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Roger J Smith

July 2017 C.E.T. Forecasts

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CET averages and extremes for July

 

25.2 ... 29th, 1948, warmest daily mean

19.7 ... 2006 (warmest July)

19.5 ... 1983 (2nd warmest)

18.8 ... 1783 (3rd warmest)

18.7 ... 1976, 1852 (tied 4th warmest)

18.6 ... 1995 (6th warmest)

18.3 ... 2013 mean (tied 9th warmest)

17.7 ... 2014 mean (tied 31st warmest)

17.6 ... 2003 mean

17.2 ... 2001 mean

17.1 ... 2010  mean

16.9 ... 2005, 2016 means

16.7 ... average for 1981-2010 and 2001-2016 and 1987-2016

16.5 ... average for 1971-2000

16.2 ... 2008 mean

16.1 ... 2009 mean, average for 1961-1990, also for 1901-2000 and 1701-1800

16.0 ... 2002 mean and average for all years 1659-2016 (15.97)

15.9 ... 2015 mean

15.8 ... 2004 mean, average for 1801-1900

15.6 ... average for 1659-1700

15.5 ... 2000, 2012 means

15.2 ... 2007, 2011 mean and (with 1993) coldest since 1988 (14.7)

14.7 ... 1988 (tied with 1980 as coldest since 1965)

14.0 ... 1965 CET (tied 11th coldest)

13.6 ... 1879 (4th coldest)

13.5 ... 1695,1802 (tied 2nd coldest)

13.4 ... 1816 (coldest July)

 8.7 ... 20th (1836) coldest daily mean

____________________________________________________________________________________________

 

Enter your July forecast by end of the day Friday 30th June without penalty,

or during the first three days of July with increasing time penalties.

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18.9C for me please. 

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Interesting to note that the July ave for 71 to 00, 81-10, 01-16 and 81-16 only vary by 0.2c

So that means the peak summer month has hardly changed in regards to the monthly average.

This must be the only month in regards to this feature. 

 

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18.9 please.

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15.8c for me please.

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Unsettled either end with a beautiful centre..... Remaining warmer than average......

Question is.... Will it stretch to Bonnie Scotland?

17.5c please

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El Nino is gonna screw us over December 2015 style from now on after El Nino has finally comeback without a proper La Nina...  22C  :(  Last sub 14C July in 1922.  Last sub 15C July in 1988.  Last sub 15.5C July in 2011.

Edited by Lettucing Gutted
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CET: 19.1c

Mean here: 21.2c

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2 hours ago, Lettucing Gutted said:

El Nino is gonna screw us over December 2015 style from now on after El Nino has finally comeback without a proper La Nina...  22C  :(  Last sub 14C July in 1922.  Last sub 15C July in 1988.  Last sub 15.5C July in 2011.

Last I read  on here it was going to remain ENSO neutral so no El Nino this winter.

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3 hours ago, Lettucing Gutted said:

El Nino is gonna screw us over December 2015 style from now on after El Nino has finally comeback without a proper La Nina...  22C  :(  Last sub 14C July in 1922.  Last sub 15C July in 1988.  Last sub 15.5C July in 2011.

El Nino doesn't have really any affect on our Summertimes only in Winter.  And its not always wash out, El Ninos can bring severe heatwaves. If we can get in a locked Easterly pattern in Late July we could be going 2003 style! 

 

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16.4c please.

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16.3 I reckon. Nothing spectacular temps wise and the long run of well above average has to stop at some point..

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17.7C please. As I see no reason why the current run of warm months should come to an end...:D

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On 20/06/2017 at 13:12, DR(S)NO said:

Unsettled either end with a beautiful centre..... Remaining warmer than average......

Question is.... Will it stretch to Bonnie Scotland?

17.5c please

Will it nope - still swearing,

Scotland is a beautiful place but it doesn't really have summer as such - just autumns. Springs are often nice but summers? No

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40 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

17.7C please. As I see no reason why the current run of warm months should come to an end...:D

I see every reason why it should, but then I'm seldom right...you only have to ask Mrs C!

 

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6 minutes ago, JeffC said:

I see every reason why it should, but then I'm seldom right...you only have to ask Mrs C!

 

I wish I'd qualified my statement with 'yet'!:wallbash:

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