 + 94.9 + 62.3 + 85.2 + 32.1 + 29.7 + 86.1 = 633.5mm

January starting off dull, damp and grey with 0.8mm of rain last hour.
7.4c, SW 5-12mph winds, 995.8 hPa 

 

[MP-R]

Happy New Year all. An unexpectedly wet start to the day. Thought it was going to be brighter today.

[Dorsetbred]

The sun has finally made it, for the first time this year...

[Nights King]

Happy new year all lets hope it is a snowy one! 

I have finally crawled out of my pit 

[Andy Bown]

If we're looking for positives towards colder conditions today is a good start. Last night's Countryfile gave me the impression that the balmy weekend would continue however here we are at 13.00 and it's not reached 7c yet and a frost looks likely tonight.

[Mapantz]

4.2mm of rain this year!

Currently sunny and..

Temp: 8.3°C - Hum: 89% - Dew: 6.5°C - Bar: 997.90hPa - Wind: WNW @ 5mph.

Forecasts showing that Tuesday in to Wednesday could see the highest winds for at least a year. Hoping to break another record if that's the case.

[fromey]

Things beginning to look interesting, also take a look in the strat thread as well

happy new year to all

fromey 

[SteveB]

Happy New Year fellow Southerners,

My best chance of seeing something cold and snowy showing up in the models.

Maybe 3rd time lucky!!

[Dorsetbred]

1 hour ago, SteveB said:

Happy New Year fellow Southerners,

Maybe 3rd time lucky!!

Dya think

[SteveB]

Just now, Dorsetbred said:

Dya think

You gotta have faith our luck will change. 

[Dorsetbred]

5 minutes ago, SteveB said:

You gotta have faith our luck will change. 

Hmmm, I guess, but  I remain unconvinced  TBH, but only time will tell who was right when we reach April..

[SteveB]

Fair enough. If it's not this Winter, then with low solar min  we have a better chance of colder Winters for the next few. 

Patience is the name of the game when you live where we do 

[khodds]

The moon looks amazing tonight! Rather chilly on a bike ride with the daughter this afternoon, blew the cobwebs away.. made me realise I’m a fat heifer and taken advantage of this last month with the food and drink!!

[Dorsetbred]

18 minutes ago, SteveB said:

Fair enough. If it's not this Winter, then with low solar min  we have a better chance of colder Winters for the next few. 

Patience is the name of the game when you live where we do 

Yeah I agree patience is a virtue down here, but when you see "transient" events that barely make it south of Brum, AND the option for a potential "warm" easterly, you have to think there's something a little off kilter with the UK weather. No wait, I remember Donald saying "Global warming, bah humbug, no such thing..." so that rules that out then. I'm upbeat as we have a long way to go yet, but when folks talk about SSW for the end of Jan you do have to think "Is it over....?"

Edited January 1, 2018 by Dorsetbred

[kent]

I resign myself every winter to not seeing snow perhaps if I make a new years resolution to that it will surely be broken.

Happy new year to all.

[fromey]

A nice fun run from the ECM, if only!

fromey

[Andy Bown]

2 hours ago, Dorsetbred said:

Hmmm, I guess, but  I remain unconvinced  TBH, but only time will tell who was right when we reach April..

That'll be when the ideal synoptics turn up!

[karlos1983]

1 hour ago, fromey said:

A nice fun run from the ECM, if only!

fromey

Yup the ECM has done what most would have thought unachievable today, got a reaction out of me, bound to be on the money right?  

Edited January 1, 2018 by karlos1983

[Nights King]

29 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Yup the ECM has done what most would have thought unachievable today, got a reaction out of me, bound to be on the money right?  

I bet we will see more snow north of the M4 come the weekend.... 

[fromey]

7 minutes ago, Nights King said:

I bet we will see more snow north of the M4 come the weekend.... 

Noooooooooooooooooooo!!!!!!!

[Nights King]

4 minutes ago, fromey said:

Noooooooooooooooooooo!!!!!!!

I can just feel it.... Atlantic front nudgeing up against the cold block with west country getting heavy stalling rain.