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  • Location: Tenby, Pembrokeshire, Wales 30m a.s.l.
  • Location: Tenby, Pembrokeshire, Wales 30m a.s.l.
    1 minute ago, Daniel* said:

    NHC - a definite east shift in the latest update not minuscule either. 

    image.thumb.jpeg.316faefdad84b91d5c77f0cb478dd38b.jpeg

     

    Guess we'll have to see if Met O update their warnings for W areas of mainland UK...

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    their armoured vehicles are being made ready-

    I'm pretty sure the sky turning yellow is the met office trying out a new warning system after some backlash. 

    Looking forward to my trip to #Ireland

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    Posted
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
  • Weather Preferences: extremes n snow
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
    51 minutes ago, Ross Andrew Hemphill said:

    I know that the storm is downgrading (now cat 1), but isn't it supposed to deepen as it becomes extratropical? 

    It will deepen for a short period and the wind field will become much larger.

    Edited by matty40s
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    Flocks of sparrows, tits and even a blackbird coming to check out the fuss, all arrived at my bird feeder which has been practically inactive for the past few weeks! Birds must be able to sense a storm long before we'd ever see it for our own eyes.

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    Posted
  • Location: Coastal Northumberland
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, heatwaves and anything extreme
  • Location: Coastal Northumberland

    Another 50 mile shift east and that starts to bring most of uk and ireland into 70mph gust range as opposed to ireland/ni and western uk.

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    Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
    1 minute ago, benb said:

    Guess we'll have to see if Met O update their warnings for W areas of mainland UK...

    Much of England could go 'yellow' a very large wind field as soon to be ex hurricane Ophelia barrels northeast...30-50 mph gusts may not seem like much but with trees in foliage...

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    Posted
  • Location: East Ayrshire 190m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Non Destructive Near My House
  • Location: East Ayrshire 190m ASL
    8 minutes ago, BREIFMAN11 said:

    Flocks of sparrows, tits and even a blackbird coming to check out the fuss, all arrived at my bird feeder which has been practically inactive for the past few weeks! Birds must be able to sense a storm long before we'd ever see it for our own eyes.

    Theyre probably wondering why youre spending so much time at your computer ;)

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    Posted
  • Location: Tenby, Pembrokeshire, Wales 30m a.s.l.
  • Location: Tenby, Pembrokeshire, Wales 30m a.s.l.
    Just now, Daniel* said:

    Much of England could go 'yellow' a very large wind field as soon to be ex hurricane Ophelia barrels northeast...30-50 mph gusts may not seem like much but with trees in foliage...

    Nowcasting from this point forward. I guess there's more unknowns on this occasion due to the unusual nature of this storm.

    Tbh... headline wind strength, atm, is not actually that unusual for round here (maybe once in a three or four years event?) but the on-shore wind combined with the forecast huge swell (SWerly direction) and hightide is a worry.

    A further shift Ewards would exacerbate any issues.

    Literally the calm before the storm here: a balmy 15/16c and hardly a breath of wind...

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    Posted
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
  • Weather Preferences: extremes n snow
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...

    Hurricane is white letter in black circle.

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    Posted
  • Location: East Ayrshire 190m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Non Destructive Near My House
  • Location: East Ayrshire 190m ASL
    1 minute ago, Summer Sun said:

    NHC shows Ophelia hitting Ireland as a Hurricane

    145012_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.thumb.png.5574412b2266906e0b44548a317cb19c.png

    I made that mistake earlier. Its hurricane force winds as per the legend

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    Posted
  • Location: Hailsham, East Sussex
  • Location: Hailsham, East Sussex

    Earlier runs showed Ophelia beginning its turn more Northerly by this time. It still appears to be barreling along without any noticeable deviation as yet.

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    Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

    Hot on the heels of Ophelia, southern uk has this to look forward to :help:

    982649EE-B467-4F57-A4A2-5ADBFA985BA0.thumb.png.0b00c034dd2bc3e152c09089630f1e60.pngB6A39C73-2F2A-4664-B0AD-3EEB4774F93C.thumb.png.40069465664e62c80187ca81c3625f87.png

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    Posted
  • Location: East Ayrshire 190m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Non Destructive Near My House
  • Location: East Ayrshire 190m ASL
    1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

    Hot on the heels of Ophelia, southern uk has this to look forward to :help:

    982649EE-B467-4F57-A4A2-5ADBFA985BA0.thumb.png.0b00c034dd2bc3e152c09089630f1e60.pngB6A39C73-2F2A-4664-B0AD-3EEB4774F93C.thumb.png.40069465664e62c80187ca81c3625f87.png

    woot woot - thats the 30th anniversary storm - its just late ;)

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    Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

    Let's please keep this thread based on Ophelia, Thanks.

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    Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
    Just now, Polar Maritime said:

    Let's please keep this thread based on Ophelia, Thanks.

    Oh yes sorry, forgot this was dedicated for Ophelia. Apologies, to many tabs open. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    Looking at the latest radar it seems some more convection is happening at the moment.

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    Posted
  • Location: Pembroke, West Wales Coast
  • Location: Pembroke, West Wales Coast
    15 minutes ago, benb said:

    Nowcasting from this point forward. I guess there's more unknowns on this occasion due to the unusual nature of this storm.

    Tbh... headline wind strength, atm, is not actually that unusual for round here (maybe once in a three or four years event?) but the on-shore wind combined with the forecast huge swell (SWerly direction) and hightide is a worry.

    A further shift Ewards would exacerbate any issues.

    Literally the calm before the storm here: a balmy 15/16c and hardly a breath of wind...

    Agreed, The last time I saw the tide reach the back of Freshwater West beach was Dec15. The winds were about the same as forecast tomorrow but nowhere near as much surge. I am interested to see how much surge Ex-Ophelia has been pushing in front of her. No one is talking about it ? 

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    Posted
  • Location: East Ayrshire 190m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Non Destructive Near My House
  • Location: East Ayrshire 190m ASL

    As a bit of an aside, some of us skydived earlier today from 10K down through this streak of cloud coming up from biscay and stretching over the UK. It was one of the few jumps Ive ever done where I could feel air turbulence in freefall. Very strange.

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    Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
    25 minutes ago, benb said:

    Nowcasting from this point forward. I guess there's more unknowns on this occasion due to the unusual nature of this storm.

    Tbh... headline wind strength, atm, is not actually that unusual for round here (maybe once in a three or four years event?) but the on-shore wind combined with the forecast huge swell (SWerly direction) and hightide is a worry.

    A further shift Ewards would exacerbate any issues.

    Literally the calm before the storm here: a balmy 15/16c and hardly a breath of wind...

    Yes, it often is, makes it 'fun' parts of the South Wales/West coastline should be on high alert IMO. The wind isn't going to be the focal issue water will also also be squeezed through the Bristol Channel regardless of the not optimum wind direction definite major flood concerns I foresee from ex hurricane Ophelia, I hope it's not going to be as bad as I think it will be.

    Edited by Daniel*
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    Posted
  • Location: West Malvern, West Midlands, 280m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow! Severe storms.
  • Location: West Malvern, West Midlands, 280m ASL

    Ophelia's showing up with a little electrical activity on lightning maps:

    https://www.lightningmaps.org/?lang=en#y=47.2524;x=-10.3817;z=5;t=3;m=sat;r=0;s=0;o=0;b=0.00;n=0;d=3;dl=2;dc=0;

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    Posted
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level

    The Bristol channel has a huge tidal range and often does quite well when it comes to storm surges. It's a neap tide too so unless the storm surge is massive, I can't see it being too much of an issue

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    Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
    8 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:

    When is Ophelia projected to change course , at present it looks like it's going to barrel up the Irish Sea :shok:

    Give a wave. :wink: 

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    Posted
  • Location: New Zealand
  • Location: New Zealand
    6 minutes ago, Jen Beachcomber said:

    Agreed, The last time I saw the tide reach the back of Freshwater West beach was Dec15. The winds were about the same as forecast tomorrow but nowhere near as much surge. I am interested to see how much surge Ex-Ophelia has been pushing in front of her. No one is talking about it ? 

    She's not dead yet!

    Also... a lot.

    NickL posted some info earlier.

    Wave heights around the pembrokeshire coast will be in the region of 10/15 to 28 ft, depending on where you are.

    ... though that was before the track adjustment.

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