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As promised, here are the results. Monthly - Well done to Polar Gael getting it spot on while Mapantz was 0.2c out and Hammer50, DR(S)NO and seaside 60 each 0.3c out. Seasonal - All Change t

Well I want the coldest May on record so I'll go for 15C in the hope that I'm catastrophically wrong.

Years with at least one mean daily CET of 19.0 or higher 24-31 May, and what happened in those summers, plus three that came close to qualifying (1784 had two days above 18, 2012 had several, and 2003

1 hour ago, seaside 60 said:

Nah I think 12.9 c sounds better lol...:)

I'm praying for a frost to bring It down to 11.6!

 

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3 hours ago, Roger J Smith said:

Now looking more likely to finish in the mid-12 range (after corrections) with a warmer outlook. Would say about 12.7 from current charts. 

There is nothing stopping this long run of warm months!

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12 hours ago, Don said:

There is nothing stopping this long run of warm months!

I do think such comments almost invite 3 below average Summer months...whenever the weather in Britain becomes a talking point you can guarantee it will change.

Anyway I think its very possible now the CET could just scrape into the 13s which would be the first time since 2008.

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12.0 to the 22nd

1.2 above the 61 to 90 average
0.8 above the 81 to 10 average

___________________________________________

Current high this month 12.3 to the 1st

Edited by Summer Sun
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On 2017-4-30 at 16:05, Man With Beard said:

Logic would say "well below average", but since it seems almost impossible to get below average these days, I'll plump for 11.5

Well I'm glad I didn't go with the "logic". I'd have been even further out!!

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7 hours ago, Man With Beard said:

Well I'm glad I didn't go with the "logic". I'd have been even further out!!

Same here!

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21 hours ago, Don said:

There is nothing stopping this long run of warm months!

Yes, the most reliable indicator for cold, a Roger Smith holiday in Britain, is not planned for 2017.

Edited by Roger J Smith
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41 minutes ago, Roger J Smith said:

Yes, the most reliable indicator for cold, a Roger Smith holiday in Britain, is not planned for 2017.

I think I've heard that before? Are we not on schedule for the FIFTH consecutive warmer-than-average summer? 

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This spring is on course to be 6th warmest CET in the series I think if May ends at 12.5c+

Here's the top 5 years-

1. 2011

2. 1893

3. 2007

4. 1945

5. 2014

6. 2017?

This is unprecedented warm springs!

 

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16 hours ago, Summer 1976 said:

This spring is on course to be 6th warmest CET in the series I think if May ends at 12.5c+

Here's the top 5 years-

1. 2011

2. 1893

3. 2007

4. 1945

5. 2014

6. 2017?

This is unprecedented warm springs!

 

Four of the warmest six in the last 11 years says it all. None of the summers that followed were warmer than the current 1981-2010 average either. Only 2014 was equal to it (15.9C).

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There's a chance we could finish at 13c. If we did that would be a spring of 8.7, 8.9, 13 against the warmest CET spring 2011 of 6.7, 11.8, 12.2. That's 30.6 vs 30.7:shok:

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