South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 09/12/2017 onwards

[karlos1983]

6 minutes ago, Ashme said:

In the MOD thread they're saying the low keeps tracking further South on each run! How bad would the winds be if it was, say 100miles further South?

For this storm to track south, would mean it’s less intense. Currently we could get anywhere from 40-70mph gusts imo depending on track

* as matt just pointed out lol

Edited January 14, 2018 by karlos1983

[Mapantz]

5 minutes ago, Ashme said:

In the MOD thread they're saying the low keeps tracking further South on each run! How bad would the winds be if it was, say 100miles further South?

The movement overall has trended North. The UKMO model had the strongest winds in the channel & France a few days ago. Small corrections South are likely, but not a huge amount.

[khodds]

The fact that it’s coming further south means it’s not as strong anyway.. think of a spinning top, the tighter it’s coiled, the further north/faster it is, the lesser coiled, the further south/slower it is (lesser wind speeds etc..) think that’s right anyway ??

[matt111]

4 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

For this storm to track south, would mean it’s less intense. Currently we could get anywhere from 40-70mph gusts imo depending on track

* as matt just pointed out lol

TBH you'd probably have a better idea than me about that. I just took that from what I'd read in the MAD thread. You do learn something in there occasionally. 

[Mapantz]

Just an illustration of the 12Z v 18Z

 

A difference of 9mb. However, the same trend of it deepening as in enters the UK, and when it exits, on every run.

Edited January 14, 2018 by Mapantz

[karlos1983]

8 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Just an illustration of the 12Z v 18Z

 

A difference of 9mb. However, the same trend of it deepening as in enters the UK, and when it exits, on every run.

Looks like proper winter fun for Scotland. I just want this week out the way now. 

[Mapantz]

They're fight among themselves in the NW thread. lol

[matt111]

Just now, Mapantz said:

They're fight among themselves in the NW thread. lol

Worth taking a look? 

[Ciderwithrosie]

I too enjoy a good gale - so long as people aren't injured . 

I have been looking at wind meters to go alongside my other little measuring station . 

Current temp is 4.5 C and humidity 86% .

it seems to be accurate . 

Can't believe it's Monday tomorrow as this weekend has seemed to zoom by. 

Havent ventured into the MOd thread . Dot think I'm missing anything . 

 

Im going to have to venture in to the thread aren't I? Just to see the tracking of that low .

[Ashme]

Thanks for replying guys, really appreciate your patience and more to the point your posts on here. Been a lurker for some time and have really got the bug for weather watching. 

Where's the best places to learn about reading charts and data and also what's your thoughts on Gavin Partridge? Watch alot of his YouTube videos (to me he seems pretty good.) But then again I thought that about most of them in the Mad thread ???

[matt111]

Talking of wind, just noticed the wind starting to pick up here ahead of the rain approaching for tomorrow morning. 

[matt111]

Seems it's the Scots turn to try it on in the MAD thread tonight judging by what they're posting in there and their own thread. 

Edited January 14, 2018 by matt111

[Nights King]

47 minutes ago, matt111 said:

Seems it's the Scots turn to try it on in the MAD thread tonight judging by what they're posting in there and their own thread. 

Scots get decent winters every year..? 

hardly a challenge for them is it...

[jethro]

Evening all, it's cool and calm here but the forecast for tomorrow looks vile. Personally speaking, you can keep the high winds, I hate gales - lost too may fences to them over the years living here and we're surrounded by elderly trees, live in fear of the damn things falling over. They belong to the neighbour but border us, he moved in about 8 years ago and because he was extending had to have an ecological survey, the trees were condemned as unsafe then and he still hasn't taken them out.

On a happier note, saw Darkest Hour tonight, Gary Oldman was fantastic, go see it. Got home to find The Water Diviner on the tv, another brilliant film with the yummy Russell Crowe. Happy bunny here.

[knocker]

Cloudy with slight rain, Temp 10C and windy gusting 40mph from the SW

[festivalking]

Oh hello....drawing me in again. Will be rain by the time I check again in work. Incidentally Princetown has 6 hours of blizzards forecast

[SNOW CRYSTAL]

Yep I noticed that too Festival. Not too much hope for Yelverton me thinks, but hopefully it won't be too far to travel to find a few flakes. Although there is nothing I love more than watching falling snow through the lounge windows. That was the main reason I moved to Dartmoor over 20 years ago. My husband is desperate to move by the sea, I might have to cave soon if we get some goog results soon.

[Dorsetbred]

Well that's a dire start to the week, soaked walking to the bus stop, and arrived at work to find my laptop hates wet Mondays too and it dead in the water. Two down one to go...

So we have 9.9C and a soggy start well it was at 6am, now let's see how potent the following showers will be..

[lettice]

Wet and blustery morning
SSW wind early morning but now SW 12-16mph with 20-25mph gusts and a handful of 30 - 34 mph gusts.
8.9c, 1001.5 hPa
6.8mm rain since 4am

 

Edited January 15, 2018 by lettice

[festivalking]

42 minutes ago, SNOW CRYSTAL said:

Yep I noticed that too Festival. Not too much hope for Yelverton me thinks, but hopefully it won't be too far to travel to find a few flakes. Although there is nothing I love more than watching falling snow through the lounge windows. That was the main reason I moved to Dartmoor over 20 years ago. My husband is desperate to move by the sea, I might have to cave soon if we get some goog results soon.

Stay strong SC! I'm trying to badger the Mrs to move to Princetown but quite understandably she doesn' want to live in fog 6 months of the year!

Edited January 15, 2018 by festivalking

[karlos1983]

46 minutes ago, festivalking said:

Stay strong SC! I'm trying to badger the Mrs to move to Princetown but quite understandably she doesn' want to live in fog 6 months of the year!

How selfish 

[wiltshire weather]

Interestingly (and worryingly) Carol Kirkwood just mentioned in her forecast on the Beeb that the storm Weds/Thurs may bring damaging wind especially to the west and south.

Sounds like they are seeing it track further south than currently being modelled.

[festivalking]

2 hours ago, festivalking said:

Oh hello....drawing me in again. Will be rain by the time I check again in work. Incidentally Princetown has 6 hours of blizzards forecast

Well it lasted 2 hours....i would love to know how often these apps are updated where the data comes from (assume met office)  but this app goes out to 10 days. So in theory I guess when looking at the met office model (where it stops at day 6) you could guess what 7-10 would show by looking at the later stages of the app. 

In more important news wind gusts locally progged at 60mph on Wednesday night. So not totally devastating wind speeds.

[festivalking]

1 hour ago, karlos1983 said:

How selfish 

Indeed look at this for tomorrow!

[MP-R]

A pretty foul morning here with plenty of rain, though that has stopped now and the breeze is picking up.