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SE and East Anglia generalweather discussion 08/11/2017 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Hockley, Essex
  • Location: Hockley, Essex

    The snow potential on Monday - I have to travel from Chelmsford to Heathrow to pick up someone in the evening.

    Should I be worried??

     

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    Merry Xmas, To all on the South East thread. Didn't think I'd still be here, being able to celebrate Christmas, after suffering a brain haemorrhage/stroke, in September 2015. But fortunately, due

    Snowline has moved back across the water now so north kent / Surrey etc back in the fray - great wrap around as well heavy snow here in Eltham -1cm , wifey just text 0.2c in NAG with heavy snow a

    It is not showing 20cm for Reading whatsoever! I see he's a Reading student, I think he's trying to convince himself...

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    Posted
  • Location: Strood Kent asl 63m
  • Weather Preferences: cold and hot in summer
  • Location: Strood Kent asl 63m

    snowing in Maccclesfield . shame we not getting any

     

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    Posted
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT

    Im optimistic about a dusting Monday- having that bit of elevation should support a more wintry picture !

    Im also expecting a few flakes tomorrow- im only 20 miles from the hirlam snow zone so still in with a shout...

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    Posted
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level
    9 minutes ago, throwoff said:

    After holding onto hope for a very long time I have finally conceded defeat for this event in Gillingham. 

    Good luck the rest of you, may the snow gods smile upon you!

    Don't give up yet, NetWx-SR has snow for us tomorrow morning before it turns back to rain

    1.thumb.png.b17f5c7d880c563f8be2813871435ffb.png2.thumb.png.38ef98005f9da1ff271ace888a748a18.png

    And then back to snow again tomorrow evening

    3.thumb.png.3749f9ad2d67321d041ed331b73d17e2.png

    I think N Kent/London will see some falling snow tomorrow before it turns back to rain, accumulations unlikely. Perhaps a small chance of further snow in the evening but NetWx-SR seems to be the only model suggesting that at present.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level

    Mondays snow risk based on the latest APERGE

    5a2bea76663d1_ScreenShot2017-12-09at13_48.50copy.thumb.png.61ba7ac2f3b4a4c91f7000efff54a073.png

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    Posted
  • Location: New Barn, Kent
  • Location: New Barn, Kent
    38 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

    Im optimistic about a dusting Monday- having that bit of elevation should support a more wintry picture !

    Im also expecting a few flakes tomorrow- im only 20 miles from the hirlam snow zone so still in with a shout...

    Steve,

    i’m up the road from you in New Barn. Keep us updated... just want enough for my 2 year old daughter to play in

    Here’s hoping

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    Posted
  • Location: Canmore, AB [4296ft above sea level] & North Kent [350ft above sea level]
  • Location: Canmore, AB [4296ft above sea level] & North Kent [350ft above sea level]
    8 minutes ago, Danny* said:

    Mondays snow risk based on the latest APERGE

    5a2bea76663d1_ScreenShot2017-12-09at13_48.50copy.thumb.png.61ba7ac2f3b4a4c91f7000efff54a073.png

    I must not let myself get my hopes up lol. I’ve been saying for he last week I can’t see the SE getting anything from this. Still can’t as I think it’ll change again but you never know 

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    Posted
  • Location: Binfield, Berkshire
  • Location: Binfield, Berkshire
    47 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

    Im optimistic about a dusting Monday- having that bit of elevation should support a more wintry picture !

    Im also expecting a few flakes tomorrow- im only 20 miles from the hirlam snow zone so still in with a shout...

    If we see a 30 mile shift south, I’ll be in the snow zone. Is that possible with just 24 hours to go?

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    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

    I'm trying to divert my attention toward other things...But, as it's only 1C, so far today, I'm finding diversion is something rather difficult to achieve!:drunk:

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    Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
    1 minute ago, CK1981 said:

    If we see a 30 mile shift south, I’ll be in the snow zone. Is that possible with just 24 hours to go?

    The UKMO fax chart for tomorrow stunned me a bit.. that would bring the SE right into it surely? It doesn’t fit in within anything else though so really confusing. 

    6656E05A-59E9-428D-96E8-5771EA253A0F.thumb.png.903e923f3be840f5139e3d5971f6c109.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Aylesbury, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Aylesbury, Buckinghamshire

    12z UKV with another southwards shift of the colder air for tomorrow, 0c DP line about 15-20 miles or so further south. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
    Just now, Nick L said:

    12z UKV with another southwards shift of the colder air for tomorrow, 0c DP line about 15-20 miles or so further south. 

    Ooo Greater London at risk of coming into this Nick? :shok:

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    Posted
  • Location: Binfield, Berkshire
  • Location: Binfield, Berkshire
    1 minute ago, Daniel* said:

    The UKMO fax chart for tomorrow stunned me a bit.. that would bring the SE right into it surely? It doesn’t fit in within anything else though so really confusing. 

    6656E05A-59E9-428D-96E8-5771EA253A0F.thumb.png.903e923f3be840f5139e3d5971f6c109.png

    Things seem to be shifting south considerably now! I won’t get my hopes up just yet though ?

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    Posted
  • Location: Binfield, Berkshire
  • Location: Binfield, Berkshire
    2 minutes ago, Nick L said:

    12z UKV with another southwards shift of the colder air for tomorrow, 0c DP line about 15-20 miles or so further south. 

    I’m 10 miles east of Reading. Does that put this area close to the 0c DP line, Nick. Also, that’s a considerable shift south!

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    Posted
  • Location: Aylesbury, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Aylesbury, Buckinghamshire
    2 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

    Ooo Greater London at risk of coming into this Nick? :shok:

    Probably as it clears it'll turn to snow, but for the bulk of it it's still just not cold enough unfortunately.

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    Posted
  • Location: Linslade, Beds
  • Weather Preferences: Deep cold
  • Location: Linslade, Beds
    Just now, CK1981 said:

    Things seem to be shifting south considerably now! I won’t get my hopes up just yet though ?

    Mmmm interesting :rofl:

    4BB7A63F-41A8-4670-A6E6-4B77F5BC7061.jpeg

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    Posted
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level
    4 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

    The UKMO fax chart for tomorrow stunned me a bit.. that would bring the SE right into it surely? It doesn’t fit in within anything else though so really confusing. 

    6656E05A-59E9-428D-96E8-5771EA253A0F.thumb.png.903e923f3be840f5139e3d5971f6c109.png

    Interesting.. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
    1 minute ago, Nick L said:

    Probably as it clears it'll turn to snow, but for the bulk of it it's still just not cold enough unfortunately.

    I see these shifts S are being fairly consistent however we need more though the UKMO fax chart for tomorrow intrigues me a lot has the Met Office thinking changed? 

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    Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough

    Scraped 4c today, there has been quite a lot of high cloud around. 

    Looking good for tomorrow here but I will have to wait and see what happens when I get up I guess. The forecast looks bitter until midweek with ice days possible if we get a good dumping tomorrow.

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    Posted
  • Location: Binfield, Berkshire
  • Location: Binfield, Berkshire
    4 minutes ago, shotski said:

    Mmmm interesting :rofl:

    4BB7A63F-41A8-4670-A6E6-4B77F5BC7061.jpeg

    I just hope we see some snow. I’m a big kid at heart, but my little Niece and Nephew (aged 4 and 6) are yet to see snow on the ground, so it would be lovely for them!

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    Posted
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
    26 minutes ago, Nick L said:

    12z UKV with another southwards shift of the colder air for tomorrow, 0c DP line about 15-20 miles or so further south. 

    Whats ukv? UKmet?

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    Posted
  • Location: Linslade, Beds
  • Weather Preferences: Deep cold
  • Location: Linslade, Beds
    Just now, bluearmy said:

    I suspect mettjeff an expert then ? 

    It’s all in the name :D

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    Posted
  • Location: Aylesbury, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Aylesbury, Buckinghamshire
    2 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

    Whats ukv? UKmet?

    It's the super hi-res (1.5km) UKMO model, supersedes the Euro4.

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