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SE and East Anglia generalweather discussion 08/11/2017 onwards


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Merry Xmas, To all on the South East thread. Didn't think I'd still be here, being able to celebrate Christmas, after suffering a brain haemorrhage/stroke, in September 2015. But fortunately, due

Snowline has moved back across the water now so north kent / Surrey etc back in the fray - great wrap around as well heavy snow here in Eltham -1cm , wifey just text 0.2c in NAG with heavy snow a

It is not showing 20cm for Reading whatsoever! I see he's a Reading student, I think he's trying to convince himself...

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8 minutes ago, Rob Deacon said:

us_model-en-087-0_modez_2017120712_99_4855_215.png.d01fe4b9903151d47902400ba8af5a5a.png

 

just saw this posted in the MOD thread, not a bad snow accumulation chart for Monday from the ECM :) Getting on for 12 inches in the south lol, or am i reading that wrong?

 

That would suggest some of us might do as well or even better than some in the north west.

I’m not laughing, really I’m not.

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Just now, Kent Blizzard said:

I'd say slightly further South? Agree?

fax72s.gif

More than slightly. But still needs a bit more. Mind you then Monday's low will be in France. Not sure what I want now.

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3 minutes ago, lawrenk said:

That would suggest some of us might do as well or even better than some in the north west.

I’m not laughing, really I’m not.

LOL i know, i couldn't believe my eyes when i first saw the chart.

Just goes to show what still could happen... I know it's unlikely but you never know

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5 minutes ago, lawrenk said:

That would suggest some of us might do as well or even better than some in the north west.

I’m not laughing, really I’m not.

I'm laughing. Map shows snow everywhere in East Anglia. Then look more closely oh look how much snow there is for The Triangle, that's right, its the only place on the map which is completely clear.

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9 minutes ago, Danny* said:

Is it just me or is there more PPN than forecast towards the North-West?

5a2991eac9bc3_ScreenShot2017-12-07at19_08_54.thumb.png.7a66b989f1f79725be4976606d9fe5be.png

I Don't mind as long as it doesn't die before reaching here. Even Cornwall has some ppm, it' probably not snow just yet though at 6c here.

Edit could it be that trough for tomorrow a bit early, or another developed in short notice this evening as they can do sometimes.

Edited by alexisj9
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1 minute ago, Number 23 said:

I'd be surprised/amazed if those accumulation charts verify!

If I had to bet I'd say we'll see something wintry but nothing settling. 

Just about where I stand.

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11 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

Just about where I stand.

Personally I think some of us may do better from a Cheshire gap streamer in the next 48 hours. 

Edit; north Home Counties. 

Edited by shotski
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34 minutes ago, Kent Blizzard said:

I'd say slightly further South? Agree?

fax72s.gif

That’s considerably further south than the last set of fax charts. Interesting..

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3 minutes ago, Sparky68 said:

It's not often we get this sort of prospect, even if it fails to materialise I am happy with the build up events. 

Hi.  The key thing in these scenarios is to expect nothing.  That's usually what transpires.  My rule of thumb for the veracity of snow-casts over the years has been 4 days out - no clue, misleading. Ignore.  3 days - ditto.  2 days dangerous but tempting to believe.  1 day - 50/50 correct. 12 hours - better. 3 hours - worth taking serious notice of, and in combination with radar and satellite, can be very exciting if things have a chance of going your way. 0 hours - reliable, look out the window.

In other words, only take seriously within 24 hours, up to that point best to take with a giant pinch of salt, and disregard any expectations.  

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I get the sneaky feeling this time we going to get snow, maybe even tonight or tomorrow, but Sunday and Monday could still upgrade yet for us, and i think it might lol :)

and to think it's only 7th december, we could have 3 plus months of these fun and games yet...

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Guess which idiot left their keyfob on her desk when she popped to the ca and had to stand in torrential rain for 5 minutes to be let back in?:oops:

 

As always, as I learnt so painfully, fun as ramping is, I shall stick to nowcasting and lamposts as my snow forecasters rather than going by charts and hope.

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3 minutes ago, Captain Shortwave said:

Just had a heavy shower here, still of rain at the moment.

Off the north sea or from the west?

 

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