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Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 31st May 2017 onwards

Supacell

By Supacell
in Storms & Severe Weather

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted (edited)
10 minutes ago, Dangerous55019 said:

Right!! *said in a brisk and business like fashion*
Morning everyone :)
Well the day has arrived, as per my earlier post we've got loads of ACCAS around this neck of the woods this morning :bomb::D
But due to the hit and miss nature of storms (unless its an MCS or supercell) then they really could breakout anywhere.
Here are the latest charts from today's 00z GFS run from 06.00 - Midnight.

A lot of this today is gonna come down to now casting, watching weather/storm radars etc, and I always find that an AM/MW radio is always a handy tool to use as well. 

Good luck to everyone with this today, stay safe and lets hope that this turns into a memorable day for all of the right reasons. 
Happy hunting folks. :bomb::friends:

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 Let me second that bit about the radio. Can't tell you how invaluable those things are on days like this even in this day and age.  Tune to the lowest point on medium wave (520 kHz) I find works best. A handheld radio for local strikes, a desktop (big) radio for national strikes; or use longwave on handheld for national/international strikes if you don't have a desktop one.  Obviously ultimately depends on the quality of the radio, you get what you pay for. 

Edited by Chris.R
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Mesoscale Rising Star

Mesoscale

Posted
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Humid Continental Climate (Dfa / Dfb)
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
Posted

Hopefully it kicks off, I feel like I am in a decent position to see some storms, wether I see one or not is another question. Good luck. 

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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Author
Posted
7 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

Yep, Euro 4 has never really bought this but we will see what 0z says and see what the day actually brings

Unfortunately the Euro4 is still dire for all but parts of the far SE and the Humber on the 00z.

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stainesbloke Maestro

stainesbloke

Posted
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in summer, thunderstorms, snow, fog, frost, squall lines
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
Posted (edited)

I love the skies with plumes, the clouds are just beautiful. I'd actually prefer not to get a storm here (or until much later) as my Mum is moving house. Sod's Law?

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Edited by stainesbloke
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Thunderstruck Community Regular

Thunderstruck

Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and breezy with a bit of cloud, about 20C
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
Posted

Met Office now showing 40% chance of showers at 10:00

My iPhone weather app is going for a chance of storms (never more than 50%) between 10:00 and 16:00 but Netweather saying 85% chance of storms which is the highest it's ever shown for today (but has also been wrong on multiple occasions)...

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LightningLover Accomplished

LightningLover

Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, snow, and wind storms
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
Posted

Hello! My wifi is still down, so I may not post very frequently. Unfortunately due to this I am unable to upload any pictures, (I'm using 4G) but take my word for it, the sky looks really really unstable. The humidity is through the roof too. Good luck everybody!

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Thunderstruck Community Regular

Thunderstruck

Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and breezy with a bit of cloud, about 20C
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
Posted

Starting to see some towers trying to form above the accas which is filling the sky. I reckon in an hour or so we'll have a better idea of what will happen..,

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East_England_Stormchaser91 Veteran

East_England_Stormchaser91

Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
Posted (edited)

Sferics sparking over Eastern Cumbria into far N Yorkshire.. 

Edited by East_England_Stormchaser91
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dave reid Contributor

dave reid

Posted
  • Location: Bournemouth
  • Location: Bournemouth
Posted

Good morning all :)  Beautiful start to the day down here in Bournemouth.

 

Firstly all this talk of a bust at 7am needs to stop ;) i've not even had breckie yet.

I'm still planning on chasing but looks like the drive could be a little further and the drive home even further 

Thinking of heading to Oxford area mid morning and waiting to see how things develop, nicely located to head whichever way needed.

 

Good luck everyone  

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Weather-history Maestro

Weather-history

Posted
  • Location: Irlam
  • Location: Irlam
Posted (edited)
45 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

Yep, Euro 4 has never really bought this but we will see what 0z says and see what the day actually brings

Still doesn't go for anything but where is the rain over parts of northern England now?

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Edited by Weather-history
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<<Ryan>> Aficionado

<<Ryan>>

Posted
  • Location: Hawkhurst (TN18) Kent
  • Weather Preferences: All weather extremes
  • Location: Hawkhurst (TN18) Kent
Posted

A little disappointed with lack of early morning activity, though there's still chance over the next few hours across the far southeast.

This is my view out the window this morning
 

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poseidon Aficionado

poseidon

Posted
  • Location: Dunmow, Essex (72m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Anything apart from grey days
  • Location: Dunmow, Essex (72m asl)
Posted

Dark young CB now gaining height just east of here, blocking the sun. Maybe an indication that with a bit of insolation things could get interesting. It looks a bit lonely though at the moment. Rest of sky full of Ac cas.

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LightningLover Accomplished

LightningLover

Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, snow, and wind storms
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
Posted

Towers are going up!

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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted
3 minutes ago, dave reid said:

Good morning all :)  Beautiful start to the day down here in Bournemouth.

 

Firstly all this talk of a bust at 7am needs to stop ;) i've not even had breckie yet.

I'm still planning on chasing but looks like the drive could be a little further and the drive home even further 

Thinking of heading to Oxford area mid morning and waiting to see how things develop, nicely located to head whichever way needed.

 

Good luck everyone  

I agree - let the day get it's socks on before you all slam it as a bust... there's still plenty of time yet!

Also the delay in this morning's storms or rain will potentially change the game later in the day for the surface-based ones further north.

I'm still expecting a wide line of heavy thundery showers to work its way up at about 10am across the eastern half of the southern coast. How far it gets is anyone's guess...

Off to Kent shortly to meet the boss for work - so should be able to catch something as it passes over

Fingers crossed and eyes peeled!

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Aiden2012 Community Regular

Aiden2012

Posted
  • Location: Pocklington E/yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Love snow
  • Location: Pocklington E/yorkshire
Posted

Expect loads of storms guys because I'm at work all day and it always happens haha 

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Dami Maestro

Dami

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy and thundery.
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
Posted
9 hours ago, John Hodgson said:

Apologies I always forgot I'm with fellow weather geeks on here. 

 

good for you. me too.

BTW it's called sarcasm regarding my situation. 

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Dami Maestro

Dami

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy and thundery.
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
Posted

 In Bedford HQ today.

Clouds . AH that's better.

FORUMPIC4.jpg

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Boro Snow Seasoned

Boro Snow

Posted
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Storms, Snow Thunder, Supercells, all weather extremes
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level
Posted

Thunder in Darlington 

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