Hurricane Irma

[knocker]

This morning's ecm hast it 927mb over Miami at T114

[Iceberg]

Direct hit on Miami and the up. Back to sea then Carolina hit. As per gfs. 

A likely result imho. 

The models will also have been approved due to the extra data from the specialist noaa flights etc over the last 24 hrs. 

[Kiwi]

1 minute ago, Iceberg said:

Direct hit on Miami and the up. Back to sea then Carolina hit. As per gfs. 

A likely result imho. 

The models will also have been approved due to the extra data from the specialist noaa flights etc over the last 24 hrs. 

Not good.

Is Mar-a-lago in the firing line??

[karyo]

The shift north is good news for Cuba and Haiti.

[Had Worse]

 

Waves breaking over the jetty's. The other cams are either too dark to see or obscured by the water on the lens cover.

[Had Worse]

#Irma has moved over the island of Barbuda. Before the anemometer broke, winds were gusting to 155 mph. Actual gusts may have been higher

[AderynCoch]

If there are any small mercies one may be that Barbuda escaped the very worst winds (which would have been to the north of the eye). In a hurricane of this intensity however I'm probably splitting hairs. St. Barts and Anguilla look next in line.

Looking ahead, lots of bad scenarios in play but a direct hit on Miami is about as bad as it gets (and Irma would likely avoid weakening from land beforehand).

Edited September 6, 2017 by AderynCoch

[Iceberg]

Irma just leaving Barbuda 

[Had Worse]

Appears to be lightning in the St Barts Harbour view. I think the stream will go down soon given the ferocity.

 

[Barking_Mad]

1 hour ago, Had Worse said:

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=BARA9

Peak of 135mph.

The readings stopped at 117.9 mph, looks like the bouy was Irma'd

Top gust of 155 mph. Although it then broke and the pressure carried on dropping.... 

[karyo]

GEM has shifted the track the most! It doesn't bring Irma to the Gulf anymore, instead she scrapes southeast Florida and then out to sea without a landfall anywhere in the east coast.

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

13 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

Appears to be lightning in the St Barts Harbour view. I think the stream will go down soon given the ferocity.

 

Now that is some frequent lightning!! 

[alr1970]

19 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

Appears to be lightning in the St Barts Harbour view. I think the stream will go down soon given the ferocity.

 

I don't see lightning, just what looks like a blizzard.

[Had Worse]

Lightning was on the harbour cams, the airport was as you said, like a blizzard but no visible flashes.

[Had Worse]

The lights have gone on the far side.

[Soaring Hawk]

Both webcams keep losing their streaming. Difficult to see how they will keep going for much longer.  Really concerned for those on Barbuda, or what is left of it.

[Had Worse]

The cams are confusing as you only need to pull the slider back to the beginning (4 hrs) and its light. That cant be right. The airport cam looks to be live still. The Flamand cam looks to have gone down as it reloads and stops at the same frame.

[FetchCB]

3 minutes ago, Soaring Hawk said:

Both webcams keep losing their streaming. Difficult to see how they will keep going for much longer.  Really concerned for those on Barbuda, or what is left of it.

Indeed, according to twitter there is no communication from Barbuda, Antigua have been trying for 90 mins

[summer blizzard]

Euro ensemble mean (apparently been verifying best) makes the turn too late, south Florida hit. 

[Had Worse]

Inevitable that eventually the perfect storm would crop up.

[Had Worse]

This cam is still going... just. Can see road in foreground is flooded and that poor parmtree is nearly disappearing up its own trunk.

[moogyboobles]

3 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

This cam is still going... just. Can see road in foreground is flooded and that poor parmtree is nearly disappearing up its own trunk.

 

 

[Had Worse]

Well folks, did hector survive?

 

[Barking_Mad]

13 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

This cam is still going... just. Can see road in foreground is flooded and that poor parmtree is nearly disappearing up its own trunk.

That's pretty amazing footage. 

[Summer Sun]

Once Irma make it's towards the USA that's when the models really do differ on its next move after Florida take D6 as an example

GFS has it moving through South Carolina whilst UKMO has it just moving out of Florida towards Georgia