Jump to content
Cold?
Local
Radar
Snow?

Model Moans, Ramps and Banter


Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Weather Preferences: snow, heat, thunderstorms
  • Location: Leeds
    9 minutes ago, stainesbloke said:

    Chances of heavy snow here in the SE tonight, snow showers for other areas, an annoying milder blip for Mon but then getting very cold next week. Looks ok to me at the moment? Best cold offerings for a few years.

    Current BBC forecast highs of 3C today, tomorrow and Saturday, 8C on Sunday, 7C on Monday, then 5-6C for the extended forecast period. 

    I'll be content if it's dry with frost and sunshine but I'll be very disappointed otherwise - and once again the proper cold appears to be around 10 days out. 

    We've had better cold in recent years here - including an ice day in January 2015 - so admittedly I'm not very excited.

    Edited by cheese
    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Spotted a post you think may be an issue? Please help the team by reporting it.
    • Replies 12k
    • Created
    • Last Reply

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Popular Posts

    This is wrong on so many levels...

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Staines, UK or Prague, Czech Republic
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny, thunderstorms, snow, fog, frost, squall lines
  • Location: Staines, UK or Prague, Czech Republic
    5 minutes ago, cheese said:

    Current BBC forecast highs of 3C today, tomorrow and Saturday, 8C on Sunday, 7C on Monday, then 5-6C for the extended forecast period. 

    I'll be content if it's dry with frost and sunshine but I'll be very disappointed otherwise.

    Similar figures for here being forecast in the short term, which on paper don't look cold at all really, have to agree. Next week looks very chilly though, I think the predicted max temperatures will be adjusted down. Could be some ice days later next week, we shall see.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Shrewsbury,Shropshire
  • Location: Shrewsbury,Shropshire

    Cold in the UK the past few years is like chasing a rainbow. Everyone goes into meltdown because models are showing epic cold 10 days out! Trouble is that cold seems to stay 10 days out. Telford will see some wet snow (it always gets it, the only thing I miss about the place!) we will see some rain and frost me thinks. Hoping solar minimum see's a 2010 style winter (or better still an '82!) in the coming years.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Ouse Valley, N. Bedfordshire. 48m asl.
  • Location: Ouse Valley, N. Bedfordshire. 48m asl.

    Very soggy and not particularly cold. Doubt any snow will settle here. 

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
    2 hours ago, cheese said:

    Current BBC forecast highs of 3C today, tomorrow and Saturday, 8C on Sunday, 7C on Monday, then 5-6C for the extended forecast period. 

    I'll be content if it's dry with frost and sunshine but I'll be very disappointed otherwise - and once again the proper cold appears to be around 10 days out. 

    We've had better cold in recent years here - including an ice day in January 2015 - so admittedly I'm not very excited.

    Agree but I'm not looking forward to Sunday/Monday, 2 days of non stop rain

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    I'm very much enjoying the rain here. 17.8mm so far, perhaps an inch will fall by the time it has finished. :)

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Weather Preferences: Bitter Cold in winter and Extreme heat in summer
  • Location: Leeds
    2 hours ago, cheese said:

    Current BBC forecast highs of 3C today, tomorrow and Saturday, 8C on Sunday, 7C on Monday, then 5-6C for the extended forecast period. 

    I'll be content if it's dry with frost and sunshine but I'll be very disappointed otherwise - and once again the proper cold appears to be around 10 days out. 

    We've had better cold in recent years here - including an ice day in January 2015 - so admittedly I'm not very excited.

    Got to agree. Listening to the radio at work would lead many to believe 'the day after tomorrow' is unfolding. It's standard weather for us here and not overly cold. I just hope the 10 day cold chase can produce some proper cold for us this winter. Had enough snow in January last year to build a snowman, can that happen again? 

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Weather Preferences: snow, heat, thunderstorms
  • Location: Leeds
    17 minutes ago, Decemberof2010 said:

    Got to agree. Listening to the radio at work would lead many to believe 'the day after tomorrow' is unfolding. It's standard weather for us here and not overly cold. I just hope the 10 day cold chase can produce some proper cold for us this winter. Had enough snow in January last year to build a snowman, can that happen again? 

    Doubt it. Looks like we might see some snow this evening and tomorrow but not much more than 1-2cm. 

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Weather Preferences: snow, heat, thunderstorms
  • Location: Leeds
    25 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

    Agree but I'm not looking forward to Sunday/Monday, 2 days of non stop rain

    Agreed, looks horrible, only appeared yesterday. 

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Weather Preferences: Bitter Cold in winter and Extreme heat in summer
  • Location: Leeds
    10 minutes ago, cheese said:

    Doubt it. Looks like we might see some snow this evening and tomorrow but not much more than 1-2cm. 

    Oh I realise that I was thinking more towards late next week 'if' cold does set in properly

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: spalding, sth lincs
  • Location: spalding, sth lincs

    i am really not looking forward to this chilly 3 days, was hoping to see at least some snow, now its forecast to be heavy rain this afternoon, a very wet day on sunday, temps recovering well to 7/8c,  put sledge back in the shed for another year. lol.

     

                 RAIN RAIN and more RAIN, bring on the spring, lol

    Edited by sparky1972
    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Newark, Nottinghamshire +19M
  • Location: Newark, Nottinghamshire +19M

    Nice little surprise for many on the Eastern Flank of the UK in the early hours of the AM/dawn... short lived dusting for most I feel (even to low elevations) for many areas as the band of snow pushes down & quickly through from Northern Scotland right though NE Eng, Yorks, Lincs, E Mids, E Ang and the SE by rush hour.

    Edited by Polar Low
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Swansea
  • Weather Preferences: snow, snow and more snow
  • Location: Swansea

    any crap winters day in the UK.  i really do despair now of seeing any even decent snow events as they seem to always be marginal and non events compared to years ago.  at least we used to have a few days of snow each winter and now we're lucky if we get even one.  i hate this counties climate.  wish i could emigrate.

     

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
  • Weather Preferences: 30 Degrees of pure British Celsius
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham

    GFS 12z was a pretty poor run in comparison to the 6z to be honest, I wonder if my thoughts of just an HP and just surface cold might come to fruition. Actually remember Bluearmy mention when the first ECM run showed heights rising towards Scandinavia and then a formation of an easterly (which I wasn't buying) say that the probable outcome would be heights near the UK (or near to the east).

    Will be interesting to see the eventual placement of the high pressure mid next week after all the 'flaffing' about by the GFS and particularly the ECM.

    Edited by Froze were the Days
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Weather Preferences: snow, heat, thunderstorms
  • Location: Leeds

    GEM is the best model IMO, shows a lovely big area of high pressure for the UK. None of this chasing easterlies in FI nonsense.

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
    Just now, cheese said:

    GEM is the best model IMO, shows a lovely big area of high pressure for the UK. None of this chasing easterlies in FI nonsense.

    Yes, and miles better than rain, think GEM might be close with that

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: bingley,west yorks.81 absl
  • Location: bingley,west yorks.81 absl

    Must admit a few on the mod thread kid themselves on sometimes.

    Bit of frost but snow for a selected few then milder couple of days before back to chasing deep cold at day 10 lol.

    Yes it will get colder again tues onwards but nothing wow.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Back in Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
  • Location: Back in Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
    37 minutes ago, snow freak said:

    any crap winters day in the UK.  i really do despair now of seeing any even decent snow events as they seem to always be marginal and non events compared to years ago.  at least we used to have a few days of snow each winter and now we're lucky if we get even one.  i hate this counties climate.  wish i could emigrate.

     

    Did we? i remember the bleak snow free years of 1997-2009..they were shocking and the very mild snow less winters 1988-91..its not unusual for the UK to go 4 or 5 winters with no snow...and never has been..anyway if there was lots of snow each year like here in Canada you soon get bored of it as it becomes the norm.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Weather Preferences: snow, heat, thunderstorms
  • Location: Leeds
    6 minutes ago, cheeky_monkey said:

    Did we? i remember the bleak snow free years of 1997-2009..they were shocking and the very mild snow less winters 1988-91..its not unusual for the UK to go 4 or 5 winters with no snow...and never has been..anyway if there was lots of snow each year like here in Canada you soon get bored of it as it becomes the norm.

    Not that much snow during those years but they weren't snow-free. Definitely some significant snowfalls for many places. I remember a few in Leeds. 2005 stands out with an easterly in February and March with several inches of snow. If that easterly occurred a little earlier in the year (like late Jan or early Feb) then it would have been even colder and snowier.

    Edited by cheese
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Saffron Walden, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summers, Snowy winters.
  • Location: Saffron Walden, Essex

    If I read 1 more "I didn`t buy the Easterly" I could get banned.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: South Manchester
  • Location: South Manchester

    Manchester looked in great shape for some snow and had done for days. Cross model support, everything needed for snow looked good.... from temps and dew points to multiple PPN opportunities. 

    This shown up way in advance, more so than most areas outside the north west, and it didn't slip once, each run for the last 5 days looked pretty good.

    On the day, cold heavy rain early on when it was too warm and a bit of sleet this afternoon. Now it's probably cold enough, the PPN has vanished, yet the ground too wet to make any Irish Sea streamer give us even a dusting to make things look nice and white.

    Now it looks like the sign of decent cold next week is slipping away and we'll be back chasing that cold that's always a week away and never materialises. 

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Pembrokeshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Pembrokeshire

    What a pathetic attempt at an easterly - grey and cold - this however is the scenario with most winter easterlies. ECM leads us up the garden path - GFS more pragmatic - what will it take to get some 80's style winters in the bag ! 

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: South Essex
  • Location: South Essex
    22 minutes ago, Jonathan Evans said:

    What a pathetic attempt at an easterly - grey and cold - this however is the scenario with most winter easterlies. ECM leads us up the garden path - GFS more pragmatic - what will it take to get some 80's style winters in the bag ! 

    A time machine?

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Wythall, Worcestershire, 150m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Continental climate, snow winter, sunny summers
  • Location: Wythall, Worcestershire, 150m asl

    Yeah disappointed with today's model runs with the trend to move the high pressure closer to the UK. I like fog and frost and the pattern offers plenty, but I've seen a fair bit already and I'm really after a decent snowfall now!!

    Disappointing to see the models move away from the stronger and colder easterly option, especially the ECM.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Guest
    This topic is now closed to further replies.
    ×
    ×
    • Create New...