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SE and East Anglia generalweather discussion 08/11/2017 onwards

Captain Shortwave

By Captain Shortwave
in Regional

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snowray Veteran

snowray

Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
Posted
7 minutes ago, PerfectStorm said:

My girlfriend is livestreaming from her house in south Birmingham and its snowing and settling on all surfaces. :nonono:

Likely be a fair bit of snow tonight around Brummie, 10cm, 15cm? More maybe. Am I being OTT?:pardon:

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exodus Explorer

exodus

Posted
  • Location: Stansted, Essex. 97m asl
  • Location: Stansted, Essex. 97m asl
Posted
On 09/12/2017 at 18:39, exodus said:

See point already at -2.1 here pressure falling.

jaffa cakesing down here in Stansted.... dp and temp seem to have risen since heavy rain set in. Currently 5.5 degrees here.

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Methuselah Maestro

Methuselah

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
Posted

Rain is accumulating nicely. Should be quite deep by the morning! :D

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alexisj9 Maestro

alexisj9

Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
Posted
5 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

Rain is accumulating nicely. Should be quite deep by the morning! :D

Can't argue with that.

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snowrye Seasoned

snowrye

Posted
  • Location: Mill Corner East Sussex, 55m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow,thunder,tornados
  • Location: Mill Corner East Sussex, 55m asl
Posted

Any one up for a meet tomoz,rain man building is the new trend for us snow starved south easterners

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alexisj9 Maestro

alexisj9

Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
Posted (edited)

Low seems to be tracking right across the south, centre just on shore, is that where it should be. Looks like it will leave over kent unless it swings ne.

Edited by alexisj9
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snowfish1 Aficionado

snowfish1

Posted
  • Location: Hernia Bay
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy Snow
  • Location: Hernia Bay
Posted
3 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

Low seems to be tracking right across the south, centre just on shore, is that where it should be. Looks like it will leave over kent unless it swings ne.

Wouldn't get too excited love 

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alexisj9 Maestro

alexisj9

Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
Posted
1 minute ago, snowfish1 said:

Wouldn't get too excited love 

I'm not, just thinking it' not moving the way we thought. Still Won't bring snow to me. The hills by whitfield on the other hand, may be.

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SMU Maestro

SMU

Posted
Posted

The centre of circulation is obvious on this radar grab

5DB99822-4F01-4B1D-B01D-509BD509E39B.thumb.png.0c19586c428ccde71f76c3e924f2495b.png

so the whole of the SE is being pumped with SW winds ATM

The wrap around is approx Bristol up to Hereford - that’s going to take about 8-10 hours to sweep across to us...

S

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Sno' problem Aficionado

Sno' problem

Posted
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms!! (With the odd gale thrown in)
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
Posted (edited)
15 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

The centre of circulation is obvious on this radar grab

5DB99822-4F01-4B1D-B01D-509BD509E39B.thumb.png.0c19586c428ccde71f76c3e924f2495b.png

so the whole of the SE is being pumped with SW winds ATM

The wrap around is approx Bristol up to Hereford - that’s going to take about 8-10 hours to sweep across to us...

S

I would think it will take possibly less time for the temps to drop, but it will still be a marginal thing for our area depending on how heavy the ppn is as well as how quickly the dewpoints drop.

Here are the latest observations and you can really see the cold digging in around the Birmingham area, ahead of GFS forecasts for this time:

 

UK Observations .png

Screen Shot 2017-12-26 at 22.27.29.png

Edited by Sno' problem
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Daniel* Maestro

Daniel*

Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
Posted
2 hours ago, Cheese Rice said:

It better not snow in London or I'll be an uh-happy bunny, the north deserves the snow this time. 

Speak for yourself lol! 

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Darkcloud Aficionado

Darkcloud

Posted
  • Location: Bodle street e.sussex 60m asl/ Stalham, Norfolk
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes!
  • Location: Bodle street e.sussex 60m asl/ Stalham, Norfolk
Posted

Can anyone she'd any light on the ICON model please? Been following the models and on here for about 7 years and have never heard about it til the last month or so! What are it's verification stats like?

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bluearmy Maestro

bluearmy

Posted
  • Location: st albans
  • Location: st albans
Posted
7 minutes ago, Darkcloud said:

Can anyone she'd any light on the ICON model please? Been following the models and on here for about 7 years and have never heard about it til the last month or so! What are it's verification stats like?

It's the old German DWD model revamped. Often quite close to the ecm output but not as good. I think it verifies below ukmo and similar to gfs 

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Daniel* Maestro

Daniel*

Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
Posted
20 minutes ago, Sno' problem said:

I would think it will take possibly less time for the temps to drop, but it will still be a marginal thing for our area depending on how heavy the ppn is as well as how quickly the dewpoints drop.

Here are the latest observations and you can really see the cold digging in around the Birmingham area, ahead of GFS forecasts for this time:

 

UK Observations .png

Screen Shot 2017-12-26 at 22.27.29.png

I noticed that interesting bodes well for later on, that’s what can make the difference between a slush fest and something more proper. Do you have a link to that? Ta :) 

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snowray Veteran

snowray

Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
Posted

Yes everything is running ahead of schedule alight by a couple of hours.

ICON looking good, all snow for us tomorrow morning if this was to verify.:laugh:

iconeu-1-12-0.png

iconeu-1-13-0.png

iconeu-1-14-0.png

iconeu-1-15-0.png

iconeu-1-17-0.png

iconeu-45-20-0.png

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Sno' problem Aficionado

Sno' problem

Posted
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms!! (With the odd gale thrown in)
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
Posted
4 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

I noticed that interesting bodes well for later on, that’s what can make the difference between a slush fest and something more proper. Do you have a link to that? Ta :) 

It's the Met Office observation site: http://wow.metoffice.gov.uk/

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snowray Veteran

snowray

Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
Posted
2 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

how is it supposed to flogging snow when it's 7.8c and still flogging rising, for flog sake.

Its early yet, get some kip and get up for about 6am.:drinks:

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