Jump to content
Cold?
Local
Radar
Snow?

January 2017 C.E.T. forecasts


Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    5.2 to the 19th

    1.7 above the 61 to 90 average

    0.8 above the 81 to 10 average

    _____________________________________

    Current high this month is 5.3c on the 11th

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Spotted a post you think may be an issue? Please help the team by reporting it.
    • Replies 301
    • Created
    • Last Reply
    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    Sunny Sheffield up to 5C should fall tomorrow as it looks like we'll get a rare air frost tonight.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

    Marked differences between northern half of CET zone and southern half of CET zone over the past week which has skewed CET mean returns in favour of the milder conditions across northern stations. Indeed south east portion of the zone has been cold for 7 days now, so the CET mean as often the case isn't very representative of average conditions across the country as a whole.

    I am fully expecting a marked downward adjustment this month.

     

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

    Marked differences between northern half of CET zone and southern half of CET zone over the past week which has skewed CET mean returns in favour of the milder conditions across northern stations. Indeed south east portion of the zone has been cold for 7 days now, so the CET mean as often the case isn't very representative of average conditions across the country as a whole.

    I am fully expecting a marked downward adjustment this month.

     

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

    Marked differences between northern half of CET zone and southern half of CET zone over the past week which has skewed CET mean returns in favour of the milder conditions across northern stations. Indeed south east portion of the zone has been cold for 7 days now, so the CET mean as often the case isn't very representative of average conditions across the country as a whole.

    I am fully expecting a marked downward adjustment this month.

     

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

    Marked differences between northern half of CET zone and southern half of CET zone over the past week which has skewed CET mean returns in favour of the milder conditions across northern stations. Indeed south east portion of the zone has been cold for 7 days now, so the CET mean as often the case isn't very representative of average conditions across the country as a whole.

    I am fully expecting a marked downward adjustment this month.

     

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    Sunny Sheffield back down to 4.9C 0.7C above normal.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
    11 hours ago, damianslaw said:

    Marked differences between northern half of CET zone and southern half of CET zone over the past week which has skewed CET mean returns in favour of the milder conditions across northern stations. Indeed south east portion of the zone has been cold for 7 days now, so the CET mean as often the case isn't very representative of average conditions across the country as a whole.

    I am fully expecting a marked downward adjustment this month.

     

    Don't think it works that way. Just outside the cet zone here but just. I remember one month where the northern section was under fog while the southern area was under mild sunny temperatures. End result about a degree difference between here and the CET zone.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    5.1 to the 20th

    1.6 above the 61 to 90 average

    0.6 above the 81 to 10 average

    _____________________________________

    Current high this month is 5.3c on the 11th

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Home: Nr Malton, Howardian Hills 53m asl Work: North York Moors
  • Weather Preferences: Snow/Thunderstorms
  • Location: Home: Nr Malton, Howardian Hills 53m asl Work: North York Moors

    4.1c here to the 20th, 0.6c above the 1981-2010 average.

    Some small drops likely over the coming days as we see nighttime frosts return but nothing significant.

    Cant see Jan finishing below average, going by current GFS slightly above average looks likely.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)

     Crosby currently at 5.8°C (+1.0°C) even after an air frost last night. 

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: G.Manchester
  • Location: G.Manchester
    12 hours ago, DAVID SNOW said:

    Hadleys  numbers are stupidly high atm, I would expect the largest ever downward correction come months end.

    I'm not sure the largest but yes there will be a significant correction. Remember the really low temperatures have been restricted to the far South and London and SE that will be reflected in the regional stats. Consider my stats compared to Hadley to the 21st;

    Hadley for CET

    Mean Max; 7.4c

    Mean Min; 2.5c

    Mean; 5.0c

    Mine;

    Mean Max; 7.6c (+0.7c)

    Mean Min; 0.9c (-2.0c) (to the 22nd 0.6c)

    Mean; 4.3c

    Unless there is a real warm up in this region during the last few days the end of month regional stats will be very interesting indeed.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    4.9 to the 21st

    1.4 above the 61 to 90 average

    0.4 above the 81 to 10 average

    _____________________________________

    Current high this month is 5.3c on the 11th

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)

    Here it's as follows:

    Mean max: 7.5°C (+0.3).  

    Mean min: 3.8°C (+1.4). 

    Mean: 5.7°C (+0.9). 

    Mean min  was around 0.5°C higher before the last 2 consecutive air/ground frosts. 

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Home: Nr Malton, Howardian Hills 53m asl Work: North York Moors
  • Weather Preferences: Snow/Thunderstorms
  • Location: Home: Nr Malton, Howardian Hills 53m asl Work: North York Moors

    4.0c to the 21st, 0.5c above the 1981-2010 average.

    5 day forecast looks below average, so a drop close to average is possible.

    Mean Max 6.4c

    Mean Min 1.3c

    Only 22.6m of rain so far and cant see much forecast in the next week so possibly a very dry Jan.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)

    I bet i've got the highest mean in england lol. 

    Also 48.2 mm of rain, just below average. 

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Odiham, Hampshire
  • Location: Odiham, Hampshire
    1 hour ago, Optimus Prime said:

    I'm not sure the largest but yes there will be a significant correction. Remember the really low temperatures have been restricted to the far South and London and SE that will be reflected in the regional stats. Consider my stats compared to Hadley to the 21st;

    Hadley for CET

    Mean Max; 7.4c

    Mean Min; 2.5c

    Mean; 5.0c

    Mine;

    Mean Max; 7.6c (+0.7c)

    Mean Min; 0.9c (-2.0c) (to the 22nd 0.6c)

    Mean; 4.3c

    Unless there is a real warm up in this region during the last few days the end of month regional stats will be very interesting indeed.

    Exactly Optimus. My great love is snow, but it's been an exceptional period of weather in central southern England. A series of very cold nights (minimums between -5 and -8) and temperatures no higher than 5c during the day - and sometimes much lower. All the ponds and lakes in this area are properly frozen - the canal at the end of my lane is frozen from bank to bank for the first time in the 24 years I've lived here.  

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)
    4 minutes ago, coram said:

    Exactly Optimus. My great love is snow, but it's been an exceptional period of weather in central southern England. A series of very cold nights (minimums between -5 and -8) and temperatures no higher than 5c during the day - and sometimes much lower. All the ponds and lakes in this area are properly frozen - the canal at the end of my lane is frozen from bank to bank for the first time in the 24 years I've lived here.  

    Wow, didn't realise it had been that bad, like a different world up here. 

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    Sunny Sheffield down to 4.7C +0.5C above normal another fall tomorrow. A few more days of this and we will be average.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Wythall, Worcestershire, 150m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Continental climate, snow winter, sunny summers
  • Location: Wythall, Worcestershire, 150m asl

    Think we'll end up between 4 and 4.5c after adjustments at month end, that's on the basis of a downward correction of around 0.4c and a fairly even split of cooler and milder days up to the 31st.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    4.8 to the 22nd

    1.2 above the 61 to 90 average

    0.3 above the 81 to 10 average

    _____________________________________

    Current high this month is 5.3c on the 11th

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
    1 hour ago, Summer Sun said:

    4.8 to the 22nd

    1.2 above the 61 to 90 average

    0.3 above the 81 to 10 average

    _____________________________________

    Current high this month is 5.3c on the 11th

    Hmm, only a 0.1 drop after yesterdays very cold day in the CET zone...

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    My average has taken a nice hit!  4.7°C against the regional average of 4.5°C

    chart.png


    The fog hasn't lifted all day, so the temp maxed out at 1.4°C. A negative average temp today should lower my average nicely on tonight's update. 

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
    On ‎22‎/‎01‎/‎2017 at 11:53, Chris.R said:

    Wow, didn't realise it had been that bad, like a different world up here. 

    Its been above average here too. We haven't gone below -1.7C all month and have only had 5 air frosts.

    The CET is higher than expected as the North of the CET zone has been relatively mild. I imagine Scotland and Northern Ireland will have had quite a mild January overall.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites

    Archived

    This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

    ×
    ×
    • Create New...