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February 2017 C.E.T. forecasts


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Posted
  • Location: Home: Nr Malton, Howardian Hills 53m asl Work: North York Moors
  • Weather Preferences: Snow/Thunderstorms
  • Location: Home: Nr Malton, Howardian Hills 53m asl Work: North York Moors

    7.9c to the 2nd, 4.1c above the 1981-2010 average.

    Average temps expected over the coming few days with return of nighttime frosts.

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    Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
    3 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

    Estimated figure

    9.2c to the 2nd

    5.1c above the 61 to 90 average

    If so, 4.8 above 1981-2010 average. Summer Sun, I posted the 1981-2010 averages and records yesterday, scroll back you'll see it.

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
    13 minutes ago, Roger J Smith said:

    If so, 4.8 above 1981-2010 average. Summer Sun, I posted the 1981-2010 averages and records yesterday, scroll back you'll see it.

    Yep I'm just awaiting official figures before I start with the 81 to 10

    Very unusual for Hadley to be offline this long

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    Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

    Oh okay, well, somebody taking their holidays, I assume (a subordinate posting estimates). 

    The 12z GFS looks considerably milder than some runs a day or two ago, would estimate 5.5 by end of 19th. Might be subjective bias there. :)

    The Russian high makes some progress west but the frontal systems around Thursday of next week don't totally run out of Atlantic energy as shown earlier, now they continue to keep frontal boundaries east of Britain for the most part. I see a few colder days in the mix but also occasional mild intervals. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Home: Nr Malton, Howardian Hills 53m asl Work: North York Moors
  • Weather Preferences: Snow/Thunderstorms
  • Location: Home: Nr Malton, Howardian Hills 53m asl Work: North York Moors

    6.2c to the 4th, 2.4c above the 1981-2010.

    Drops likely to continue into the coming week, wonder if we can get back to average?

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    Posted
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)

    7.5°C (+2.8) here. 

    Mean min: 5.4°C (+3.3)

    Mean max: 10.1°C (+2.8)

     It's going to be difficult to get to below average. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Newcastle Upon Tyne (Spital Tongues)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Newcastle Upon Tyne (Spital Tongues)

    CET is currently 7.5C
    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_est_2017

    Min today is 0.1C while maxima look like reaching the mid 6s, so a drop to around 6.6C is likely on tomorrows update.
    After that, the 06z GFS has the CET at:

    6.0C to the 6th (2.6: -2.8)
    5.8C to the 7th (5.1: +0.4)
    5.5C to the 8th (3.1: -1.3)
    4.9C to the 9th (0.1: -3.9)
    4.5C to the 10th (1.2: -2.9)
    4.2C to the 11th )1.1: -3.1)
    3.9C to the 12th (0.5: -4.2)
    3.6C to the 13th (0.4: -3.7)
    3.4C to the 14th (0.1: -3.3)

    Looking further ahead, the likely upper and lower CET ranges are 5.9C and 2.6C respectively.

    GnkG94c.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Solihull, West Midlands. - 131 m asl .
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, Snow and Storms
  • Location: Solihull, West Midlands. - 131 m asl .
    2 hours ago, Chris.R said:

    7.5°C (+2.8) here. 

    Mean min: 5.4°C (+3.3)

    Mean max: 10.1°C (+2.8)

     It's going to be difficult to get to below average

    But not impossible or improbable  ^^^^

    MIA

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    Posted
  • Location: Home: Nr Malton, Howardian Hills 53m asl Work: North York Moors
  • Weather Preferences: Snow/Thunderstorms
  • Location: Home: Nr Malton, Howardian Hills 53m asl Work: North York Moors
    7 hours ago, Midlands Ice Age said:

    But not impossible or improbable  ^^^^

    MIA

    Looking at the models I could be below average by this time next week!

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    Posted
  • Location: Home: Nr Malton, Howardian Hills 53m asl Work: North York Moors
  • Weather Preferences: Snow/Thunderstorms
  • Location: Home: Nr Malton, Howardian Hills 53m asl Work: North York Moors

    4.7c here to the 6th, 0.9c above the 1981-2010 average.

    The only was is down over the coming 5 days at least.

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    Posted
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)

    6.5°C (+1.8) here. 

    Mean min: 4.3°C (+2.2)

    Mean max: 9.1°C (+1.8)

    Mean has dropped  1°C since my last report. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    Sunny Sheffield at 5C +0.7c degrees above normal. Should be a drop the next few days before normal temperatures return on Monday.

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    Posted
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)

    Someone just took a 2 week holiday I reckon.  

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    Sunny Sheffield back up 5.1C a drop until say Monday then very mild conditions look likely soon after that so should rise very rapidly again.

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    Posted
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)

    6.4°C (+1.7) here. 

    Mean min: 4.1°C (+2.0)

    Mean max: 9.0°C (+1.7) 

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    Posted
  • Location: Home: Nr Malton, Howardian Hills 53m asl Work: North York Moors
  • Weather Preferences: Snow/Thunderstorms
  • Location: Home: Nr Malton, Howardian Hills 53m asl Work: North York Moors

    4.5c here to the 8th, 0.7c above the 1981-2010 average.

    Looking at the models my next day with average or above mean is next Tuesday.

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