Jump to content
Cold?
Local
Radar
Snow?

Model Moans, Ramps and Banter


Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
    1 hour ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

    Yes, agree, if I posted my 'beliefs' in there, I'd be accused of being a troll!, it's what makes a forum for heaven's sake, opinions make a forum

    my beliefs are that winters are getting less and less snowy as years go on, since approx '99, and everybody believes me, yes I have same opinions as Ian Brown, so what!

    This bit spoils what is actually a rather good post.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Spotted a post you think may be an issue? Please help the team by reporting it.
    • Replies 12k
    • Created
    • Last Reply

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Popular Posts

    This is wrong on so many levels...

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
    1 minute ago, Nizzer said:

    I know it's model related and everybody has the right to post +192 charts, but I wish there was  at 0 to +144 thread. The chances of tonights ECM coming off is slim to none, but you'd think it was a dead cert the way it's being discussed at the moment! :wallbash:

    Aye, Nizzer: a blizzard @T+240 (of teddies, rattles and Tommy Tippys) is defo on the cards!

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
    1 minute ago, Gord said:

    This bit spoils what is actually a rather good post.

    it was meant at people I know, not on netweather

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
    4 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

    it was meant at people I know, not on netweather

    Fair enough. You're right though, it's healthy to have a forum with different ideas of how our climate is evolving. As long as we debate each other's views with reason and respect. Your opinion is as valid as anyone else's on here. Time will tell who is right in the end.

    Edited by Gord
    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: North Yate, South Glos
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes
  • Location: North Yate, South Glos
    15 minutes ago, Nizzer said:

    I know it's model related and everybody has the right to post +192 charts, but I wish there was  at 0 to +144 thread. The chances of tonights ECM coming off is slim to none, but you'd think it was a dead cert the way it's being discussed at the moment! :wallbash:

    Normally I would agree with you but charts similar to these would tie in with Ian Fergusson's colder outlook for January. With the likes of Gibby now showing some interest I would say there is plenty of reason for some optimism.

    Edited by John88B
    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW BABY
  • Location: Yate, Bristol

    I know everyone is getting excited by the T240+ ECM charts but isn't there a good chance of snow showers early next week?

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
    4 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:

    I know everyone is getting excited by the T240+ ECM charts but isn't there a good chance of snow showers early next week?

    Yes Scotland, and NE England, Norfolk/great yarmouth area

     

    ECM1-120.GIF?28-0

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
    10 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

    Yes Scotland, and NE England, Norfolk/great yarmouth area

     

    ECM1-120.GIF?28-0

    I grew up in Lowestoft, used to love the big cb clouds drifting down off the sea full of snow. Sometimes, it was only Yarmouth and Lowestoft that copped them while the rest of the country stayed dry.

    Of course, living so close to the coast was also a gamble during cold spells. While places like Norwich got buried in inches of snow, Lowestoft was rather windswept and wet.

    Have a better chance of hanging onto the cold here in the West Midlands, just much harder to get the precipitation in.

    Edited by Gord
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
    1 minute ago, Gord said:

    I grew up in Lowestoft, used to love the big cb clouds drifting down off the sea full of snow. Sometimes, it was only Yarmouth and Lowestoft that copped them while the rest of the country stayed dry.

    Of course, living so close to the coast was also a gamble during cold spells. While places like Norwich got buried in inches of snow, Lowestoft was rather windswept and wet.

    Have a better chance of hanging onto the cold here in the West Midlands, just much harder to get the precipitation in.

    even I think they get less snow than they used to, but the chart I posted looks snowy there, before less cold air moves in on Tues 3rd

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
    10 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

    even I think they get less snow than they used to, but the chart I posted looks snowy there, before less cold air moves in on Tues 3rd

    They haven't done very well recently. A northerly can be their best chance. A true easterly is the holy grail though. I think that during December 2010, Lowestoft really struggled getting enough snow on the ground beacuse it was still too warm right on the coast. However, Jan 1987 and Feb 1991 were absolutely amazing..remember them well! The end of December 1996 was memorable too.

    I'm not sure when Lowestoft's/Yarmouth's last good dumping of snow was, maybe someone here knows?

    Edited by Gord
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Peasedown St John (Just South of Bath) Somerset 150m asl
  • Location: Peasedown St John (Just South of Bath) Somerset 150m asl

    139 in mod thread. Who's going to post next? Could we now see snow settling on 02/01/17 on the south coast? If this carries on I won't be able to sleep by tomorrow.!! 

     

    139 members that is.

    140 now. 

    Edited by Eat Sleep Models Repeat
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Brinscall, Lancashire
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, frosty autumns and snowy winters
  • Location: Brinscall, Lancashire
    20 minutes ago, Eat Sleep Models Repeat said:

    139 in mod thread. Who's going to post next? Could we now see snow settling on 02/01/17 on the south coast? If this carries on I won't be able to sleep by tomorrow.!! 

     

    139 members that is.

    140 now. 

    Problem is that a majority 'seem' to be spoiling for a forum debate as opposed to posting info that has a relation to the models. For some reason this year the amount of pettiness/one-up man ship has reached an unprecedented level.

    As previously mentioned it has been a complete nightmare for the less knowledgable to sift through and learn about the weather, expience and/or how the models work, instead more about disgruntlement and cynicism from people whom seem to have a little knowledge and are dangerous with it.

    A real shame as this forum used to be a great source of knowledge with balance views and interpretation, alas, it seems to be now going the route of 'chave' debuts and my exhaust is louder than yours!

    Edited by Hanny
    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Northwich
  • Location: Northwich
    40 minutes ago, Hanny said:

    Problem is that a majority 'seem' to be spoiling for a forum debate as opposed to posting info that has a relation to the models. For some reason this year the amount of pettiness/one-up man ship has reached an unprecedented level.

    As previously mentioned it has been a complete nightmare for the less knowledgable to sift through and learn about the weather, expience and/or how the models work, instead more about disgruntlement and cynicism from people whom seem to have a little knowledge and are dangerous with it.

    A real shame as this forum used to be a great source of knowledge with balance views and interpretation, alas, it seems to be now going the route of 'chave' debuts and my exhaust is louder than yours!

    Agreed I never post in there, apart from the fact that I don't understand most of it, it's heavy going as it's being routinely side tracked with off topic posts and some pretty heated bickering. It would be great if NW put together a 'pro' model output discussion thread limited to professionals and skilled amateurs (with posting permissions controlled by NW) which discusses the model output. You could then have a general model output discussion thread for all the mayhem.

    • Like 3
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: South Essex
  • Location: South Essex
    5 hours ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

    Yes, agree, if I posted my 'beliefs' in there, I'd be accused of being a troll!, it's what makes a forum for heaven's sake, opinions make a forum

    my beliefs are that winters are getting less and less snowy as years go on, since approx '99, and everybody believes me, yes I have same opinions as Ian Brown, so what!

    Completely agree with this. All personal opinion of course but in my mind there is no doubt that our climate is changing and the process is accelerating. 14 or 15c in late December is no big deal any more, whereas that would have been noteworthy 30 years ago. Most months are now above average CET wise and sooner or later it becomes obvious that the 100 year averages are irrelevant.

    • Like 3
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: bingley,west yorks.81 absl
  • Location: bingley,west yorks.81 absl

    You just get that feeling it's going to be a never ending chase for the cold and snow us coldies are after.

    The cracking ecm240h will downgrade.

    If anything does happen I expect it to snap quickly.That's my only straw to cling to.

    Decent set ups don't seem to get nearer.

    Beats mild dross from the Atlantic though.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Tonbridge Kent
  • Location: Tonbridge Kent

    Definitely bank GFS 06Z this morning.

    But, it's unlikely to 100% verify!

    Difficult not to get just a bit excited at the moment though!

     

     

     

    Edited by snowblizzard
    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: North Newbald , East Riding of Yorkshire 139 f asl
  • Location: North Newbald , East Riding of Yorkshire 139 f asl

    so if this verifies and we get snowmageddon 7-15th Jan it will count as a FRONT HALF LOADED WINTER  ( just )

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Corby 130 meters above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Corby 130 meters above sea level

    The model forum is is meltdown this morning.:) 

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Croydon. South London. 286 ft asl
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, snow, Ice days, warm sunny days.
  • Location: Croydon. South London. 286 ft asl

    Poor Sidney should have heeded the warnings!!:shok:

    West Point Frozen Squirrel.jpg

    Edited by D.V.R
    sidney with a y.lol
    • Like 4
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire SACRA MEMBER 16/122
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire SACRA MEMBER 16/122

    Wonder if the forum will crash later when the evening runs get going,will be busy for the Mods later

    C.S

     

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Hanley, Stoke-on-trent
  • Location: Hanley, Stoke-on-trent
    12 hours ago, wrightc23 said:

    Agreed I never post in there, apart from the fact that I don't understand most of it, it's heavy going as it's being routinely side tracked with off topic posts and some pretty heated bickering. It would be great if NW put together a 'pro' model output discussion thread limited to professionals and skilled amateurs (with posting permissions controlled by NW) which discusses the model output. You could then have a general model output discussion thread for all the mayhem.

    It's been tried, I don't think it was a success. I'm afraid that many of the model thread readers don't really care for detailed, level-headed assessment. They want to read people who tell them what they want to hear. I'm afraid that some of the most "popular and knowledgable" posters, didn't gain their reputations and followers by trying to limit expectations.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Newton in Bowland
  • Location: Newton in Bowland
    5 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:

    Wonder if the forum will crash later when the evening runs get going,will be busy for the Mods later

    C.S

     

    Could be a busy night for the Mental Health Crisis Team if we see a downward spiral after today's 06z.

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Guest
    This topic is now closed to further replies.
    ×
    ×
    • Create New...