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nsrobins

HIGH risk GA/FL 22/1/17 - updated

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The developing low S Appalachians will draw rich moisture into above area ahead of the CF.  Sig. shear both speed and direction will likely spawn mesocyclones capable of tornados near dusk with the LLJ max. Sweet spot GA/FL line.

Edited by nsrobins
Change in risk

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Well we now have a HIGH risk, 30% hatched with some real scooters possible - steering vectors 50mph across S GA this evening. 

All the parameters are in place for a potential high end outbreak. In a few hours I'll post some working links for live coverage and dash cams for anyone interested.

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I would think a PDS will be issued for N FL into S GA in the next few hours. SRH maximised on I75 and supercells moving into this region from 19Z will likely and easily develop rotation and attendant tornados.

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47 minutes ago, nsrobins said:

Well we now have a HIGH risk, 30% hatched with some real scooters possible - steering vectors 50mph across S GA this evening. 

All the parameters are in place for a potential high end outbreak. In a few hours I'll post some working links for live coverage and dash cams for anyone interested.

Yes please mate that would be good,Looks a very dangerous situation indeed for this time of the year

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PDS as expected. It's rare to see all risks at highest level:

 

IMG_0892.PNG

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Fatalities reported unfortunately, but in terms of the number of reported tornadoes (not final count) it appears there were far fewer than the parameters suggested. They were very fast though - most of the discrete cells were moving at over 60mph which is a nightmare from a chasers point of view (and emergency management it must be said).

 

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The heart wrenching reality of tornadoes. A missing two month old baby in Albany, GA was found alive in a dryer wrapped in blankets. The parents were killed. Their last act was saving their child.

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