Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 27th Feb onwards

[Frosty hollows]

1 minute ago, eddy88888 said:

looks like the storm over n france has expanded more on the west side of it so could get a hit dorset devon aera as well

Is it splitting?

[Hodgheg]

The showers look nice here near Norwich atm but I don't think they will intensify enough. That storm of over France. 

[Chris K]

3 minutes ago, MP-R said:

If the BBC forecasts are anything to go by, anywhere in the south is in with a chance tonight. Wouldn't lose hope just yet.

Absolutely. Fingers crossed. There are more strikes popping up further West. Just a waiting game and eyes on the radars!

[Frosty hollows]

Just seems to be another cell developing NW of main beast?

[ancientsolar]

Just now, Frosty hollows said:

Is it splitting?

Looking at the radar,. splitting doesn't look right at the moment,. 
Seems to be development on the west side, how far West that will develop is another question

[thunderhead 2005]

Will this turn into a MCS

Edited May 28, 2017 by thunderhead 2005

[Frosty hollows]

4 minutes ago, Harry said:

Categorically the most electrified storm I have ever seen on blitzortung...unbelievable 

Utterly bonkers!

[Frosty hollows]

Just now, thunderhead 2005 said:

Will this turn into a MSC?

Almost certainly

[Biggin]

Main action is a couple of hours away folks. No panic.

 

[Had Worse]

https://www.jersey.com/jersey-beach-cam CG;s

[ancientsolar]

Found another web cam (May'be the sister cam to the one that's not working)

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Looks like this is it all starting to destablise.. good luck all

[SouthernSun]

Would say an MCS is now forming over Brittany, the eastern portion looks to be propergating a tad east of NE so a line east of IOW looks good here. What's interesting is the western growth, if it splits this could head NNE towards Poole/Bmth. Personally I only see limited action west of Portland.

[Gordon Webb]

3 hours ago, tomp456 said:

Let's hope this verifies. 

This isnt of out of the realms of impossible anymore

[Biggin]

NW france is getting battered  atm 5 strikes a secondish

[eddy88888]

5 minutes ago, Frosty hollows said:

Is it splitting?

Dont think its  splitting, but im no expert, but its deff growing in size

[Supacell]

Wow, great looking storm over France. I've managed to sort it so I can chase so I am heading south. I am thinking somewhere near to London may be an idea, although it's quite a trek.

[Paul R]

5 minutes ago, eddy88888 said:

Dont think its  splitting, but im no expert, but its deff growing in size

Yep definitely. Look at the line of cells in the Cotentin Peninsula ahead of the main area of activity which has sprung up in the last 15 minutes.

Got the camera prepped and ready here, popped out earlier to recce a nearby suitable and safe photography spot with great views to the south and east. Should be able to get a few decent lightning pictures if luck is on my side. 

Edited May 28, 2017 by Paul Roberts

[ancientsolar]

1 minute ago, Supacell said:

Wow, great looking storm over France. I've managed to sort it so I can chase so I am heading south. I am thinking somewhere near to London may be an idea, although it's quite a trek.

come to South Wales and give me a lift on your way yeh ?

[thunderhead 2005]

Got my HD camera ready on laptop. see more strikes to the W of Guernsey

 

[matt111]

Lightning on this one http://www.vision-environnement.com/live/webcam/webcam-jullouville.php

[Ben Sainsbury]

What I've gathered is naturally that if a storm splits then the eastern side will come off strongest. From experience it's beginning to look like the MCS is losing a little intensity indicated by the strongest amount of sferics on the Eastern side.

 

The storms forming to the west are from what I've read are as a result of the outflow of the storm. This could bring opportunities to More Eastern SW/CS areas.

[Ciderwithrosie]

Absolute calm here  up until a few mins ago with a blue / grey sky . about 20 C 

[Havaturkali]

13 minutes ago, ancientsolar said:

Found another web cam (May'be the sister cam to the one that's not working)

Thank you

[Harry]

That webcam is brilliant - just saw loads hail bouncing off of it too. Can't see that being a problem for us as it becomes more elevated over the Channel