Jump to content
The PIT

Storm Aileen - First Autumn Storm Tuesday night into Wednesday morning

Recommended Posts

Looks like we are going to have the first storm of Autumn as secondary low sweeps across North Wales , North Midlands. As it clears eastward it brings a brief spells of winds gusting up to 60 mph across North Wales North midlands and east England and along the English channel.

Details will firm up tomorrow but one to watch out for you.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Yet it's not being named... :cc_confused:

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Thought we were going to be in the firing line for this but most forecasts now take the worst of the winds across the north.

Only just managed to reach 25mph today and that was with a wind warning across the southwest so not expecting much from this now.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
25 minutes ago, Nick L said:

Yet it's not being named... :cc_confused:

Not even formed yet I believe. Also the met office naming is inconstant they have strong winds in nw Scotland in the past which didn't get named. One of the reasons given was there wasn't enough people living there so the impact was minimal.  

Edited by The PIT
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Nick L said:

Yet it's not being named... :cc_confused:

Agree? 70 mph gusts in some parts and heavy rain with trees in full foliage?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If  I recall correctly, a storm would be named if it merits an amber warning?!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, The PIT said:

Looks like we are going to have the first storm of Autumn as secondary low sweeps across North Wales , North Midlands. As it clears eastward it brings a brief spells of winds gusting up to 60 mph across North Wales North midlands and east England and along the English channel.

Details will firm up tomorrow but one to watch out for you.

Not just those areas. Parts of North-West England looks in the firing line too with the bigger populations of Merseyside & Greater Manchester likely to have some decent strong gusts of 70mph+ in more exposed spots especially as winds move more to the W-NW funnelling wind off the Irish sea, these areas are under the Met Office advisory, as is pretty much all of Northern England.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Winds moved south and lessened until it leaves the uk so Norfolk could get a battering early tomorrow.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
13 minutes ago, The PIT said:

Winds moved south and lessened until it leaves the uk so Norfolk could get a battering early tomorrow.

Yes noticed the slight shift south and delay in deepening the low. GFS shows this well, slight changes now big difference 

Edited by Surrey

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Least it might get on the news now? Been further south....

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

BBC forecast still showing the north of England getting some strong gusts up to 75mph early hours Wednesday as the low crosses into the North Sea.

  • Sad 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Looks like tonight's low has been designated Aileen, The first name storm of the autumn.  Might be worth renaming the thread. Didn't even know they've come up with a new list yet. I'm sure the first of this years tropical cyclones had a name like that as well.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

Looks like tonight's low has been designated Aileen, The first name storm of the autumn.  Might be worth renaming the thread. Didn't even know they've come up with a new list yet. I'm sure the first of this years tropical cyclones had a name like that as well.

 The first tropical storm in the series this year was Arlene.

MetOffice storm names for this year are: 

Aileen Brian Caroline Dylan Eleanor Fionn Georgina Hector Iona James Karen
Larry Maeve Niall Octavia Paul Rebecca Simon Tali Victor Winifred

 

Interesting to see the MO has issued an Amber Warning this morning. Seeing as trees are in full leaf I can understand why with the winds that are forecast.

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
26 minutes ago, suffolkboy_ said:

 The first tropical storm in the series this year was Arlene.

MetOffice storm names for this year are: 

Aileen Brian Caroline Dylan Eleanor Fionn Georgina Hector Iona James Karen
Larry Maeve Niall Octavia Paul Rebecca Simon Tali Victor Winifred

 

Interesting to see the MO has issued an Amber Warning this morning. Seeing as trees are in full leaf I can understand why with the winds that are forecast.

Cowin hell  day  see that coming   Not amazingly high winds  but over a very populated area could cause alot of disruption.  my interest has now been pricked.

Edited by weirpig

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Strange how Met Office has upgraded slightly wind speeds from yesterday but XC Weather have downgraded.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Is it me or does this model love to over hype wind speeds.. AROME

KPH works to MPH like this:

10kph = 6mph

115kph = 71mph

gustkph_018.jpg?2017091200gustkph_021.jpg?2017091200gustkph_024.jpg?2017091200gustkph_027.jpg?2017091200

ARPEGE

 

gustkph_018.jpg?2017091200 gustkph_021.jpg?2017091200gustkph_024.jpg?2017091200gustkph_027.jpg?2017091200

GFS 

 

Netweather GFS ImageNetweather GFS ImageNetweather GFS ImageNetweather GFS ImageNetweather GFS Image

NETweather

Netweather NMM ImageNetweather NMM ImageNetweather NMM ImageNetweather NMM ImageNetweather NMM Image

 

 

 

 

Edited by Surrey
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
12 minutes ago, Surrey said:

Is it me or does this model love to over hype wind speeds.. AROME

KPH works to MPH like this:

10kph = 6mph

115kph = 71mph

gustkph_018.jpg?2017091200gustkph_021.jpg?2017091200gustkph_024.jpg?2017091200gustkph_027.jpg?2017091200

ARPEGE

 

gustkph_018.jpg?2017091200 gustkph_021.jpg?2017091200gustkph_024.jpg?2017091200gustkph_027.jpg?2017091200

GFS 

 

Netweather GFS ImageNetweather GFS ImageNetweather GFS ImageNetweather GFS ImageNetweather GFS Image

NETweather

Netweather NMM ImageNetweather NMM ImageNetweather NMM ImageNetweather NMM ImageNetweather NMM Image

 

 

 

 

For me  during windstorms the Arpege  is the model to follow  got it spot on around here earlier this year    i shall await the updated run  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'm slap-bang in the middle of the Amber warning tonight, just wondering if it's worth heading up to the local reservoir at night that's westward facing and funnels the local winds into the valley. It's a relatively open area and I might get some of those stronger gusts that are expected for here.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The arpege going for areas similar to the met office for the highest winds  if not as intense  on the latest run. With trees in leaf could be interesting 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Arome identical to the met office update. Possible 120kh gusts around northern England down to parts of midlands  

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now


  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×