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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 1st August onwards

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Getting ultra humid here but little sun getting through the cloud so elevated storms probably won’t root in our parts.

either way I must say I’m excited about our prospects now the channel’s got going :):bomb:

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IMBY, could be sanwiched in a storm free zone, with activity to the NW and SE, my plan i think is to head up to some vantage point in the Peak District later this evening, hopefully something like July 1st 2015 unfolds

 

 

Edited by ChezWeather

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Little pockets of ac cas beginning to appear here now. Hopefully that’s a good sign for later, but not too soon as we’re having a BBQ! 

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Sun gone now thanks to as cas 

pleeaaasseee any storms in the channel come to worthing

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Acas as I’m heading north to Warrington. Nothing expected until AT LEAST 5pm up here, more like 7ish.

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The weather forecast for Aberdeen Airport NE Scotland now changed to reflect the possibility of a thunderstorm between 0000 - 0600 tomorrow. Previously just reporting the possibility of showers in this timeframe. Might be interesting viewing later!    

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Looks a bust for here and looking at the radar it looks like the south and east of here have the best chances.

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1 minute ago, The PIT said:

Looks a bust for here and looking at the radar it looks like the south and east of here have the best chances.

READ THE UK CONVECTIVE FORECAST

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New to the forum, hello everyone :smile:

The past few days have felt more like mid July than mid April, so looking forward to the cool down next week. It’s currently cloudy here after a sunny morning/early afternoon, looking forward to the possibility of some storms later although not getting my hopes up!

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1 minute ago, MattTarrant said:

READ THE UK CONVECTIVE FORECAST

Times like the this you watch the radar. Storms are very difficult to predict and you should have learnt by now they have a habit of forming not in the right place. Also if you read the forecast it said it may have to be adjusted south. BTW no need to shout.

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2 minutes ago, The PIT said:

Times like the this you watch the radar. Storms are very difficult to predict and you should have learnt by now they have a habit of forming not in the right place. Also if you read the forecast it said it may have to be adjusted south. BTW no need to shout.

He has a point that the showers up here won’t get going for at least another hour, and for you, it will probably be more 8-10pm.

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10 minutes ago, The PIT said:

Times like the this you watch the radar. Storms are very difficult to predict and you should have learnt by now they have a habit of forming not in the right place. Also if you read the forecast it said it may have to be adjusted south. BTW no need to shout.

I will refrain from shouting, though as has been mentioned initiation has been consistently modeled in the late afternoon/early evening in North Wales/North West England due to slow development of convergence zones and as forcing mechanisms increase. An upper level warm nose has capped convection, though this will likely be eroded as heights lower from the west and convergence causes strong uplift. 

Edited by MattTarrant

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I have found a Holy storm or maybe a storm that wants to be a Hurricane :D 

 

Capture1.PNG

On another note, sun beginning to re appear, hopefully will help for a bit later :) 

Edited by Sparkiee storm

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 Max temp just recorded, 23.0°C. 

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from a 'french floppy'

5adb584fe2345_cock1.thumb.png.b833c0cf75b4edbae17f80b924b1f5c7.png

 

to an 'English channel errection'

5adb5861e64a8_cock2.thumb.png.b11d5d21986606686105e11f06e53363.png

......storm viagra wins every time

:crazy:

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Well, had our BBQ here in Reigate and, as predicted, the moment the food went on, the clouds started to gather. Plenty of build since 2:00pm but a lot of it looks capped out and giving rain to the north and west of here. Not much sign of anything to the south, but Isle of Wight seems to be doing OK?

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For the doubters....boom!!

F06ECCEB-EB56-4237-B9F7-CD735FFEAB38.jpeg

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