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As promised, here are the results. Monthly - Well done to Polar Gael getting it spot on while Mapantz was 0.2c out and Hammer50, DR(S)NO and seaside 60 each 0.3c out. Seasonal - All Change t

Well I want the coldest May on record so I'll go for 15C in the hope that I'm catastrophically wrong.

Years with at least one mean daily CET of 19.0 or higher 24-31 May, and what happened in those summers, plus three that came close to qualifying (1784 had two days above 18, 2012 had several, and 2003

10.1c here to the 6th, 0.4c below the 1981-2010 average.

Likely to see a few more drops before milder air arrives later this coming week.

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Sunny Sheffield a few miles outside the cet zone now back up to 10.1C. However a big drop likely tomorrow as today was quite cold.

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6 hours ago, JeffC said:

is Hadley offline again or is someone just having a long weekend?

Their provisional figure is way too high again, perhaps they are looking into this.

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9.8c here to the 8th, 0.7c below the 1981-2010 average.

One more drop likely tomorrow before we see the return to average or above temperatures.

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9.7c here to the 10th, 0.8c below the 1981-2010 average.

Average Max: 14.1c (-0.9c)

Average Min: 5.2c (-0.8c)

After a cool first third to May it does look like we will see more seasonal temps in the next week therefore increasing the the monthly mean temp back to average or possibly above.

 

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Sadly i forgot to actually post a prediction (was leaving it late in the month) but would have gone for the 1981-2010 average at 11.7C. Unlike last year which turned the heat up as we came into May it looks to me as if modelling wants to keep high pressure west of the UK bar early next week  so actually those who went close to average will probably be happy. 

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Looking ahead, doubt we will see an appreciably above average May now, even though we have a good 2 and half weeks left, the outlook for the coming weeks looks like returning only slightly above average means, with heights in the wrong place to deliver any sustained warm uppers, SE parts though may end up with a month 1 degree or more above average being more under the influence of continental/tropical maritime uppers.

Things could change still though, perhaps a wonderful late May like 2012 is on the cards, that though was an oddity in a sea of wetness.

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10.2c to the 12th here, 0.3c below the 1981-2010 average.

Looking at the 5 day forecast its likely we will be going above average soon.

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10.6c here to the 14th, 0.1c above the 1981-2010 average.

Further rises likely in the coming days, however cooling down towards the weekend.

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Sunny Sheffield at 10.7C -1.1C a rise for today and possible another one tomorrow but then it looks cool again so probably fall back once again.

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